Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Gamba Osaka v Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC

Início: 2026-08-29 09:00 UTC

Final: Gamba Osaka 0–0 Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Gamba Osaka (Local)

Previsão 21.68%4.61odd justa
EV -0.258%
Vantagem -0.056%
Kelly -0.072%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.18%21.65%21.66%22.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.294.304.6025.00%23.31%23.26%21.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Visitante)

Previsão 55.33%1.81odd justa
EV -2.06%
Vantagem -1.17%
Kelly -2.68%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.68%55.44%55.31%58.20%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.561.661.671.7764.10%60.39%59.88%56.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 22.99%4.35odd justa
EV -0.012%
Vantagem -0.003%
Kelly -0.004%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.62%22.91%23.03%24.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.754.034.004.3526.67%24.82%25.00%22.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Gamba Osaka (Local): 21.68%; Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Visitante): 55.33%; Empate: 22.99%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.351. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 4.350, com valor esperado de -0.012%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -0.258%E -0.056%K -0.072%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.69%EV -10.36%E -6.40%K -16.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -2.31%E -0.544%K -0.711%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 08:10
ATG (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -0.258%E -0.056%K -0.072%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.69%EV -10.36%E -6.40%K -16.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -2.31%E -0.544%K -0.711%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 08:10
Coolbet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%EV -5.94%E -3.49%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 08:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.74%EV -11.47%E -7.17%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -2.31%E -0.544%K -0.711%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 08:10
BetRivers🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.74%EV -11.47%E -7.17%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -2.31%E -0.544%K -0.711%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 08:10
Unibet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -11.47%E -7.17%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 08:10
Grosvenor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -11.47%E -7.17%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 08:10
Casumo🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -11.47%E -7.17%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 08:10
Unibet (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -11.47%E -7.17%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 08:10
Unibet (NL)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -11.47%E -7.17%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 08:10
TABtouch🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -11.47%E -7.17%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 08:10
betPARX🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -11.47%E -7.17%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 08:10
Virgin Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.05%EV -13.13%E -8.36%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 08:10
LiveScore Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.05%EV -13.13%E -8.36%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 08:10
PMU (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.20%EV -13.68%E -8.77%K -24.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 08:10
Pinnacle🎯4.42I 22.62%NM 21.81%EV -4.16%E -0.941%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.04%EV -4.83%E -2.81%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.16%EV -0.012%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-29 08:50
FanDuel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -4.59%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.67%EV -6.49%E -3.84%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 08:30
Bet Right🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -4.59%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.21%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 08:35
Tipico (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -4.59%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.71%EV -10.36%E -6.40%K -16.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 08:45
1xBet🎯4.37I 22.88%NM 21.76%EV -5.24%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.73%EV -2.06%E -1.17%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.51%EV -10.82%E -2.79%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 08:55
Unibet (UK)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.52%EV -5.68%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.07%EV -5.94%E -3.49%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 08:35
Marathon Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.43%EV -5.68%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 08:44
Betsson🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -5.68%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.87%EV -7.04%E -4.19%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 08:35
LowVig.ag🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%EV -4.28%E -2.47%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 08:55
BetOnline.ag🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%EV -4.28%E -2.47%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 08:55
BetAnything🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%EV -4.28%E -2.47%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 08:55
DraftKings🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.41%EV -5.38%E -3.15%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 08:45
SportsBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.79%EV -5.38%E -3.15%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 08:55
Bovada🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -7.04%E -4.19%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 08:45
Fanatics🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.08%EV -6.49%E -3.84%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 08:05
NordicBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.56%EV -7.04%E -4.19%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 08:34
PlayUp🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -7.85%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -5.94%E -3.49%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 08:55
Betclic (FR)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -7.85%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.45%EV -10.82%E -2.79%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 08:34
Unibet (FR)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.15%EV -7.85%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.50%EV -10.36%E -6.40%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 08:36
BetMGM🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -8.93%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.80%EV -6.49%E -3.84%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 08:55
Betr (AU)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -8.93%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.07%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.30%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 08:36
Winamax (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -11.10%E -2.71%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.95%EV -8.15%E -4.91%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 08:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -11.10%E -2.71%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 08:55
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.18%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 08:55
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.18%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 08:55
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.18%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 08:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.18%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 08:55
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 08:55
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 08:35
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 08:55
Neds🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 08:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 08:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 08:55
Winamax (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.63%EV -9.26%E -5.64%K -14.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.97%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 08:35
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.61%EV -10.36%E -6.40%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-29 08:41
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.53%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-08-29 08:36
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.53%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-08-29 08:46
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.53%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-08-29 08:40
Matchbook◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.53%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-08-29 08:36
Smarkets◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.67%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91%1.5%2026-08-29 08:50
Kalshi◎4.55I 21.98%NM 21.52%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.96%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51%2.1%2026-08-29 08:55