Language:English
FC Tokyo v FC Machida Zelvia
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Tokyo (Local)
Prediction 40.67%2.46fair odd
EV -4.43%
Edge -1.89%
Kelly -3.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.07%40.62%40.63%41.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.272.252.3545.45%44.14%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Machida Zelvia (Visit)
Prediction 28.27%3.54fair odd
EV +3.18%
Edge +0.872%
Kelly +1.20%
Growth +0.038%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.03%28.41%28.27%30.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.243.253.6534.48%30.86%30.77%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.06%3.22fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -0.682%
Kelly -1.000%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.95%30.97%31.10%32.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.882.972.953.1534.72%33.70%33.90%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Tokyo (Local): 40.67%; FC Machida Zelvia (Visit): 28.27%; Draw: 31.06%. For FC Machida Zelvia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.54. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.18%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.66%EV -7.28%E -3.19%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.03%EV +3.18%E +0.872%K +1.20%G +0.038% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.31%EV -8.67%E -2.95%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.47%EV -5.65%E -2.44%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49%EV -1.06%E -0.302%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.04%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.90%EV -7.28%E -3.19%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.29%EV -1.06%E -0.302%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.90%EV -7.28%E -3.19%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.29%EV -1.06%E -0.302%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.90%EV -7.28%E -3.19%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.29%EV -1.06%E -0.302%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.88%EV -7.28%E -3.19%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -5.02%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.38%EV -7.74%E -2.61%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.30%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -5.26%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 09:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 08:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 09:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 09:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 09:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.36%E -2.83%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-08 08:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -2.15%E -0.682%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 08:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.57%EV -9.29%E -3.18%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 08:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.57%EV -9.29%E -3.18%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 08:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 09:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 09:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 09:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 09:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.97%EV -9.72%E -4.38%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.04%EV -8.98%E -3.07%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 09:32 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -10.53%E -4.79%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 09:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 08:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -10.53%E -4.79%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.54%E -3.66%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-08 09:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -10.53%E -4.79%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.54%E -3.66%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-08 09:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -10.95%E -3.48%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -8.36%E -2.83%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 08:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -5.26%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 08:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.53%E -4.79%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-08 08:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.53%E -4.79%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -10.54%E -3.66%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 09:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.20%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -13.78%E -4.52%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-08 08:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -15.19%E -5.06%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 09:06 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -15.19%E -5.06%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 09:06 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -15.19%E -5.06%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 09:06 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -15.19%E -5.06%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 09:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -18.02%E -6.21%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-05 15:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.21% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.69% | 0.3% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 09:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 09:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 09:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.61% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.06% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.92% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.02% | 2.3% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
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