语言:简体中文
FC Tokyo v FC Machida Zelvia
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
FC Tokyo (主队)
预测 40.67%2.46公平赔率
EV -4.43%
优势 -1.89%
Kelly -3.28%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.35
博彩公司预测分布
39.07%40.62%40.63%41.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.272.252.3545.45%44.14%44.44%42.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
FC Machida Zelvia (客队)
预测 28.27%3.54公平赔率
EV +3.18%
优势 +0.872%
Kelly +1.20%
增长率 +0.038%
假设最高赔率为 3.65
博彩公司预测分布
26.03%28.41%28.27%30.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.243.253.6534.48%30.86%30.77%27.40%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 31.06%3.22公平赔率
EV -2.15%
优势 -0.682%
Kelly -1.000%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.15
博彩公司预测分布
29.95%30.97%31.10%32.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.882.972.953.1534.72%33.70%33.90%31.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：FC Tokyo (主队)：40.67%；FC Machida Zelvia (客队)：28.27%；平局：31.06%。 对于“FC Machida Zelvia (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.54。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.65，对应+3.18%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.66%EV -7.28%E -3.19%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.03%EV +3.18%E +0.872%K +1.20%G +0.038% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.31%EV -8.67%E -2.95%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.47%EV -5.65%E -2.44%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49%EV -1.06%E -0.302%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.04%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.90%EV -7.28%E -3.19%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.29%EV -1.06%E -0.302%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.90%EV -7.28%E -3.19%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.29%EV -1.06%E -0.302%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.90%EV -7.28%E -3.19%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.29%EV -1.06%E -0.302%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.88%EV -7.28%E -3.19%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -5.02%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.38%EV -7.74%E -2.61%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.30%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -5.26%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 09:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 08:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 09:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 09:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 09:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.36%E -2.83%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-08 08:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -2.15%E -0.682%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 08:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.57%EV -9.29%E -3.18%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 08:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.57%EV -9.29%E -3.18%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 08:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 09:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 09:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 09:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 09:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.97%EV -9.72%E -4.38%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.04%EV -8.98%E -3.07%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 09:32 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -10.53%E -4.79%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 09:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 08:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -10.53%E -4.79%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.54%E -3.66%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-08 09:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -10.53%E -4.79%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.54%E -3.66%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-08 09:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -10.95%E -3.48%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -8.36%E -2.83%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 08:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -5.26%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 08:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.53%E -4.79%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-08 08:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.53%E -4.79%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -10.54%E -3.66%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 09:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.20%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -13.78%E -4.52%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-08 08:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -15.19%E -5.06%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 09:06 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -15.19%E -5.06%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 09:06 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -15.19%E -5.06%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 09:06 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -15.19%E -5.06%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 09:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -18.02%E -6.21%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-05 15:40 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.21% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.69% | 0.3% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 09:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 09:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 09:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.61% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.06% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.92% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.02% | 2.3% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |