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FC Tokyo v FC Machida Zelvia
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
FC Tokyo (Local)
Predicción 40.67%2.46momio equitativo
EV -4.43%
Ventaja -1.89%
Kelly -3.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.07%40.62%40.63%41.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.272.252.3545.45%44.14%44.44%42.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
FC Machida Zelvia (Visitante)
Predicción 28.27%3.54momio equitativo
EV +3.18%
Ventaja +0.872%
Kelly +1.20%
Crecimiento +0.038%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.03%28.41%28.27%30.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.243.253.6534.48%30.86%30.77%27.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 31.06%3.22momio equitativo
EV -2.15%
Ventaja -0.682%
Kelly -1.000%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.95%30.97%31.10%32.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.882.972.953.1534.72%33.70%33.90%31.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: FC Tokyo (Local): 40.67%; FC Machida Zelvia (Visitante): 28.27%; Empate: 31.06%. Para FC Machida Zelvia (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.54. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.65, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.18%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (35 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.66%EV -7.28%E -3.19%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.03%EV +3.18%E +0.872%K +1.20%G +0.038% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.31%EV -8.67%E -2.95%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.47%EV -5.65%E -2.44%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49%EV -1.06%E -0.302%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.04%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.90%EV -7.28%E -3.19%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.29%EV -1.06%E -0.302%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.90%EV -7.28%E -3.19%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.29%EV -1.06%E -0.302%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.90%EV -7.28%E -3.19%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.29%EV -1.06%E -0.302%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.88%EV -7.28%E -3.19%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -5.02%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.38%EV -7.74%E -2.61%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.30%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -5.26%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 09:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 08:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 09:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 09:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 09:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.36%E -2.83%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-08 08:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -2.15%E -0.682%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 08:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.57%EV -9.29%E -3.18%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 08:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.57%EV -9.29%E -3.18%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 08:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 09:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 09:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 09:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 09:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.97%EV -9.72%E -4.38%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.04%EV -8.98%E -3.07%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 09:32 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -10.53%E -4.79%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 09:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 08:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -10.53%E -4.79%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.54%E -3.66%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-08 09:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -10.53%E -4.79%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.54%E -3.66%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-08 09:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -10.95%E -3.48%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -8.36%E -2.83%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 08:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -5.26%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 08:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.53%E -4.79%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-08 08:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.53%E -4.79%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -10.54%E -3.66%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 09:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.20%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -13.78%E -4.52%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-08 08:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -15.19%E -5.06%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 09:06 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -15.19%E -5.06%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 09:06 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -15.19%E -5.06%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 09:06 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -15.19%E -5.06%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 09:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -18.02%E -6.21%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-05 15:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.21% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.69% | 0.3% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 09:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 09:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 09:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.61% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.06% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.92% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.02% | 2.3% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |