Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

FC Tokyo v FC Machida Zelvia

Inizio: 2026-08-08 10:00 UTC

Finale: FC Tokyo 1–5 FC Machida Zelvia

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

35 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

FC Tokyo (Casa)

Previsione 40.67%2.46quota equa
EV -4.43%
Vantaggio -1.89%
Kelly -3.28%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.07%40.62%40.63%41.90%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.272.252.3545.45%44.14%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

FC Machida Zelvia (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.27%3.54quota equa
EV +3.18%
Vantaggio +0.872%
Kelly +1.20%
Crescita +0.038%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.03%28.41%28.27%30.98%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.243.253.6534.48%30.86%30.77%27.40%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 31.06%3.22quota equa
EV -2.15%
Vantaggio -0.682%
Kelly -1.000%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.95%30.97%31.10%32.31%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.882.972.953.1534.72%33.70%33.90%31.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: FC Tokyo (Casa): 40.67%; FC Machida Zelvia (Trasferta): 28.27%; Pareggio: 31.06%. Per FC Machida Zelvia (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.54. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 3.65, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.18%.

Quote dei bookmaker (35 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.66%EV -7.28%E -3.19%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.03%EV +3.18%E +0.872%K +1.20%G +0.038%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.31%EV -8.67%E -2.95%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 09:55
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.47%EV -5.65%E -2.44%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49%EV -1.06%E -0.302%K -0.423%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.04%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 09:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.90%EV -7.28%E -3.19%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.29%EV -1.06%E -0.302%K -0.423%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 09:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.90%EV -7.28%E -3.19%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.29%EV -1.06%E -0.302%K -0.423%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 09:55
BetAnything🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.90%EV -7.28%E -3.19%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.29%EV -1.06%E -0.302%K -0.423%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.81%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 09:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.88%EV -7.28%E -3.19%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -5.02%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.38%EV -7.74%E -2.61%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 09:55
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.30%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -5.26%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 09:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 08:25
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 09:44
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 09:39
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 09:45
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 09:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.36%E -2.83%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 08:10
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -4.43%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -2.15%E -0.682%K -1.000%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 08:05
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.57%EV -9.29%E -3.18%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 08:30
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.57%EV -9.29%E -3.18%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 08:25
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 09:30
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 09:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 09:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 09:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 40.97%EV -9.72%E -4.38%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.04%EV -8.98%E -3.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 09:32
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -10.53%E -4.79%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 09:30
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 08:10
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -10.53%E -4.79%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.54%E -3.66%K -5.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 09:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -10.53%E -4.79%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.54%E -3.66%K -5.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 09:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -10.95%E -3.48%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -8.36%E -2.83%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 08:25
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -5.26%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 08:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.53%E -4.79%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-08 08:25
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.53%E -4.79%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -10.54%E -3.66%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 09:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.20%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -13.78%E -4.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-08 08:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -15.19%E -5.06%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 09:06
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -15.19%E -5.06%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 09:06
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -15.19%E -5.06%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 09:06
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -15.19%E -5.06%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.91%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 09:05
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -18.02%E -6.21%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -6.81%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-05 15:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.21%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.69%0.3%2026-08-08 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%0.6%2026-08-08 09:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%0.6%2026-08-08 09:45
Matchbook◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%0.6%2026-08-08 09:45
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.61%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66%1.0%2026-08-08 09:55
Smarkets◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.92%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.02%2.3%2026-08-08 09:55