Language:English
FC Machida Zelvia v Yokohama F Marinos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Machida Zelvia (Local)
Prediction 54.42%1.84fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.829%
Kelly -1.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.56%54.29%54.45%55.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.721.711.8161.73%58.10%58.48%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Yokohama F Marinos (Visit)
Prediction 20.79%4.81fair odd
EV -3.12%
Edge -0.669%
Kelly -0.852%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.01%20.85%20.77%22.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.354.304.6624.39%23.00%23.26%21.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.79%4.03fair odd
EV -2.58%
Edge -0.655%
Kelly -0.879%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.14%24.86%24.78%26.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.633.603.9328.99%27.57%27.78%25.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Machida Zelvia (Local): 54.42%; Yokohama F Marinos (Visit): 20.79%; Draw: 24.79%. For FC Machida Zelvia (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.84. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.81, with an expected value of -1.50%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.66%EV -1.50%E -0.829%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -11.64%E -2.74%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -12.00%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.66%EV -1.50%E -0.829%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -11.64%E -2.74%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -12.00%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.61%EV -2.59%E -1.45%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.61%EV -2.59%E -1.45%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -3.13%E -1.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-07 10:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -3.13%E -1.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-07 10:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -3.13%E -1.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-07 10:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -3.13%E -1.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -3.13%E -1.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -3.13%E -1.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-07 10:08 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -3.13%E -1.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-07 10:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -4.22%E -2.40%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -14.76%E -3.60%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -14.47%E -4.20%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-07 10:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -4.22%E -2.40%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -14.76%E -3.60%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -14.47%E -4.20%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -4.22%E -2.40%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -14.76%E -3.60%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -14.47%E -4.20%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.57%EV -4.76%E -2.72%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.49%EV -3.12%E -0.669%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.93%EV -5.05%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 14:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.25%EV -4.76%E -2.72%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.56%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 10:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -5.31%E -3.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.60%EV -5.85%E -3.38%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -4.37%E -0.949%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.15%EV -6.40%E -3.72%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 20.71%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.14%EV -2.58%E -0.655%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-07 02:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -6.40%E -3.72%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -4.56%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 09:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -6.40%E -3.72%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -4.56%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 09:08 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -6.40%E -3.72%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 10:16 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.89%EV -6.94%E -4.06%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -4.37%E -0.949%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 10:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.89%EV -6.94%E -4.06%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -4.37%E -0.949%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 10:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -6.94%E -4.06%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 10:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.59%EV -6.94%E -4.06%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.52%EV -5.41%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.89%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.94%E -4.06%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -4.56%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 10:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.86%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -4.37%E -0.949%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 10:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.37%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.31%EV -5.41%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -9.52%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 15:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.78%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -11.64%E -2.74%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-06 10:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-08 10:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -8.57%E -5.10%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -9.12%E -5.46%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -4.37%E -0.949%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-07 08:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -9.12%E -5.46%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-07 10:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -9.12%E -5.46%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-07 07:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -9.12%E -5.46%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.35%EV -10.75%E -6.56%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.42%EV -9.52%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-07 10:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.21%EV -11.30%E -6.93%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.55%EV -10.60%E -2.47%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.28%EV -11.84%E -7.31%K -19.10%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.45%EV -10.60%E -2.47%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.27%EV -13.73%E -3.95%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-07 10:08 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.01%EV -11.84%E -7.31%K -19.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -14.76%E -3.60%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.65%EV -12.00%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.84% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.62% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54% | 1.9% | 2026-09-09 17:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.84% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.84% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.84% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.05% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.72% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.23% | 14.9% | 2026-09-09 11:25 |