Idioma:Español
FC Machida Zelvia v Yokohama F Marinos
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
FC Machida Zelvia (Local)
Predicción 54.42%1.84momio equitativo
EV -1.50%
Ventaja -0.829%
Kelly -1.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.81
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.56%54.29%54.45%55.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.621.721.711.8161.73%58.10%58.48%55.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Yokohama F Marinos (Visitante)
Predicción 20.79%4.81momio equitativo
EV -3.12%
Ventaja -0.669%
Kelly -0.852%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.01%20.85%20.77%22.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.104.354.304.6624.39%23.00%23.26%21.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 24.79%4.03momio equitativo
EV -2.58%
Ventaja -0.655%
Kelly -0.879%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.93
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.14%24.86%24.78%26.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.453.633.603.9328.99%27.57%27.78%25.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: FC Machida Zelvia (Local): 54.42%; Yokohama F Marinos (Visitante): 20.79%; Empate: 24.79%. Para FC Machida Zelvia (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.84. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.81, con un valor esperado de -1.50%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.66%EV -1.50%E -0.829%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -11.64%E -2.74%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -12.00%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.66%EV -1.50%E -0.829%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -11.64%E -2.74%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -12.00%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.61%EV -2.59%E -1.45%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.61%EV -2.59%E -1.45%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -3.13%E -1.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-07 10:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -3.13%E -1.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-07 10:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -3.13%E -1.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-07 10:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -3.13%E -1.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -3.13%E -1.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -3.13%E -1.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-07 10:08 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -3.13%E -1.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-07 10:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -4.22%E -2.40%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -14.76%E -3.60%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -14.47%E -4.20%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-07 10:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -4.22%E -2.40%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -14.76%E -3.60%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -14.47%E -4.20%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -4.22%E -2.40%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -14.76%E -3.60%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -14.47%E -4.20%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.57%EV -4.76%E -2.72%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.49%EV -3.12%E -0.669%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.93%EV -5.05%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 14:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.25%EV -4.76%E -2.72%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.56%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 10:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -5.31%E -3.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.60%EV -5.85%E -3.38%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -4.37%E -0.949%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.15%EV -6.40%E -3.72%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 20.71%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.14%EV -2.58%E -0.655%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-07 02:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -6.40%E -3.72%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -4.56%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 09:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -6.40%E -3.72%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -4.56%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 09:08 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -6.40%E -3.72%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 10:16 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.89%EV -6.94%E -4.06%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -4.37%E -0.949%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 10:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.89%EV -6.94%E -4.06%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -4.37%E -0.949%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 10:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -6.94%E -4.06%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 10:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.59%EV -6.94%E -4.06%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.52%EV -5.41%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.89%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.94%E -4.06%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -4.56%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 10:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.86%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -4.37%E -0.949%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 10:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.37%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.31%EV -5.41%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -9.52%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 15:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.78%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -11.64%E -2.74%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-06 10:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-08 10:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -8.57%E -5.10%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -9.12%E -5.46%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -4.37%E -0.949%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-07 08:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -9.12%E -5.46%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-07 10:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -9.12%E -5.46%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-07 07:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -9.12%E -5.46%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.35%EV -10.75%E -6.56%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.42%EV -9.52%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-07 10:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.21%EV -11.30%E -6.93%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.55%EV -10.60%E -2.47%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.28%EV -11.84%E -7.31%K -19.10%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.45%EV -10.60%E -2.47%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.27%EV -13.73%E -3.95%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-07 10:08 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.01%EV -11.84%E -7.31%K -19.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -14.76%E -3.60%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.65%EV -12.00%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.84% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.62% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54% | 1.9% | 2026-09-09 17:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.84% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.84% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.84% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.05% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.72% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.23% | 14.9% | 2026-09-09 11:25 |