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FC Machida Zelvia v Yokohama F Marinos
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
FC Machida Zelvia (Хозяева)
Прогноз 54.42%1.84справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.50%
Преимущество -0.829%
Kelly -1.85%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.81
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
51.56%54.29%54.45%55.15%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.621.721.711.8161.73%58.10%58.48%55.25%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Yokohama F Marinos (Гости)
Прогноз 20.79%4.81справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.12%
Преимущество -0.669%
Kelly -0.852%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.66
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
20.01%20.85%20.77%22.13%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.104.354.304.6624.39%23.00%23.26%21.46%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 24.79%4.03справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.58%
Преимущество -0.655%
Kelly -0.879%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.93
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.14%24.86%24.78%26.39%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.453.633.603.9328.99%27.57%27.78%25.45%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: FC Machida Zelvia (Хозяева): 54.42%; Yokohama F Marinos (Гости): 20.79%; Ничья: 24.79%. Для исхода «FC Machida Zelvia (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 1.84. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 1.81, математическое ожидание — -1.50%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.66%EV -1.50%E -0.829%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -11.64%E -2.74%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -12.00%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.66%EV -1.50%E -0.829%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -11.64%E -2.74%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -12.00%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.61%EV -2.59%E -1.45%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.61%EV -2.59%E -1.45%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -3.13%E -1.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-07 10:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -3.13%E -1.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-07 10:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -3.13%E -1.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-07 10:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -3.13%E -1.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -3.13%E -1.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -3.13%E -1.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-07 10:08 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -3.13%E -1.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-07 10:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -4.22%E -2.40%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -14.76%E -3.60%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -14.47%E -4.20%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-07 10:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -4.22%E -2.40%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -14.76%E -3.60%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -14.47%E -4.20%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -4.22%E -2.40%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -14.76%E -3.60%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -14.47%E -4.20%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.57%EV -4.76%E -2.72%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.49%EV -3.12%E -0.669%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.93%EV -5.05%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 14:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.25%EV -4.76%E -2.72%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.56%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 10:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -5.31%E -3.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.60%EV -5.85%E -3.38%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -4.37%E -0.949%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.15%EV -6.40%E -3.72%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 20.71%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.14%EV -2.58%E -0.655%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-07 02:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -6.40%E -3.72%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -4.56%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 09:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -6.40%E -3.72%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -4.56%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 09:08 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -6.40%E -3.72%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 10:16 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.89%EV -6.94%E -4.06%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -4.37%E -0.949%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 10:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.89%EV -6.94%E -4.06%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -4.37%E -0.949%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 10:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -6.94%E -4.06%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 10:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.59%EV -6.94%E -4.06%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.52%EV -5.41%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.89%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.94%E -4.06%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -4.56%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 10:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.86%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -4.37%E -0.949%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 10:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.37%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.31%EV -5.41%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -9.52%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 15:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.78%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -11.64%E -2.74%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-06 10:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-08 10:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -8.57%E -5.10%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -9.12%E -5.46%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -4.37%E -0.949%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-07 08:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -9.12%E -5.46%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-07 10:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -9.12%E -5.46%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-07 07:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -9.12%E -5.46%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.35%EV -10.75%E -6.56%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.42%EV -9.52%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-07 10:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.21%EV -11.30%E -6.93%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.55%EV -10.60%E -2.47%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.28%EV -11.84%E -7.31%K -19.10%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.45%EV -10.60%E -2.47%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.27%EV -13.73%E -3.95%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-07 10:08 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.01%EV -11.84%E -7.31%K -19.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -14.76%E -3.60%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.65%EV -12.00%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.84% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.62% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54% | 1.9% | 2026-09-09 17:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.84% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.84% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.84% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.05% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.72% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.23% | 14.9% | 2026-09-09 11:25 |