Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Machida Zelvia v Yokohama F Marinos

Início: 2026-09-12 10:00 UTC

Final: FC Machida Zelvia 1–1 Yokohama F Marinos

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Machida Zelvia (Local)

Previsão 54.42%1.84odd justa
EV -1.50%
Vantagem -0.829%
Kelly -1.85%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.56%54.29%54.45%55.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.621.721.711.8161.73%58.10%58.48%55.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Yokohama F Marinos (Visitante)

Previsão 20.79%4.81odd justa
EV -3.12%
Vantagem -0.669%
Kelly -0.852%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.66

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.01%20.85%20.77%22.13%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.104.354.304.6624.39%23.00%23.26%21.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.79%4.03odd justa
EV -2.58%
Vantagem -0.655%
Kelly -0.879%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.14%24.86%24.78%26.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.453.633.603.9328.99%27.57%27.78%25.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: FC Machida Zelvia (Local): 54.42%; Yokohama F Marinos (Visitante): 20.79%; Empate: 24.79%. Para FC Machida Zelvia (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.84. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.81, com valor esperado de -1.50%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.66%EV -1.50%E -0.829%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -11.64%E -2.74%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -12.00%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 10:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.66%EV -1.50%E -0.829%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -11.64%E -2.74%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -12.00%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 10:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.61%EV -2.59%E -1.45%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-07 10:09
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.61%EV -2.59%E -1.45%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-07 10:09
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -3.13%E -1.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-07 10:10
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -3.13%E -1.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-07 10:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -3.13%E -1.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-07 10:10
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -3.13%E -1.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-07 10:09
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -3.13%E -1.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-07 10:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -3.13%E -1.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-07 10:08
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -3.13%E -1.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-07 10:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -4.22%E -2.40%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -14.76%E -3.60%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -14.47%E -4.20%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 10:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -4.22%E -2.40%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -14.76%E -3.60%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -14.47%E -4.20%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 10:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -4.22%E -2.40%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -14.76%E -3.60%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -14.47%E -4.20%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 10:09
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.57%EV -4.76%E -2.72%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.49%EV -3.12%E -0.669%K -0.852%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.93%EV -5.05%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-07 14:15
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.25%EV -4.76%E -2.72%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.56%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 10:40
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -5.31%E -3.05%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 10:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.60%EV -5.85%E -3.38%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -4.37%E -0.949%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 10:04
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.15%EV -6.40%E -3.72%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.71%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.14%EV -2.58%E -0.655%K -0.879%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 02:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -6.40%E -3.72%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -4.56%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 09:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -6.40%E -3.72%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -4.56%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 09:08
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -6.40%E -3.72%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 10:16
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.89%EV -6.94%E -4.06%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -4.37%E -0.949%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 10:25
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.89%EV -6.94%E -4.06%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -4.37%E -0.949%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 10:25
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -6.94%E -4.06%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 10:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.59%EV -6.94%E -4.06%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.52%EV -5.41%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.89%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 15:15
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.94%E -4.06%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -4.56%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 10:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.86%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -4.37%E -0.949%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 10:05
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.37%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.31%EV -5.41%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -9.52%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-07 10:09
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 15:40
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 09:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 09:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 09:05
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 09:05
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.78%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -11.64%E -2.74%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 10:40
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-08 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-08 10:00
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-08 10:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -7.49%E -4.40%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-08 10:04
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -8.57%E -5.10%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-07 10:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -9.12%E -5.46%K -13.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -4.37%E -0.949%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-07 08:50
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -9.12%E -5.46%K -13.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 10:05
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -9.12%E -5.46%K -13.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-07 07:35
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -9.12%E -5.46%K -13.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-09 10:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.35%EV -10.75%E -6.56%K -16.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.42%EV -9.52%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-07 10:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.21%EV -11.30%E -6.93%K -17.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.55%EV -10.60%E -2.47%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-08 10:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.28%EV -11.84%E -7.31%K -19.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.45%EV -10.60%E -2.47%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.27%EV -13.73%E -3.95%K -5.54%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-07 10:08
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.01%EV -11.84%E -7.31%K -19.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -14.76%E -3.60%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.65%EV -12.00%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-07 10:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.84%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.62%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54%1.9%2026-09-09 17:21
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 54.84%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%5.4%2026-09-09 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 54.84%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%5.4%2026-09-09 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 54.84%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%5.4%2026-09-09 14:50
Smarkets◎1.61I 62.11%NM 54.05%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.23%14.9%2026-09-09 11:25