Language:English
Fagiano Okayama v Tokyo Verdy
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fagiano Okayama (Local)
Prediction 52.51%1.90fair odd
EV -0.762%
Edge -0.403%
Kelly -0.856%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.87%52.30%52.50%54.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.791.771.8959.17%55.83%56.34%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tokyo Verdy (Visit)
Prediction 19.14%5.23fair odd
EV +7.55%
Edge +1.34%
Kelly +1.63%
Growth +0.123%
assuming max odds 5.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.91%19.30%19.14%22.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.604.755.6224.39%21.75%21.05%17.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.36%3.53fair odd
EV -0.752%
Edge -0.215%
Kelly -0.301%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.22%28.40%28.36%29.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.213.203.5033.33%31.13%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fagiano Okayama (Local): 52.51%; Tokyo Verdy (Visit): 19.14%; Draw: 28.36%. For Tokyo Verdy (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.23. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.62, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.55%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.30%EV -8.11%E -4.64%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 5.62I 17.79%NM 16.91%EV +7.55%E +1.34%K +1.63%G +0.123% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -6.42%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-22 09:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.14%EV -10.21%E -5.97%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -0.490%E -0.094%K -0.117%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.42%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 09:13 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.26%EV -4.96%E -2.74%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.72%EV -1.45%E -0.281%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.02%EV -2.45%E -0.713%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-22 09:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.24%EV -7.59%E -4.31%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -2.40%E -0.471%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.42%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 09:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -4.32%E -0.863%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -3.59%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-22 09:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -6.54%E -3.67%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -4.32%E -0.863%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.42%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 09:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.62%EV -8.11%E -4.64%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.60%EV -5.27%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 09:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -8.11%E -4.64%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -6.23%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 09:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -9.69%E -5.63%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -6.23%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.42%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 08:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%EV -6.01%E -3.36%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.24%EV -7.19%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.63%EV -7.56%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 09:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.14%EV -7.06%E -3.99%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -7.19%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 09:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.85%EV -9.69%E -5.63%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.74%EV -7.19%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-22 09:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -0.752%E -0.215%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-22 09:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -0.752%E -0.215%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-22 09:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.57%EV -4.44%E -2.44%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.84%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 09:23 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.57%EV -4.44%E -2.44%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.84%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 09:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -3.91%E -2.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 09:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.19%EV -11.26%E -6.66%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.73%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 09:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.62%EV -9.16%E -5.30%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -14.93%E -4.98%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-22 08:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.62%EV -9.16%E -5.30%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -14.93%E -4.98%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-22 08:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.62%EV -9.16%E -5.30%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -14.93%E -4.98%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-22 08:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.62%EV -9.16%E -5.30%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -14.93%E -4.98%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-22 08:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.96%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -9.10%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -6.42%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 09:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -8.11%E -4.64%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -9.10%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.84%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 09:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -9.16%E -5.30%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.12%EV -9.10%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-22 09:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -9.16%E -5.30%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.12%EV -9.10%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-22 09:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -3.91%E -2.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.84%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 07:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.83%EV -7.06%E -3.99%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.84%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 09:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.48%EV -8.64%E -4.96%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -6.42%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 09:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.14%EV -10.74%E -6.32%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -12.09%E -3.90%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-22 09:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -8.11%E -4.64%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -13.89%E -3.09%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-22 09:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.38%EV -10.74%E -6.32%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -13.89%E -3.09%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 09:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -8.11%E -4.64%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -17.14%E -3.96%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -12.09%E -3.90%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-22 07:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -8.11%E -4.64%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -17.14%E -3.96%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -12.09%E -3.90%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-22 07:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -8.11%E -4.64%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -17.14%E -3.96%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -12.09%E -3.90%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-22 07:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -8.11%E -4.64%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -17.14%E -3.96%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -12.09%E -3.90%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-22 07:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.00%EV -0.762%E -0.403%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -19.63%E -4.67%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 08:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.00%EV -0.762%E -0.403%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -19.63%E -4.67%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 08:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -1.29%E -0.685%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -19.63%E -4.67%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-22 08:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -1.29%E -0.685%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -19.63%E -4.67%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-22 08:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -1.29%E -0.685%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -21.54%E -5.25%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 08:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -1.29%E -0.685%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -21.54%E -5.25%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 08:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -1.29%E -0.685%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -21.54%E -5.25%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 08:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -1.29%E -0.685%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -21.54%E -5.25%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 08:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -1.29%E -0.685%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -21.54%E -5.25%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 08:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -1.29%E -0.685%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -21.54%E -5.25%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 08:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -1.29%E -0.685%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -21.54%E -5.25%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 08:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.92%EV -2.34%E -1.26%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -21.54%E -5.25%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -10.68%E -3.39%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 08:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.92%EV -2.34%E -1.26%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -21.54%E -5.25%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -10.68%E -3.39%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 08:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.06%EV -2.86%E -1.55%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -21.54%E -5.25%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -10.68%E -3.39%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-22 08:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.35% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.14% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.51% | 0.2% | 2026-08-22 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97% | 0.7% | 2026-08-22 09:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.76% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.76% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 09:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.50% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.38% | 2.1% | 2026-08-22 09:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.37% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.47% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.16% | 2.9% | 2026-08-22 09:05 |