Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Fagiano Okayama v Tokyo Verdy

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-22 09:30 UTC

Score final : Fagiano Okayama 0–0 Tokyo Verdy

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Fagiano Okayama (Local)

Prévision 52.51%1.90cote équitable
EV -0.762%
Avantage -0.403%
Kelly -0.856%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.87%52.30%52.50%54.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.691.791.771.8959.17%55.83%56.34%52.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Tokyo Verdy (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.14%5.23cote équitable
EV +7.55%
Avantage +1.34%
Kelly +1.63%
Croissance +0.123%

avec la cote maximale 5.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.91%19.30%19.14%22.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.104.604.755.6224.39%21.75%21.05%17.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.36%3.53cote équitable
EV -0.752%
Avantage -0.215%
Kelly -0.301%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.22%28.40%28.36%29.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.213.203.5033.33%31.13%31.25%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Fagiano Okayama (Local) : 52.51% ; Tokyo Verdy (Visiteur) : 19.14% ; Match nul : 28.36%. Pour Tokyo Verdy (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.23. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.62, soit une espérance positive de +7.55%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.30%EV -8.11%E -4.64%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.62I 17.79%NM 16.91%EV +7.55%E +1.34%K +1.63%G +0.123%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -6.42%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 09:24
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.14%EV -10.21%E -5.97%K -14.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -0.490%E -0.094%K -0.117%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.42%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 09:13
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.26%EV -4.96%E -2.74%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.72%EV -1.45%E -0.281%K -0.349%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.02%EV -2.45%E -0.713%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-22 09:15
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.24%EV -7.59%E -4.31%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -2.40%E -0.471%K -0.586%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.42%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 09:14
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -4.32%E -0.863%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -3.59%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 09:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -6.54%E -3.67%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -4.32%E -0.863%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.42%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 09:09
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.62%EV -8.11%E -4.64%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.60%EV -5.27%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 09:10
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -8.11%E -4.64%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -6.23%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 09:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -9.69%E -5.63%K -13.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -6.23%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.42%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 08:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%EV -6.01%E -3.36%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.24%EV -7.19%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.63%EV -7.56%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 09:19
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.14%EV -7.06%E -3.99%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -7.19%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 09:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.85%EV -9.69%E -5.63%K -13.46%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.74%EV -7.19%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 09:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -0.752%E -0.215%K -0.301%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 09:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -0.752%E -0.215%K -0.301%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 09:15
Bovada🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.57%EV -4.44%E -2.44%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.84%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 09:23
BetAnything🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.57%EV -4.44%E -2.44%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.84%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 09:24
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -3.91%E -2.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 09:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.19%EV -11.26%E -6.66%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.73%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-22 09:10
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.62%EV -9.16%E -5.30%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -14.93%E -4.98%K -7.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 08:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.62%EV -9.16%E -5.30%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -14.93%E -4.98%K -7.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 08:09
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.62%EV -9.16%E -5.30%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -14.93%E -4.98%K -7.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 08:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.62%EV -9.16%E -5.30%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -14.93%E -4.98%K -7.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 08:10
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.96%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -9.10%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -6.42%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 09:10
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -8.11%E -4.64%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -9.10%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.84%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 09:20
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -9.16%E -5.30%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.12%EV -9.10%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 09:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -9.16%E -5.30%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.12%EV -9.10%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 09:20
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -3.91%E -2.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.84%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 07:54
Bet Right🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.83%EV -7.06%E -3.99%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.84%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 09:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.48%EV -8.64%E -4.96%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -6.42%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 09:10
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.14%EV -10.74%E -6.32%K -15.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -12.09%E -3.90%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-22 09:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -8.11%E -4.64%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -13.89%E -3.09%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 09:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.38%EV -10.74%E -6.32%K -15.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -13.89%E -3.09%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-22 09:10
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -8.11%E -4.64%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -17.14%E -3.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -12.09%E -3.90%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 07:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -8.11%E -4.64%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -17.14%E -3.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -12.09%E -3.90%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 07:55
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -8.11%E -4.64%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -17.14%E -3.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -12.09%E -3.90%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 07:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -8.11%E -4.64%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -17.14%E -3.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -12.09%E -3.90%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 07:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.00%EV -0.762%E -0.403%K -0.856%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -19.63%E -4.67%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 08:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.00%EV -0.762%E -0.403%K -0.856%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -19.63%E -4.67%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 08:35
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -1.29%E -0.685%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -19.63%E -4.67%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 08:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -1.29%E -0.685%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -19.63%E -4.67%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 08:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -1.29%E -0.685%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -21.54%E -5.25%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 08:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -1.29%E -0.685%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -21.54%E -5.25%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 08:35
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -1.29%E -0.685%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -21.54%E -5.25%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 08:35
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -1.29%E -0.685%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -21.54%E -5.25%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 08:35
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -1.29%E -0.685%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -21.54%E -5.25%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 08:35
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -1.29%E -0.685%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -21.54%E -5.25%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 08:35
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -1.29%E -0.685%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -21.54%E -5.25%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 08:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.92%EV -2.34%E -1.26%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -21.54%E -5.25%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -10.68%E -3.39%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 08:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.92%EV -2.34%E -1.26%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -21.54%E -5.25%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -10.68%E -3.39%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 08:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.06%EV -2.86%E -1.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -21.54%E -5.25%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -10.68%E -3.39%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 08:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.35%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.51%0.2%2026-08-22 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97%0.7%2026-08-22 09:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.76%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%1.1%2026-08-22 09:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.76%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%1.1%2026-08-22 09:15
Smarkets◎1.83I 54.64%NM 53.50%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.38%2.1%2026-08-22 09:20
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.37%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.47%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.16%2.9%2026-08-22 09:05