Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Fagiano Okayama v Tokyo Verdy

Início: 2026-08-22 09:30 UTC

Final: Fagiano Okayama 0–0 Tokyo Verdy

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Fagiano Okayama (Local)

Previsão 52.51%1.90odd justa
EV -0.762%
Vantagem -0.403%
Kelly -0.856%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.89

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.87%52.30%52.50%54.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.691.791.771.8959.17%55.83%56.34%52.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tokyo Verdy (Visitante)

Previsão 19.14%5.23odd justa
EV +7.55%
Vantagem +1.34%
Kelly +1.63%
Crescimento +0.123%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.62

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.91%19.30%19.14%22.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.104.604.755.6224.39%21.75%21.05%17.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.36%3.53odd justa
EV -0.752%
Vantagem -0.215%
Kelly -0.301%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.22%28.40%28.36%29.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.213.203.5033.33%31.13%31.25%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Fagiano Okayama (Local): 52.51%; Tokyo Verdy (Visitante): 19.14%; Empate: 28.36%. Para Tokyo Verdy (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.23. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.62, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +7.55%.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.30%EV -8.11%E -4.64%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.62I 17.79%NM 16.91%EV +7.55%E +1.34%K +1.63%G +0.123%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -6.42%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 09:24
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.14%EV -10.21%E -5.97%K -14.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -0.490%E -0.094%K -0.117%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.42%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 09:13
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.26%EV -4.96%E -2.74%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.72%EV -1.45%E -0.281%K -0.349%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.02%EV -2.45%E -0.713%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-22 09:15
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.24%EV -7.59%E -4.31%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -2.40%E -0.471%K -0.586%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.42%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 09:14
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -4.32%E -0.863%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -3.59%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 09:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -6.54%E -3.67%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -4.32%E -0.863%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.42%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 09:09
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.62%EV -8.11%E -4.64%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.60%EV -5.27%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 09:10
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -8.11%E -4.64%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -6.23%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 09:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -9.69%E -5.63%K -13.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -6.23%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.42%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 08:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%EV -6.01%E -3.36%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.24%EV -7.19%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.63%EV -7.56%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 09:19
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.14%EV -7.06%E -3.99%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -7.19%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 09:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.85%EV -9.69%E -5.63%K -13.46%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.74%EV -7.19%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 09:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -0.752%E -0.215%K -0.301%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 09:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -0.752%E -0.215%K -0.301%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 09:15
Bovada🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.57%EV -4.44%E -2.44%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.84%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 09:23
BetAnything🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.57%EV -4.44%E -2.44%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.84%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 09:24
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -3.91%E -2.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 09:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.19%EV -11.26%E -6.66%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.73%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-22 09:10
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.62%EV -9.16%E -5.30%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -14.93%E -4.98%K -7.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 08:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.62%EV -9.16%E -5.30%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -14.93%E -4.98%K -7.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 08:09
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.62%EV -9.16%E -5.30%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -14.93%E -4.98%K -7.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 08:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.62%EV -9.16%E -5.30%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -14.93%E -4.98%K -7.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 08:10
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.96%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -9.10%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -6.42%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 09:10
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -8.11%E -4.64%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -9.10%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.84%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 09:20
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -9.16%E -5.30%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.12%EV -9.10%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 09:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -9.16%E -5.30%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.12%EV -9.10%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 09:20
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -3.91%E -2.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.84%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 07:54
Bet Right🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.83%EV -7.06%E -3.99%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.84%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 09:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.48%EV -8.64%E -4.96%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -6.42%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 09:10
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.14%EV -10.74%E -6.32%K -15.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -12.09%E -3.90%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-22 09:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -8.11%E -4.64%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -13.89%E -3.09%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 09:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.38%EV -10.74%E -6.32%K -15.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -13.89%E -3.09%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-22 09:10
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -8.11%E -4.64%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -17.14%E -3.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -12.09%E -3.90%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 07:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -8.11%E -4.64%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -17.14%E -3.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -12.09%E -3.90%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 07:55
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -8.11%E -4.64%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -17.14%E -3.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -12.09%E -3.90%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 07:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -8.11%E -4.64%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -17.14%E -3.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -12.09%E -3.90%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 07:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.00%EV -0.762%E -0.403%K -0.856%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -19.63%E -4.67%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 08:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.00%EV -0.762%E -0.403%K -0.856%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -19.63%E -4.67%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 08:35
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -1.29%E -0.685%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -19.63%E -4.67%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 08:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -1.29%E -0.685%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -19.63%E -4.67%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 08:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -1.29%E -0.685%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -21.54%E -5.25%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 08:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -1.29%E -0.685%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -21.54%E -5.25%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 08:35
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -1.29%E -0.685%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -21.54%E -5.25%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 08:35
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -1.29%E -0.685%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -21.54%E -5.25%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 08:35
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -1.29%E -0.685%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -21.54%E -5.25%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 08:35
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -1.29%E -0.685%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -21.54%E -5.25%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 08:35
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -1.29%E -0.685%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -21.54%E -5.25%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 08:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.92%EV -2.34%E -1.26%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -21.54%E -5.25%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -10.68%E -3.39%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 08:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.92%EV -2.34%E -1.26%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -21.54%E -5.25%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -10.68%E -3.39%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 08:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.06%EV -2.86%E -1.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -21.54%E -5.25%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -10.68%E -3.39%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 08:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.35%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.51%0.2%2026-08-22 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97%0.7%2026-08-22 09:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.76%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%1.1%2026-08-22 09:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.76%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%1.1%2026-08-22 09:15
Smarkets◎1.83I 54.64%NM 53.50%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.38%2.1%2026-08-22 09:20
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.37%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.47%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.16%2.9%2026-08-22 09:05