Idioma:Español
Fagiano Okayama v Tokyo Verdy
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Fagiano Okayama (Local)
Predicción 52.51%1.90momio equitativo
EV -0.762%
Ventaja -0.403%
Kelly -0.856%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.89
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.87%52.30%52.50%54.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.691.791.771.8959.17%55.83%56.34%52.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Tokyo Verdy (Visitante)
Predicción 19.14%5.23momio equitativo
EV +7.55%
Ventaja +1.34%
Kelly +1.63%
Crecimiento +0.123%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.91%19.30%19.14%22.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.104.604.755.6224.39%21.75%21.05%17.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 28.36%3.53momio equitativo
EV -0.752%
Ventaja -0.215%
Kelly -0.301%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.22%28.40%28.36%29.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.213.203.5033.33%31.13%31.25%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Fagiano Okayama (Local): 52.51%; Tokyo Verdy (Visitante): 19.14%; Empate: 28.36%. Para Tokyo Verdy (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.23. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.62, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +7.55%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.30%EV -8.11%E -4.64%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 5.62I 17.79%NM 16.91%EV +7.55%E +1.34%K +1.63%G +0.123% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -6.42%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-22 09:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.14%EV -10.21%E -5.97%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -0.490%E -0.094%K -0.117%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.42%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 09:13 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.26%EV -4.96%E -2.74%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.72%EV -1.45%E -0.281%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.02%EV -2.45%E -0.713%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-22 09:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.24%EV -7.59%E -4.31%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -2.40%E -0.471%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.42%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 09:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -4.32%E -0.863%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -3.59%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-22 09:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -6.54%E -3.67%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -4.32%E -0.863%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.42%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 09:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.62%EV -8.11%E -4.64%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.60%EV -5.27%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 09:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -8.11%E -4.64%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -6.23%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 09:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -9.69%E -5.63%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -6.23%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.42%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 08:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%EV -6.01%E -3.36%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.24%EV -7.19%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.63%EV -7.56%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 09:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.14%EV -7.06%E -3.99%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -7.19%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 09:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.85%EV -9.69%E -5.63%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.74%EV -7.19%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-22 09:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -0.752%E -0.215%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-22 09:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -0.752%E -0.215%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-22 09:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.57%EV -4.44%E -2.44%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.84%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 09:23 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.57%EV -4.44%E -2.44%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.84%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 09:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -3.91%E -2.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 09:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.19%EV -11.26%E -6.66%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.73%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 09:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.62%EV -9.16%E -5.30%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -14.93%E -4.98%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-22 08:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.62%EV -9.16%E -5.30%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -14.93%E -4.98%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-22 08:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.62%EV -9.16%E -5.30%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -14.93%E -4.98%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-22 08:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.62%EV -9.16%E -5.30%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -14.93%E -4.98%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-22 08:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.96%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -9.10%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -6.42%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 09:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -8.11%E -4.64%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -9.10%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.84%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 09:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -9.16%E -5.30%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.12%EV -9.10%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-22 09:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -9.16%E -5.30%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.12%EV -9.10%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-22 09:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -3.91%E -2.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.84%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 07:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.83%EV -7.06%E -3.99%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.84%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 09:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.48%EV -8.64%E -4.96%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -6.42%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 09:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.14%EV -10.74%E -6.32%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -11.97%E -2.60%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -12.09%E -3.90%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-22 09:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -8.11%E -4.64%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -13.89%E -3.09%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-22 09:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.38%EV -10.74%E -6.32%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -13.89%E -3.09%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 09:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -8.11%E -4.64%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -17.14%E -3.96%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -12.09%E -3.90%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-22 07:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -8.11%E -4.64%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -17.14%E -3.96%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -12.09%E -3.90%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-22 07:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -8.11%E -4.64%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -17.14%E -3.96%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -12.09%E -3.90%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-22 07:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -8.11%E -4.64%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -17.14%E -3.96%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -12.09%E -3.90%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-22 07:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.00%EV -0.762%E -0.403%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -19.63%E -4.67%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 08:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.00%EV -0.762%E -0.403%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -19.63%E -4.67%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 08:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -1.29%E -0.685%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -19.63%E -4.67%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-22 08:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -1.29%E -0.685%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -19.63%E -4.67%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-22 08:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -1.29%E -0.685%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -21.54%E -5.25%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 08:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -1.29%E -0.685%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -21.54%E -5.25%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 08:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -1.29%E -0.685%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -21.54%E -5.25%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 08:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -1.29%E -0.685%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -21.54%E -5.25%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 08:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -1.29%E -0.685%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -21.54%E -5.25%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 08:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -1.29%E -0.685%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -21.54%E -5.25%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 08:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -1.29%E -0.685%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -21.54%E -5.25%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.26%E -2.89%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 08:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.92%EV -2.34%E -1.26%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -21.54%E -5.25%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -10.68%E -3.39%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 08:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.92%EV -2.34%E -1.26%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -21.54%E -5.25%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -10.68%E -3.39%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 08:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.06%EV -2.86%E -1.55%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -21.54%E -5.25%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -10.68%E -3.39%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-22 08:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.35% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.14% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.51% | 0.2% | 2026-08-22 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97% | 0.7% | 2026-08-22 09:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.76% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.76% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 09:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.50% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.38% | 2.1% | 2026-08-22 09:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.37% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.47% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.16% | 2.9% | 2026-08-22 09:05 |