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Fagiano Okayama v Kyoto Purple Sanga

2026-09-19 10:00 UTC — J League

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fagiano Okayama (Local)

Prediction 49.81%2.01fair odd
EV -3.86%
Edge -2.00%
Kelly -4.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.70%49.81%49.89%50.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.841.851.9357.14%54.26%54.05%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kyoto Purple Sanga (Visit)

Prediction 23.79%4.20fair odd
EV -0.099%
Edge -0.024%
Kelly -0.031%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.72%23.73%23.69%24.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.863.904.2028.57%25.93%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.40%3.79fair odd
EV -4.43%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -1.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.62%26.46%26.42%27.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.463.503.6230.77%28.94%28.57%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Fagiano Okayama (Local): 49.81%; Kyoto Purple Sanga (Visit): 23.79%; Draw: 26.40%. For Kyoto Purple Sanga (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.204. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.200, with an expected value of -0.099%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.52%EV -3.86%E -2.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.08%EV -5.57%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.40%EV -4.43%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 11:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -4.86%E -2.54%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -7.23%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 11:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -4.86%E -2.54%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -7.23%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 11:30
Pinnacle🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.99%EV -5.36%E -2.82%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.63%EV -4.38%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.95%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 10:55
Fanatics🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.70%EV -5.86%E -3.10%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 10:10
Coolbet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.77%EV -6.35%E -3.38%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -0.099%E -0.024%K -0.031%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -4.95%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 09:51
Marathon Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%EV -6.35%E -3.38%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.04%EV -7.71%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.35%EV -6.54%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 10:50
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -7.85%E -4.24%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -4.86%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.95%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 09:49
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.74%EV -7.85%E -4.24%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -7.23%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -8.91%E -2.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 10:01
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.85%E -4.24%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 14:45
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.85%E -4.24%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.23%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 10:00
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.85%E -4.24%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.23%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -12.87%E -3.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 10:45
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.85%E -4.24%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.23%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -12.87%E -3.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 10:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.85%E -4.24%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.23%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -12.87%E -3.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 10:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.85%E -4.24%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.23%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -12.87%E -3.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 10:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.06%EV -8.35%E -4.54%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.23%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 10:00
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.91%EV -8.35%E -4.54%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -8.42%E -2.19%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 09:50
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -8.84%E -4.83%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -4.86%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -4.95%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 09:50
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -10.34%E -5.74%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 09:56
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.81%EV -10.34%E -5.74%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -13.18%E -3.61%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-13 10:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 49.97%EV -12.33%E -7.01%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%EV -11.55%E -3.45%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-13 10:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 49.84%EV -12.33%E -7.01%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -14.37%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.80%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-13 10:06
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.04%EV -12.83%E -7.33%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.67%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.30%EV -12.08%E -3.63%K -5.19%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-13 09:59
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.06%EV -12.83%E -7.33%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.53%EV -16.75%E -4.79%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -14.19%E -4.37%K -6.31%G +0.000%16.5%2026-09-13 09:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 49.01%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.95%7.9%2026-09-13 14:50
Smarkets◎1.75I 57.14%NM 49.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.17%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.81%16.6%2026-09-13 10:06