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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Fagiano Okayama v Kyoto Purple Sanga

Início: 2026-09-19 10:00 UTC

Final: Fagiano Okayama 1–2 Kyoto Purple Sanga

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Fagiano Okayama (Local)

Previsão 50.21%1.99odd justa
EV -1.58%
Vantagem -0.808%
Kelly -1.65%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.44%50.22%50.20%52.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.751.871.871.9657.14%53.49%53.48%51.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kyoto Purple Sanga (Visitante)

Previsão 23.45%4.26odd justa
EV -0.101%
Vantagem -0.024%
Kelly -0.031%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.26

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.90%23.39%23.50%24.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.603.863.814.2627.78%25.93%26.21%23.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.34%3.80odd justa
EV -1.76%
Vantagem -0.472%
Kelly -0.645%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.55%26.39%26.30%27.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.453.403.7330.30%29.02%29.41%26.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Fagiano Okayama (Local): 50.21%; Kyoto Purple Sanga (Visitante): 23.45%; Empate: 26.34%. Para Kyoto Purple Sanga (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.264. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 4.260, com valor esperado de -0.101%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.64%EV -1.58%E -0.808%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -12.06%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 00:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.64%EV -1.58%E -0.808%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -12.06%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 00:25
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.70%EV -2.59%E -1.33%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -12.06%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -11.77%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-16 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.70%EV -2.59%E -1.33%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -12.06%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -11.77%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-16 00:25
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -2.59%E -1.33%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -13.23%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -11.77%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-16 00:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -3.09%E -1.60%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -13.23%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -11.77%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-16 00:25
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -3.09%E -1.60%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -13.23%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -11.77%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-16 00:25
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -3.09%E -1.60%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -13.23%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -11.77%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-16 00:25
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -3.09%E -1.60%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -13.23%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -11.77%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-16 00:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -3.09%E -1.60%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -13.23%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -11.77%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-16 00:25
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -3.09%E -1.60%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -13.23%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -11.77%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-16 00:25
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.67%EV -3.59%E -1.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-14 09:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -3.59%E -1.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -14.41%E -3.95%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-16 00:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -3.59%E -1.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -14.41%E -3.95%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-16 00:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -3.59%E -1.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -14.41%E -3.95%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-16 00:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 10:05
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -4.60%E -2.42%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-14 09:40
Fanatics🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.70%EV -5.10%E -2.70%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 10:10
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.77%EV -5.60%E -2.98%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.94%EV -2.45%E -0.588%K -0.774%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.29%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 11:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -5.60%E -2.98%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 06:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.08%EV -6.10%E -3.26%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%EV -1.51%E -0.359%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.17%EV -3.87%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 12:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.08%EV -6.10%E -3.26%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%EV -1.51%E -0.359%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.17%EV -3.87%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 12:55
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.08%EV -6.10%E -3.26%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%EV -1.51%E -0.359%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.17%EV -3.87%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 12:55
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.51%EV -6.10%E -3.26%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -3.87%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 11:25
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -6.10%E -3.26%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 12:27
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -6.10%E -3.26%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 12:30
Bet Right🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.00%EV -6.10%E -3.26%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -12.06%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 09:41
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.67%EV -6.61%E -3.55%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.56%EV -0.101%E -0.024%K -0.031%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.77%EV -1.76%E -0.472%K -0.645%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 10:10
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 10:04
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -7.37%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 06:55
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -7.37%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 06:55
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-17 16:39
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-17 16:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-17 16:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-17 16:40
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-14 09:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -13.23%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-18 10:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.79%EV -8.11%E -4.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.95%EV -5.03%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.26%EV -6.77%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 12:23
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -8.11%E -4.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-17 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -8.11%E -4.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -13.23%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-18 12:25
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -8.11%E -4.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -13.23%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-18 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -8.11%E -4.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -13.23%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-18 12:30
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -8.11%E -4.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -13.23%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-18 12:30
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -8.11%E -4.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -15.58%E -4.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-16 10:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -9.62%E -5.34%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.06%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-18 06:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.91%EV -10.62%E -5.97%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.34%EV -14.41%E -3.95%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.75%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-18 06:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.44%EV -11.12%E -6.28%K -14.45%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.31%EV -10.18%E -2.66%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 06:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.98%EV -11.63%E -6.61%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.01%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-18 10:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -12.13%E -6.93%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -1.51%E -0.359%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-17 22:05
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -12.13%E -6.93%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-17 16:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.59%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.28%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14%2.0%2026-09-18 14:30
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.01%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-09-18 15:10
Smarkets◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.19%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.74%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.07%2.3%2026-09-18 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.14%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.60%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%2.9%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.14%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.60%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%2.9%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.14%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.60%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%2.9%2026-09-18 14:30