L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Fagiano Okayama v Kyoto Purple Sanga

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 10:00 UTC

Score final : Fagiano Okayama 1–2 Kyoto Purple Sanga

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Fagiano Okayama (Local)

Prévision 50.21%1.99cote équitable
EV -1.58%
Avantage -0.808%
Kelly -1.65%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.44%50.22%50.20%52.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.751.871.871.9657.14%53.49%53.48%51.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Kyoto Purple Sanga (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.45%4.26cote équitable
EV -0.101%
Avantage -0.024%
Kelly -0.031%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.90%23.39%23.50%24.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.863.814.2627.78%25.93%26.21%23.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.34%3.80cote équitable
EV -1.76%
Avantage -0.472%
Kelly -0.645%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.55%26.39%26.30%27.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.453.403.7330.30%29.02%29.41%26.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Fagiano Okayama (Local) : 50.21% ; Kyoto Purple Sanga (Visiteur) : 23.45% ; Match nul : 26.34%. Pour Kyoto Purple Sanga (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.264. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.260, pour une espérance de -0.101% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.64%EV -1.58%E -0.808%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -12.06%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 00:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.64%EV -1.58%E -0.808%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -12.06%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 00:25
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.70%EV -2.59%E -1.33%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -12.06%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -11.77%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-16 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.70%EV -2.59%E -1.33%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -12.06%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -11.77%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-16 00:25
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -2.59%E -1.33%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -13.23%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -11.77%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-16 00:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -3.09%E -1.60%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -13.23%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -11.77%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-16 00:25
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -3.09%E -1.60%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -13.23%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -11.77%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-16 00:25
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -3.09%E -1.60%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -13.23%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -11.77%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-16 00:25
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -3.09%E -1.60%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -13.23%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -11.77%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-16 00:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -3.09%E -1.60%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -13.23%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -11.77%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-16 00:25
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -3.09%E -1.60%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -13.23%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -11.77%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-16 00:25
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.67%EV -3.59%E -1.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-14 09:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -3.59%E -1.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -14.41%E -3.95%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-16 00:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -3.59%E -1.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -14.41%E -3.95%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-16 00:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -3.59%E -1.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -14.41%E -3.95%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-16 00:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 10:05
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -4.60%E -2.42%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-14 09:40
Fanatics🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.70%EV -5.10%E -2.70%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 10:10
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.77%EV -5.60%E -2.98%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.94%EV -2.45%E -0.588%K -0.774%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.29%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 11:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -5.60%E -2.98%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 06:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.08%EV -6.10%E -3.26%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%EV -1.51%E -0.359%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.17%EV -3.87%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 12:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.08%EV -6.10%E -3.26%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%EV -1.51%E -0.359%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.17%EV -3.87%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 12:55
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.08%EV -6.10%E -3.26%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%EV -1.51%E -0.359%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.17%EV -3.87%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 12:55
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.51%EV -6.10%E -3.26%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -3.87%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 11:25
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -6.10%E -3.26%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 12:27
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -6.10%E -3.26%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 12:30
Bet Right🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.00%EV -6.10%E -3.26%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -12.06%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 09:41
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.67%EV -6.61%E -3.55%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.56%EV -0.101%E -0.024%K -0.031%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.77%EV -1.76%E -0.472%K -0.645%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 10:10
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 10:04
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -7.37%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 06:55
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -7.37%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 06:55
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-17 16:39
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-17 16:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-17 16:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-17 16:40
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -10.89%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-14 09:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -13.23%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-18 10:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.79%EV -8.11%E -4.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.95%EV -5.03%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.26%EV -6.77%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 12:23
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -8.11%E -4.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-17 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -8.11%E -4.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -13.23%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-18 12:25
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -8.11%E -4.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -13.23%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-18 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -8.11%E -4.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -13.23%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-18 12:30
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -8.11%E -4.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -13.23%E -3.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-18 12:30
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -8.11%E -4.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -15.58%E -4.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-16 10:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -9.62%E -5.34%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.06%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-18 06:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.91%EV -10.62%E -5.97%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.34%EV -14.41%E -3.95%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.75%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-18 06:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.44%EV -11.12%E -6.28%K -14.45%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.31%EV -10.18%E -2.66%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 06:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.98%EV -11.63%E -6.61%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.01%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-18 10:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -12.13%E -6.93%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -1.51%E -0.359%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-17 22:05
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -12.13%E -6.93%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -6.20%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-17 16:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.59%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.28%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14%2.0%2026-09-18 14:30
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.01%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-09-18 15:10
Smarkets◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.19%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.74%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.07%2.3%2026-09-18 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.14%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.60%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%2.9%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.14%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.60%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%2.9%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.14%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.60%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%2.9%2026-09-18 14:30