Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Fagiano Okayama v Kyoto Purple Sanga

2026-09-19 10:00 UTC — J League

Testa a testa

24 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Fagiano Okayama (Casa)

Previsione 49.81%2.01quota equa
EV -3.86%
Vantaggio -2.00%
Kelly -4.15%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.93

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.70%49.81%49.89%50.87%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.751.841.851.9357.14%54.26%54.05%51.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Kyoto Purple Sanga (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.79%4.20quota equa
EV -0.099%
Vantaggio -0.024%
Kelly -0.031%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.72%23.73%23.69%24.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.863.904.2028.57%25.93%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 26.40%3.79quota equa
EV -4.43%
Vantaggio -1.22%
Kelly -1.69%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.62

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.62%26.46%26.42%27.55%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.463.503.6230.77%28.94%28.57%27.62%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Fagiano Okayama (Casa): 49.81%; Kyoto Purple Sanga (Trasferta): 23.79%; Pareggio: 26.40%. Per Kyoto Purple Sanga (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 4.204. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 4.200, con un valore atteso del -0.099%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (24 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.52%EV -3.86%E -2.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.08%EV -5.57%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.40%EV -4.43%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 11:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -4.86%E -2.54%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -7.23%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 11:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -4.86%E -2.54%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -7.23%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 11:30
Pinnacle🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.99%EV -5.36%E -2.82%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.63%EV -4.38%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.95%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 10:55
Fanatics🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.70%EV -5.86%E -3.10%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 10:10
Coolbet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.77%EV -6.35%E -3.38%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -0.099%E -0.024%K -0.031%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -4.95%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 09:51
Marathon Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%EV -6.35%E -3.38%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.04%EV -7.71%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.35%EV -6.54%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 10:50
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -7.85%E -4.24%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -4.86%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.95%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 09:49
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.74%EV -7.85%E -4.24%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -7.23%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -8.91%E -2.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 10:01
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.85%E -4.24%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 14:45
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.85%E -4.24%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.23%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 10:00
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.85%E -4.24%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.23%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -12.87%E -3.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 10:45
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.85%E -4.24%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.23%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -12.87%E -3.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 10:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.85%E -4.24%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.23%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -12.87%E -3.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 10:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.85%E -4.24%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.23%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -12.87%E -3.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 10:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.06%EV -8.35%E -4.54%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.23%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 10:00
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.91%EV -8.35%E -4.54%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -8.42%E -2.19%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 09:50
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -8.84%E -4.83%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -4.86%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -4.95%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 09:50
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -10.34%E -5.74%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 09:56
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.81%EV -10.34%E -5.74%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -13.18%E -3.61%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-13 10:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 49.97%EV -12.33%E -7.01%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%EV -11.55%E -3.45%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-13 10:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 49.84%EV -12.33%E -7.01%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -14.37%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.80%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-13 10:06
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.04%EV -12.83%E -7.33%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.67%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.30%EV -12.08%E -3.63%K -5.19%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-13 09:59
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.06%EV -12.83%E -7.33%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.53%EV -16.75%E -4.79%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -14.19%E -4.37%K -6.31%G +0.000%16.5%2026-09-13 09:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (2)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 48.70%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.40%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.89%11.0%2026-09-13 15:40
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 49.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.17%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.81%16.6%2026-09-13 10:06