默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fagiano Okayama v Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC

开赛时间: 2026-09-06 09:00 UTC

最终结果: Fagiano Okayama 3–2 Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

50 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fagiano Okayama (主队)

预测 23.41%4.27公平赔率
EV +6.06%
优势 +1.34%
Kelly +1.72%
增长率 +0.104%

假设最高赔率为 4.53

博彩公司预测分布
20.93%23.43%23.37%24.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.903.854.5327.78%25.64%25.97%22.08%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (客队)

预测 49.87%2.01公平赔率
EV -3.75%
优势 -1.94%
Kelly -4.03%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.93

博彩公司预测分布
47.94%49.80%49.92%51.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.761.851.851.9356.82%54.04%54.05%51.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.72%3.74公平赔率
EV -1.95%
优势 -0.532%
Kelly -0.731%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.67

博彩公司预测分布
26.01%26.77%26.71%27.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.443.463.6730.77%29.07%28.86%27.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Fagiano Okayama (主队):23.41%;Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (客队):49.87%;平局:26.72%。 对于“Fagiano Okayama (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.27。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.53,对应+6.06%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (50 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯4.53I 22.08%NM 20.93%EV +6.06%E +1.34%K +1.72%G +0.104%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.82%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.25%EV -7.03%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 08:54
Pinnacle🎯4.23I 23.64%NM 22.84%EV -0.967%E -0.229%K -0.299%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.84%EV -5.24%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.32%EV -1.95%E -0.532%K -0.731%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-06 08:55
Tipico (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -1.67%E -0.397%K -0.522%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -10.23%E -5.68%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 08:45
BetOnline.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -4.01%E -0.978%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.22%EV -5.24%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -3.82%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 08:54
LowVig.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -4.01%E -0.978%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.22%EV -5.24%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -3.82%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 08:54
BetAnything🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -4.01%E -0.978%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.22%EV -5.24%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -3.82%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 08:50
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.54%EV -3.75%E -1.94%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -3.82%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 08:25
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.69%EV -5.74%E -3.04%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 08:45
DraftKings🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -6.74%E -3.60%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 08:54
Bovada🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -6.24%E -3.32%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 08:53
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -6.24%E -3.32%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 08:50
FanDuel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -6.74%E -3.60%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 08:50
BetMGM🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -6.74%E -3.60%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 08:44
Marathon Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.17%EV -7.24%E -3.89%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -5.96%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 08:54
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 08:54
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 08:54
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 08:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 08:54
NordicBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -7.52%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -10.50%E -3.13%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 08:50
Betsson🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -7.52%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -10.50%E -3.13%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯3.93I 25.45%NM 23.14%EV -7.99%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.96%EV -9.23%E -5.07%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.90%EV -9.70%E -2.87%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 08:50
Unibet (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -8.69%E -2.23%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.79%EV -12.23%E -6.95%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 08:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -9.86%E -2.56%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -6.24%E -3.32%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 09:24
ATG (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -9.86%E -2.56%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -6.24%E -3.32%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 09:24
BetRivers🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -9.86%E -2.56%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.50%EV -6.74%E -3.60%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 08:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -9.86%E -2.56%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.50%EV -6.74%E -3.60%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 08:05
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.86%E -2.56%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -6.24%E -3.32%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 08:50
Fanatics🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.70%EV -5.74%E -3.04%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 08:50
Unibet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.48%EV -7.24%E -3.89%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 09:25
Unibet (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 09:25
Unibet (NL)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 09:25
Casumo🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 09:24
Grosvenor🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 09:24
betPARX🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 09:24
LiveScore Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.57%EV -8.24%E -4.48%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -7.83%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.57%EV -8.24%E -4.48%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -7.83%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.03%EV -9.23%E -5.07%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 08:50
PMU (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.83%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-06 08:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-06 08:45
Bet Right🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -12.20%E -3.25%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -6.24%E -3.32%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 08:25
Winamax (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -12.20%E -3.25%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -10.23%E -5.68%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 08:50
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -12.20%E -3.25%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -13.17%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 08:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -12.20%E -3.25%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -10.23%E -5.68%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-06 08:45
Neds🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -12.20%E -3.25%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -10.23%E -5.68%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-06 08:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -12.20%E -3.25%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -10.23%E -5.68%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-06 08:45
Coral🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -12.20%E -3.25%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -10.23%E -5.68%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-06 08:44
Betr (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -13.38%E -3.61%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 08:25
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -15.72%E -4.37%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -6.74%E -3.60%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 08:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-09-06 08:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-09-06 08:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-09-06 08:55
Matchbook◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.54%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-09-06 08:55
Kalshi◎4.17I 23.98%NM 23.74%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-09-06 08:40
Smarkets◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%1.6%2026-09-06 08:55