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Fagiano Okayama v Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Fagiano Okayama (Хозяева)
Прогноз 23.41%4.27справедливый коэффициент
EV +6.06%
Преимущество +1.34%
Kelly +1.72%
Рост +0.104%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.53
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
20.93%23.43%23.37%24.90%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.603.903.854.5327.78%25.64%25.97%22.08%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Гости)
Прогноз 49.87%2.01справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.75%
Преимущество -1.94%
Kelly -4.03%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.93
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
47.94%49.80%49.92%51.82%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.761.851.851.9356.82%54.04%54.05%51.81%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 26.72%3.74справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.95%
Преимущество -0.532%
Kelly -0.731%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.67
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.01%26.77%26.71%27.56%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.253.443.463.6730.77%29.07%28.86%27.25%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Fagiano Okayama (Хозяева): 23.41%; Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Гости): 49.87%; Ничья: 26.72%. Для исхода «Fagiano Okayama (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.27. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.53, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +6.06%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (50 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.53I 22.08%NM 20.93%EV +6.06%E +1.34%K +1.72%G +0.104% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.82%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.25%EV -7.03%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.84%EV -0.967%E -0.229%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.84%EV -5.24%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.32%EV -1.95%E -0.532%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -1.67%E -0.397%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -10.23%E -5.68%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 08:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -4.01%E -0.978%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.22%EV -5.24%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -3.82%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -4.01%E -0.978%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.22%EV -5.24%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -3.82%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -4.01%E -0.978%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.22%EV -5.24%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -3.82%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.54%EV -3.75%E -1.94%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -3.82%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 08:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.69%EV -5.74%E -3.04%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 08:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -6.74%E -3.60%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -6.24%E -3.32%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 08:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -6.24%E -3.32%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -6.74%E -3.60%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -6.74%E -3.60%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 08:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.17%EV -7.24%E -3.89%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -5.96%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -7.52%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -10.50%E -3.13%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -7.52%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -10.50%E -3.13%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.93I 25.45%NM 23.14%EV -7.99%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.96%EV -9.23%E -5.07%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 26.90%EV -9.70%E -2.87%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -8.69%E -2.23%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.79%EV -12.23%E -6.95%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -9.86%E -2.56%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -6.24%E -3.32%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 09:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -9.86%E -2.56%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -6.24%E -3.32%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 09:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -9.86%E -2.56%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.50%EV -6.74%E -3.60%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 08:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -9.86%E -2.56%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.50%EV -6.74%E -3.60%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 08:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.86%E -2.56%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -6.24%E -3.32%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.70%EV -5.74%E -3.04%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.48%EV -7.24%E -3.89%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 09:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 09:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 09:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 09:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 09:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 09:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.57%EV -8.24%E -4.48%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -7.83%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.57%EV -8.24%E -4.48%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -7.83%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.03%EV -9.23%E -5.07%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.83%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-06 08:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-06 08:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -12.20%E -3.25%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -6.24%E -3.32%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 08:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -12.20%E -3.25%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -10.23%E -5.68%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -12.20%E -3.25%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -13.17%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 08:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -12.20%E -3.25%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -10.23%E -5.68%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-06 08:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -12.20%E -3.25%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -10.23%E -5.68%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-06 08:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -12.20%E -3.25%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -10.23%E -5.68%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-06 08:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -12.20%E -3.25%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -10.23%E -5.68%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-06 08:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -13.38%E -3.61%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-06 08:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -15.72%E -4.37%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -6.74%E -3.60%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 08:20 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.54% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 0.9% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.74% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.50% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 08:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.49% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61% | 1.6% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |