Idioma:Español
Fagiano Okayama v Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Fagiano Okayama (Local)
Predicción 23.41%4.27momio equitativo
EV +6.06%
Ventaja +1.34%
Kelly +1.72%
Crecimiento +0.104%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.93%23.43%23.37%24.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.603.903.854.5327.78%25.64%25.97%22.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Visitante)
Predicción 49.87%2.01momio equitativo
EV -3.75%
Ventaja -1.94%
Kelly -4.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.94%49.80%49.92%51.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.761.851.851.9356.82%54.04%54.05%51.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.72%3.74momio equitativo
EV -1.95%
Ventaja -0.532%
Kelly -0.731%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.01%26.77%26.71%27.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.443.463.6730.77%29.07%28.86%27.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Fagiano Okayama (Local): 23.41%; Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Visitante): 49.87%; Empate: 26.72%. Para Fagiano Okayama (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.27. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.53, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +6.06%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.53I 22.08%NM 20.93%EV +6.06%E +1.34%K +1.72%G +0.104% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.82%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.25%EV -7.03%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.84%EV -0.967%E -0.229%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.84%EV -5.24%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.32%EV -1.95%E -0.532%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -1.67%E -0.397%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -10.23%E -5.68%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 08:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -4.01%E -0.978%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.22%EV -5.24%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -3.82%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -4.01%E -0.978%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.22%EV -5.24%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -3.82%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -4.01%E -0.978%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.22%EV -5.24%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -3.82%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.54%EV -3.75%E -1.94%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -3.82%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 08:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.69%EV -5.74%E -3.04%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 08:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -6.74%E -3.60%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -6.24%E -3.32%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 08:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -6.24%E -3.32%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -6.74%E -3.60%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -6.74%E -3.60%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 08:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.17%EV -7.24%E -3.89%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -5.96%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -7.52%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -10.50%E -3.13%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -7.52%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -10.50%E -3.13%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.93I 25.45%NM 23.14%EV -7.99%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.96%EV -9.23%E -5.07%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 26.90%EV -9.70%E -2.87%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -8.69%E -2.23%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.79%EV -12.23%E -6.95%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -9.86%E -2.56%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -6.24%E -3.32%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 09:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -9.86%E -2.56%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -6.24%E -3.32%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 09:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -9.86%E -2.56%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.50%EV -6.74%E -3.60%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 08:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -9.86%E -2.56%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.50%EV -6.74%E -3.60%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 08:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.86%E -2.56%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -6.24%E -3.32%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.70%EV -5.74%E -3.04%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.48%EV -7.24%E -3.89%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 09:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 09:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 09:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 09:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 09:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 09:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.57%EV -8.24%E -4.48%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -7.83%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.57%EV -8.24%E -4.48%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -7.83%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.03%EV -9.23%E -5.07%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.83%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-06 08:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-06 08:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -12.20%E -3.25%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -6.24%E -3.32%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 08:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -12.20%E -3.25%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -10.23%E -5.68%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -12.20%E -3.25%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -13.17%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 08:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -12.20%E -3.25%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -10.23%E -5.68%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-06 08:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -12.20%E -3.25%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -10.23%E -5.68%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-06 08:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -12.20%E -3.25%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -10.23%E -5.68%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-06 08:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -12.20%E -3.25%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -10.23%E -5.68%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-06 08:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -13.38%E -3.61%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-06 08:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -15.72%E -4.37%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -6.74%E -3.60%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 08:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.54% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 0.9% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.74% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.50% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 08:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.49% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61% | 1.6% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |