Langue:Français
Fagiano Okayama v Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Fagiano Okayama (Local)
Prévision 23.41%4.27cote équitable
EV +6.06%
Avantage +1.34%
Kelly +1.72%
Croissance +0.104%
avec la cote maximale 4.53
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.93%23.43%23.37%24.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.903.854.5327.78%25.64%25.97%22.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Visiteur)
Prévision 49.87%2.01cote équitable
EV -3.75%
Avantage -1.94%
Kelly -4.03%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.93
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.94%49.80%49.92%51.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.761.851.851.9356.82%54.04%54.05%51.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 26.72%3.74cote équitable
EV -1.95%
Avantage -0.532%
Kelly -0.731%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.67
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.01%26.77%26.71%27.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.443.463.6730.77%29.07%28.86%27.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Fagiano Okayama (Local) : 23.41% ; Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Visiteur) : 49.87% ; Match nul : 26.72%. Pour Fagiano Okayama (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.27. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.53, soit une espérance positive de +6.06%.
Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.53I 22.08%NM 20.93%EV +6.06%E +1.34%K +1.72%G +0.104% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.82%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.25%EV -7.03%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.84%EV -0.967%E -0.229%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.84%EV -5.24%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.32%EV -1.95%E -0.532%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -1.67%E -0.397%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -10.23%E -5.68%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 08:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -4.01%E -0.978%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.22%EV -5.24%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -3.82%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -4.01%E -0.978%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.22%EV -5.24%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -3.82%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -4.01%E -0.978%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.22%EV -5.24%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -3.82%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.54%EV -3.75%E -1.94%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -3.82%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 08:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.69%EV -5.74%E -3.04%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 08:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -6.74%E -3.60%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -6.24%E -3.32%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 08:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -6.24%E -3.32%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -6.74%E -3.60%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -6.74%E -3.60%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 08:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.17%EV -7.24%E -3.89%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -5.96%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.35%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-06 08:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -7.52%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -10.50%E -3.13%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -7.52%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -10.50%E -3.13%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.93I 25.45%NM 23.14%EV -7.99%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.96%EV -9.23%E -5.07%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 26.90%EV -9.70%E -2.87%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -8.69%E -2.23%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.79%EV -12.23%E -6.95%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -9.86%E -2.56%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -6.24%E -3.32%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 09:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -9.86%E -2.56%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -6.24%E -3.32%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 09:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -9.86%E -2.56%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.50%EV -6.74%E -3.60%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 08:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -9.86%E -2.56%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.50%EV -6.74%E -3.60%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 08:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.86%E -2.56%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -6.24%E -3.32%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.70%EV -5.74%E -3.04%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.48%EV -7.24%E -3.89%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 09:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 09:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 09:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 09:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 09:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 09:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.57%EV -8.24%E -4.48%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -7.83%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.57%EV -8.24%E -4.48%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -7.83%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.03%EV -9.23%E -5.07%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -6.49%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.83%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-06 08:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.03%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-06 08:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -12.20%E -3.25%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -6.24%E -3.32%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 08:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -12.20%E -3.25%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -10.23%E -5.68%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 08:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -12.20%E -3.25%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -13.17%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 08:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -12.20%E -3.25%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -10.23%E -5.68%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-06 08:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -12.20%E -3.25%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -10.23%E -5.68%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-06 08:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -12.20%E -3.25%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -10.23%E -5.68%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-06 08:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -12.20%E -3.25%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -10.23%E -5.68%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-06 08:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -13.38%E -3.61%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-06 08:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -15.72%E -4.37%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -6.74%E -3.60%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 08:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.54% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 0.9% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.74% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.50% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 08:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.49% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61% | 1.6% | 2026-09-06 08:55 |