语言:简体中文
Cerezo Osaka v Tokyo Verdy
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Cerezo Osaka (主队)
预测 56.91%1.76公平赔率
EV -0.971%
优势 -0.558%
Kelly -1.31%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.74
博彩公司预测分布
53.61%56.83%56.80%58.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.551.651.631.7464.52%60.75%61.35%57.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
Tokyo Verdy (客队)
预测 18.67%5.36公平赔率
EV +6.41%
优势 +1.12%
Kelly +1.36%
增长率 +0.087%
假设最高赔率为 5.70
博彩公司预测分布
16.64%18.73%18.73%20.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.404.814.785.7022.73%20.79%20.94%17.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 24.42%4.10公平赔率
EV -1.59%
优势 -0.396%
Kelly -0.526%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.03
博彩公司预测分布
23.69%24.44%24.47%25.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.553.723.704.0328.17%26.91%27.03%24.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Cerezo Osaka (主队)：56.91%；Tokyo Verdy (客队)：18.67%；平局：24.42%。 对于“Tokyo Verdy (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.36。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.70，对应+6.41%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (50 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.54%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.64%EV +6.41%E +1.12%K +1.36%G +0.087% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.82%EV -6.72%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.23%E -4.44%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.93%EV -1.06%E -0.199%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -2.33%E -0.582%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.23%E -4.44%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.93%EV -1.06%E -0.199%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -2.33%E -0.582%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.23%E -4.44%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.93%EV -1.06%E -0.199%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -2.33%E -0.582%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -10.65%E -6.78%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -1.06%E -0.199%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -7.21%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.80%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.29I 18.90%NM 18.25%EV -1.24%E -0.235%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.95%EV -1.59%E -0.396%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.08%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV -1.99%E -0.379%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -5.99%E -1.56%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.71%EV -7.23%E -4.44%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -1.99%E -0.379%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV -4.79%E -0.939%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -4.77%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 09:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.92%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.29%EV -4.79%E -0.939%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.79%EV -4.28%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -4.77%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -8.43%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 09:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -7.21%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 09:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -7.21%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 09:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -9.65%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -7.59%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -9.65%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-06 09:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -5.52%E -3.33%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -8.52%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.21%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.55%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -8.52%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -9.65%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.36%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -8.52%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -10.87%E -2.98%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 09:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.85%EV -8.94%E -5.59%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -8.52%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -9.65%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-06 09:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.63%EV -11.78%E -7.60%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.23%EV -8.52%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -9.65%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 09:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -10.39%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -9.65%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -10.39%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -9.65%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -10.39%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -9.65%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.94%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -10.39%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -11.32%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.21%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 09:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -11.32%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -8.43%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -10.65%E -6.78%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -11.32%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -7.21%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -10.65%E -6.78%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -11.32%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -7.21%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.77%EV -8.94%E -5.59%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -12.26%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -7.21%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-06 09:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -14.12%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-06 09:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -14.12%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-06 09:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -14.12%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 09:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -14.12%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 09:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.48%EV -10.08%E -6.38%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -14.12%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.12%EV -9.65%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 09:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.26%EV -10.65%E -6.78%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -14.12%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.67%EV -0.971%E -0.558%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -10.87%E -2.98%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 09:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.67%EV -0.971%E -0.558%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -10.87%E -2.98%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 09:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -2.11%E -1.23%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 09:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -2.11%E -1.23%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 09:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 09:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 09:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 09:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 09:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 09:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 09:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 09:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -3.25%E -1.91%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -17.86%E -4.06%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -13.31%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-06 09:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -3.25%E -1.91%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -17.86%E -4.06%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -13.31%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-06 09:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -3.25%E -1.91%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -17.86%E -4.06%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -13.31%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-06 09:05 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.08% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.97% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.96% | 0.1% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69% | 0.5% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69% | 0.5% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.20% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.20% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.77% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26% | 3.0% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |