Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Cerezo Osaka v Tokyo Verdy

Inizio: 2026-09-06 10:00 UTC

Finale: Cerezo Osaka 0–0 Tokyo Verdy

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

50 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Cerezo Osaka (Casa)

Previsione 56.91%1.76quota equa
EV -0.971%
Vantaggio -0.558%
Kelly -1.31%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.74

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.61%56.83%56.80%58.54%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.551.651.631.7464.52%60.75%61.35%57.47%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Tokyo Verdy (Trasferta)

Previsione 18.67%5.36quota equa
EV +6.41%
Vantaggio +1.12%
Kelly +1.36%
Crescita +0.087%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.64%18.73%18.73%20.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.404.814.785.7022.73%20.79%20.94%17.54%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 24.42%4.10quota equa
EV -1.59%
Vantaggio -0.396%
Kelly -0.526%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.03

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.69%24.44%24.47%25.69%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.553.723.704.0328.17%26.91%27.03%24.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Cerezo Osaka (Casa): 56.91%; Tokyo Verdy (Trasferta): 18.67%; Pareggio: 24.42%. Per Tokyo Verdy (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.36. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 5.70, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +6.41%.

Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.54%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.64%EV +6.41%E +1.12%K +1.36%G +0.087%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.82%EV -6.72%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 09:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.23%E -4.44%K -11.48%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.93%EV -1.06%E -0.199%K -0.246%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -2.33%E -0.582%K -0.775%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 09:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.23%E -4.44%K -11.48%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.93%EV -1.06%E -0.199%K -0.246%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -2.33%E -0.582%K -0.775%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 09:55
BetAnything🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.23%E -4.44%K -11.48%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.93%EV -1.06%E -0.199%K -0.246%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -2.33%E -0.582%K -0.775%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 09:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -10.65%E -6.78%K -18.68%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -1.06%E -0.199%K -0.246%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -7.21%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 09:55
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.80%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.29I 18.90%NM 18.25%EV -1.24%E -0.235%K -0.290%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.95%EV -1.59%E -0.396%K -0.526%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-06 09:55
Coolbet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.08%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV -1.99%E -0.379%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -5.99%E -1.56%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 09:55
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.71%EV -7.23%E -4.44%K -11.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -1.99%E -0.379%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 09:55
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV -4.79%E -0.939%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -4.77%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 09:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.92%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.29%EV -4.79%E -0.939%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.79%EV -4.28%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 09:55
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -4.77%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 09:55
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -8.43%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 09:20
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -7.21%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 09:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -7.21%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 09:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -9.65%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 09:55
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -7.59%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -9.65%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 09:20
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -5.52%E -3.33%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -8.52%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.21%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 09:55
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.55%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -8.52%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -9.65%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 09:55
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.36%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -8.52%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -10.87%E -2.98%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 09:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.85%EV -8.94%E -5.59%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -8.52%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -9.65%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 09:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.63%EV -11.78%E -7.60%K -21.43%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.23%EV -8.52%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -9.65%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 09:35
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -10.39%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -9.65%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 09:55
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -10.39%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -9.65%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 09:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -10.39%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -9.65%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 09:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.94%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -10.39%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 09:55
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -11.32%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.21%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 09:20
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -11.32%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -8.43%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 09:55
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -10.65%E -6.78%K -18.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -11.32%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -7.21%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 09:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -10.65%E -6.78%K -18.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -11.32%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -7.21%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 09:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.77%EV -8.94%E -5.59%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -12.26%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -7.21%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 09:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -14.12%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-06 09:20
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -14.12%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-06 09:20
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -14.12%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 09:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -14.12%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 09:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.48%EV -10.08%E -6.38%K -17.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -14.12%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.12%EV -9.65%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 09:20
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.26%EV -10.65%E -6.78%K -18.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -14.12%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-06 09:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.67%EV -0.971%E -0.558%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -10.87%E -2.98%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 09:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.67%EV -0.971%E -0.558%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -10.87%E -2.98%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 09:09
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -2.11%E -1.23%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -2.11%E -1.23%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 09:05
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 09:10
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 09:05
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 09:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 09:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 09:05
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 09:05
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 09:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -3.25%E -1.91%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -17.86%E -4.06%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -13.31%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 09:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -3.25%E -1.91%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -17.86%E -4.06%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -13.31%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 09:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -3.25%E -1.91%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -17.86%E -4.06%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -13.31%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 09:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 58.08%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.97%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.96%0.1%2026-09-06 09:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%0.5%2026-09-06 09:55
Matchbook◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%0.5%2026-09-06 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.20%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%1.1%2026-09-06 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.20%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%1.1%2026-09-06 09:55
Smarkets◎1.68I 59.52%NM 57.77%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%3.0%2026-09-06 09:55