Idioma:Español
Cerezo Osaka v Tokyo Verdy
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cerezo Osaka (Local)
Predicción 56.91%1.76momio equitativo
EV -0.971%
Ventaja -0.558%
Kelly -1.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.61%56.83%56.80%58.54%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.551.651.631.7464.52%60.75%61.35%57.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Tokyo Verdy (Visitante)
Predicción 18.67%5.36momio equitativo
EV +6.41%
Ventaja +1.12%
Kelly +1.36%
Crecimiento +0.087%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.64%18.73%18.73%20.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.404.814.785.7022.73%20.79%20.94%17.54%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 24.42%4.10momio equitativo
EV -1.59%
Ventaja -0.396%
Kelly -0.526%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.03
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.69%24.44%24.47%25.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.553.723.704.0328.17%26.91%27.03%24.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Cerezo Osaka (Local): 56.91%; Tokyo Verdy (Visitante): 18.67%; Empate: 24.42%. Para Tokyo Verdy (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.36. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.70, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +6.41%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.54%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.64%EV +6.41%E +1.12%K +1.36%G +0.087% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.82%EV -6.72%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.23%E -4.44%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.93%EV -1.06%E -0.199%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -2.33%E -0.582%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.23%E -4.44%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.93%EV -1.06%E -0.199%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -2.33%E -0.582%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.23%E -4.44%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.93%EV -1.06%E -0.199%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -2.33%E -0.582%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -10.65%E -6.78%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -1.06%E -0.199%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -7.21%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.80%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.29I 18.90%NM 18.25%EV -1.24%E -0.235%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.95%EV -1.59%E -0.396%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.08%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV -1.99%E -0.379%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -5.99%E -1.56%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.71%EV -7.23%E -4.44%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -1.99%E -0.379%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV -4.79%E -0.939%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -4.77%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 09:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.92%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.29%EV -4.79%E -0.939%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.79%EV -4.28%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -4.77%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -8.43%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 09:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -7.21%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 09:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -7.21%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 09:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -9.65%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -7.59%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -9.65%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-06 09:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -5.52%E -3.33%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -8.52%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.21%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.55%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -8.52%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -9.65%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.36%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -8.52%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -10.87%E -2.98%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 09:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.85%EV -8.94%E -5.59%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -8.52%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -9.65%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-06 09:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.63%EV -11.78%E -7.60%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.23%EV -8.52%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -9.65%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 09:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -10.39%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -9.65%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -10.39%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -9.65%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -10.39%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -9.65%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.94%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -10.39%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -11.32%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.21%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 09:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -11.32%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -8.43%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -10.65%E -6.78%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -11.32%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -7.21%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -10.65%E -6.78%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -11.32%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -7.21%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.77%EV -8.94%E -5.59%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -12.26%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -7.21%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-06 09:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -14.12%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-06 09:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -14.12%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-06 09:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -14.12%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 09:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -14.12%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 09:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.48%EV -10.08%E -6.38%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -14.12%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.12%EV -9.65%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 09:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.26%EV -10.65%E -6.78%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -14.12%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.67%EV -0.971%E -0.558%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -10.87%E -2.98%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 09:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.67%EV -0.971%E -0.558%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -10.87%E -2.98%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 09:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -2.11%E -1.23%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 09:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -2.11%E -1.23%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 09:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 09:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 09:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 09:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 09:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 09:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 09:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 09:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -3.25%E -1.91%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -17.86%E -4.06%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -13.31%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-06 09:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -3.25%E -1.91%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -17.86%E -4.06%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -13.31%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-06 09:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -3.25%E -1.91%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -17.86%E -4.06%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -13.31%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-06 09:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.08% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.97% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.96% | 0.1% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69% | 0.5% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69% | 0.5% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.20% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.20% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.77% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26% | 3.0% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |