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Cerezo Osaka v Tokyo Verdy
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Cerezo Osaka (Хозяева)
Прогноз 56.91%1.76справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.971%
Преимущество -0.558%
Kelly -1.31%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.74
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
53.61%56.83%56.80%58.54%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.551.651.631.7464.52%60.75%61.35%57.47%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Tokyo Verdy (Гости)
Прогноз 18.67%5.36справедливый коэффициент
EV +6.41%
Преимущество +1.12%
Kelly +1.36%
Рост +0.087%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.70
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
16.64%18.73%18.73%20.75%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.404.814.785.7022.73%20.79%20.94%17.54%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 24.42%4.10справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.59%
Преимущество -0.396%
Kelly -0.526%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.03
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.69%24.44%24.47%25.69%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.553.723.704.0328.17%26.91%27.03%24.81%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Cerezo Osaka (Хозяева): 56.91%; Tokyo Verdy (Гости): 18.67%; Ничья: 24.42%. Для исхода «Tokyo Verdy (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.36. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 5.70, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +6.41%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (50 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.54%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.64%EV +6.41%E +1.12%K +1.36%G +0.087% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.82%EV -6.72%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.23%E -4.44%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.93%EV -1.06%E -0.199%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -2.33%E -0.582%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.23%E -4.44%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.93%EV -1.06%E -0.199%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -2.33%E -0.582%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.23%E -4.44%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.93%EV -1.06%E -0.199%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -2.33%E -0.582%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -10.65%E -6.78%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -1.06%E -0.199%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -7.21%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.80%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.29I 18.90%NM 18.25%EV -1.24%E -0.235%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.95%EV -1.59%E -0.396%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.08%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV -1.99%E -0.379%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -5.99%E -1.56%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.71%EV -7.23%E -4.44%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -1.99%E -0.379%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV -4.79%E -0.939%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -4.77%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 09:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.92%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.29%EV -4.79%E -0.939%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.79%EV -4.28%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -4.77%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -8.43%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 09:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -7.21%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 09:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -7.21%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 09:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -9.65%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -7.59%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -9.65%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-06 09:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -5.52%E -3.33%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -8.52%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.21%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.55%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -8.52%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -9.65%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.36%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -8.52%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -10.87%E -2.98%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 09:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.85%EV -8.94%E -5.59%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -8.52%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -9.65%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-06 09:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.63%EV -11.78%E -7.60%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.23%EV -8.52%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -9.65%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 09:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -10.39%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -9.65%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -10.39%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -9.65%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -10.39%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -9.65%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.94%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -10.39%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -11.32%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.21%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 09:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -11.32%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -8.43%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -10.65%E -6.78%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -11.32%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -7.21%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -10.65%E -6.78%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -11.32%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -7.21%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.77%EV -8.94%E -5.59%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -12.26%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -7.21%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-06 09:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -14.12%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-06 09:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -14.12%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-06 09:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -14.12%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 09:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -14.12%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 09:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.48%EV -10.08%E -6.38%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -14.12%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.12%EV -9.65%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 09:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.26%EV -10.65%E -6.78%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -14.12%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.67%EV -0.971%E -0.558%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -10.87%E -2.98%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 09:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.67%EV -0.971%E -0.558%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -10.87%E -2.98%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 09:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -2.11%E -1.23%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 09:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -2.11%E -1.23%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 09:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 09:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 09:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 09:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 09:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 09:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 09:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.09%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 09:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -3.25%E -1.91%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -17.86%E -4.06%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -13.31%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-06 09:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -3.25%E -1.91%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -17.86%E -4.06%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -13.31%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-06 09:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -3.25%E -1.91%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -17.86%E -4.06%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -13.31%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-06 09:05 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.08% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.97% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.96% | 0.1% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69% | 0.5% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69% | 0.5% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.20% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.20% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.77% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26% | 3.0% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |