Language:English
Cerezo Osaka v Shimizu S Pulse
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cerezo Osaka (Local)
Prediction 39.39%2.54fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.55%39.51%39.35%41.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.302.302.4745.87%43.47%43.48%40.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shimizu S Pulse (Visit)
Prediction 31.36%3.19fair odd
EV +6.33%
Edge +1.87%
Kelly +2.65%
Growth +0.167%
assuming max odds 3.39
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.04%31.29%31.33%32.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.963.003.3937.04%33.75%33.33%29.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.24%3.42fair odd
EV -3.49%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.23%29.20%29.32%30.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.173.203.3033.33%31.53%31.25%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cerezo Osaka (Local): 39.39%; Shimizu S Pulse (Visit): 31.36%; Draw: 29.24%. For Shimizu S Pulse (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.19. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.39, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.33%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.50%EV -9.80%E -4.28%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.04%EV +6.33%E +1.87%K +2.65%G +0.167% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.46%EV -8.76%E -2.81%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-22 09:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.15%EV -2.71%E -1.10%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.09%EV -2.46%E -0.789%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.75%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-22 09:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -12.16%E -5.45%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -2.77%E -0.893%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 09:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -12.16%E -5.45%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -2.77%E -0.893%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 09:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -12.16%E -5.45%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -2.77%E -0.893%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 09:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -12.16%E -5.45%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -2.77%E -0.893%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 09:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -11.37%E -5.05%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -2.77%E -0.893%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 09:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.20%EV -3.89%E -1.59%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.36%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.43%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-22 09:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.20%EV -3.89%E -1.59%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.36%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.43%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-22 09:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.20%EV -3.89%E -1.59%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.36%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.43%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-22 09:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -13.34%E -6.06%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 09:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -13.34%E -6.06%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 09:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -13.34%E -6.06%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 09:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -13.34%E -6.06%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 09:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -13.34%E -6.06%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 09:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -13.34%E -6.06%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 09:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -13.34%E -6.06%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 09:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.74%EV -14.13%E -6.48%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 09:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.74%EV -14.13%E -6.48%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 09:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.74%EV -14.13%E -6.48%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 09:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -5.46%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 09:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -5.46%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 09:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 09:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -5.46%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 09:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.20%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.71%EV -8.17%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 09:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.46%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 09:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -7.43%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 09:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -5.46%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 09:38 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.02%EV -7.43%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.40%EV -8.41%E -2.88%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-22 09:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 09:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -7.43%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-22 09:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -10.19%E -4.47%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-22 09:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-22 09:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-22 09:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-22 09:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-22 09:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -11.37%E -5.05%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-22 09:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.67%E -3.36%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-22 09:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.67%E -3.36%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-22 09:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.67%E -3.36%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-22 09:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -5.46%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -10.61%E -3.72%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-22 09:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -7.43%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -10.61%E -3.72%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 09:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -10.61%E -3.72%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 09:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -10.61%E -3.72%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 09:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -11.37%E -5.05%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.18%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-22 09:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.18%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-22 09:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -15.31%E -5.67%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-22 09:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -15.31%E -5.67%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-22 09:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -15.31%E -5.67%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-22 09:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -15.31%E -5.67%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-22 09:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 40.02% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.98% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 29.00% | -0.1% | 2026-08-22 09:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.56% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.68% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.76% | 0.3% | 2026-08-22 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 09:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 09:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.58% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.67% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.75% | 1.9% | 2026-08-22 09:55 |