Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cerezo Osaka v Shimizu S Pulse

Início: 2026-08-22 10:00 UTC

Final: Cerezo Osaka 1–0 Shimizu S Pulse

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cerezo Osaka (Local)

Previsão 39.39%2.54odd justa
EV -2.71%
Vantagem -1.10%
Kelly -1.84%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.47

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.55%39.51%39.35%41.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.182.302.302.4745.87%43.47%43.48%40.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Shimizu S Pulse (Visitante)

Previsão 31.36%3.19odd justa
EV +6.33%
Vantagem +1.87%
Kelly +2.65%
Crescimento +0.167%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.39

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.04%31.29%31.33%32.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.702.963.003.3937.04%33.75%33.33%29.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.24%3.42odd justa
EV -3.49%
Vantagem -1.06%
Kelly -1.52%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.23%29.20%29.32%30.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.173.203.3033.33%31.53%31.25%30.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cerezo Osaka (Local): 39.39%; Shimizu S Pulse (Visitante): 31.36%; Empate: 29.24%. Para Shimizu S Pulse (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.19. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.39, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +6.33%.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.50%EV -9.80%E -4.28%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.04%EV +6.33%E +1.87%K +2.65%G +0.167%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.46%EV -8.76%E -2.81%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 09:55
Pinnacle🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.15%EV -2.71%E -1.10%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.09%EV -2.46%E -0.789%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.75%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-22 09:45
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -12.16%E -5.45%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -2.77%E -0.893%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -12.16%E -5.45%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -2.77%E -0.893%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 09:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -12.16%E -5.45%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -2.77%E -0.893%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 09:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -12.16%E -5.45%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -2.77%E -0.893%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 09:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -11.37%E -5.05%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -2.77%E -0.893%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 09:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.20%EV -3.89%E -1.59%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.36%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.43%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-22 09:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.20%EV -3.89%E -1.59%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.36%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.43%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-22 09:40
BetAnything🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.20%EV -3.89%E -1.59%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.36%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.43%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-22 09:40
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -13.34%E -6.06%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 09:30
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -13.34%E -6.06%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 09:30
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -13.34%E -6.06%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 09:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -13.34%E -6.06%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 09:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -13.34%E -6.06%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 09:30
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -13.34%E -6.06%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 09:29
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -13.34%E -6.06%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 09:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.74%EV -14.13%E -6.48%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 09:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.74%EV -14.13%E -6.48%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 09:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.74%EV -14.13%E -6.48%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 09:30
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -5.46%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 09:55
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -5.46%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 09:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 09:40
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -5.46%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 09:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.20%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.71%EV -8.17%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 09:40
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.46%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 09:39
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -7.43%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 09:55
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -5.46%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 09:38
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.02%EV -7.43%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.40%EV -8.41%E -2.88%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 09:40
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 09:55
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -7.43%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 09:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -10.19%E -4.47%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 09:39
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 09:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 09:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 09:55
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 09:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -11.37%E -5.05%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-22 09:40
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.67%E -3.36%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 09:34
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.67%E -3.36%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 09:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.67%E -3.36%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 09:50
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -5.46%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -10.61%E -3.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 09:34
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -7.43%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -10.61%E -3.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 09:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -10.61%E -3.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 09:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -10.61%E -3.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 09:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -11.37%E -5.05%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.18%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-22 09:40
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.18%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 09:34
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -15.31%E -5.67%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-22 09:34
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -15.31%E -5.67%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-22 09:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -15.31%E -5.67%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-22 09:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -15.31%E -5.67%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-22 09:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 40.02%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.98%3.45I 28.99%NM 29.00%-0.1%2026-08-22 09:55
Matchbook◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.56%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.68%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.76%0.3%2026-08-22 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-08-22 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%1.1%2026-08-22 09:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%1.1%2026-08-22 09:45
Smarkets◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.58%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.67%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.75%1.9%2026-08-22 09:55