Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Cerezo Osaka v Shimizu S Pulse

Początek: 2026-08-22 10:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Cerezo Osaka 1–0 Shimizu S Pulse

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

50 bukmacherów (16 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Cerezo Osaka (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 39.39%2.54kurs godziwy
EV -2.71%
Przewaga -1.10%
Kelly -1.84%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.47

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
38.55%39.51%39.35%41.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.182.302.302.4745.87%43.47%43.48%40.49%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Shimizu S Pulse (Goście)

Prognoza 31.36%3.19kurs godziwy
EV +6.33%
Przewaga +1.87%
Kelly +2.65%
Wzrost +0.167%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.39

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.04%31.29%31.33%32.84%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.702.963.003.3937.04%33.75%33.33%29.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 29.24%3.42kurs godziwy
EV -3.49%
Przewaga -1.06%
Kelly -1.52%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.30

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.23%29.20%29.32%30.46%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.173.203.3033.33%31.53%31.25%30.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Cerezo Osaka (Gospodarze): 39.39%; Shimizu S Pulse (Goście): 31.36%; Remis: 29.24%. Dla wyniku Shimizu S Pulse (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.19. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.39, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +6.33%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (50 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.50%EV -9.80%E -4.28%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.04%EV +6.33%E +1.87%K +2.65%G +0.167%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.46%EV -8.76%E -2.81%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 09:55
Pinnacle🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.15%EV -2.71%E -1.10%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.09%EV -2.46%E -0.789%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.75%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-22 09:45
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -12.16%E -5.45%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -2.77%E -0.893%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -12.16%E -5.45%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -2.77%E -0.893%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 09:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -12.16%E -5.45%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -2.77%E -0.893%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 09:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -12.16%E -5.45%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -2.77%E -0.893%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 09:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -11.37%E -5.05%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -2.77%E -0.893%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 09:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.20%EV -3.89%E -1.59%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.36%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.43%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-22 09:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.20%EV -3.89%E -1.59%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.36%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.43%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-22 09:40
BetAnything🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.20%EV -3.89%E -1.59%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.36%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.43%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-22 09:40
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -13.34%E -6.06%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 09:30
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -13.34%E -6.06%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 09:30
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -13.34%E -6.06%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 09:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -13.34%E -6.06%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 09:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -13.34%E -6.06%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 09:30
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -13.34%E -6.06%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 09:29
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -13.34%E -6.06%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 09:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.74%EV -14.13%E -6.48%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 09:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.74%EV -14.13%E -6.48%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 09:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.74%EV -14.13%E -6.48%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 09:30
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -5.46%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 09:55
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -5.46%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 09:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 09:40
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -5.46%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 09:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.20%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.71%EV -8.17%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 09:40
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.46%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 09:39
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -7.43%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 09:55
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -5.46%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 09:38
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.02%EV -7.43%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.40%EV -8.41%E -2.88%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 09:40
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 09:55
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -7.43%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 09:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -10.19%E -4.47%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 09:39
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 09:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 09:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 09:55
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 09:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -11.37%E -5.05%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-22 09:40
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.67%E -3.36%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 09:34
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.67%E -3.36%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 09:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.67%E -3.36%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 09:50
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -5.46%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -10.61%E -3.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 09:34
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -7.43%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -10.61%E -3.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 09:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -10.61%E -3.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 09:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -10.61%E -3.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 09:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -11.37%E -5.05%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.18%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-22 09:40
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.18%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 09:34
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -15.31%E -5.67%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-22 09:34
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -15.31%E -5.67%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-22 09:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -15.31%E -5.67%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-22 09:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -15.31%E -5.67%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-22 09:35
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 40.02%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.98%3.45I 28.99%NM 29.00%-0.1%2026-08-22 09:55
Matchbook◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.56%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.68%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.76%0.3%2026-08-22 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-08-22 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%1.1%2026-08-22 09:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%1.1%2026-08-22 09:45
Smarkets◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.58%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.67%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.75%1.9%2026-08-22 09:55