Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cerezo Osaka v Shimizu S Pulse

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-22 10:00 UTC

Score final : Cerezo Osaka 1–0 Shimizu S Pulse

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cerezo Osaka (Local)

Prévision 39.39%2.54cote équitable
EV -2.71%
Avantage -1.10%
Kelly -1.84%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.55%39.51%39.35%41.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.182.302.302.4745.87%43.47%43.48%40.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Shimizu S Pulse (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.36%3.19cote équitable
EV +6.33%
Avantage +1.87%
Kelly +2.65%
Croissance +0.167%

avec la cote maximale 3.39

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.04%31.29%31.33%32.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.702.963.003.3937.04%33.75%33.33%29.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.24%3.42cote équitable
EV -3.49%
Avantage -1.06%
Kelly -1.52%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.23%29.20%29.32%30.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.173.203.3033.33%31.53%31.25%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Cerezo Osaka (Local) : 39.39% ; Shimizu S Pulse (Visiteur) : 31.36% ; Match nul : 29.24%. Pour Shimizu S Pulse (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.19. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.39, soit une espérance positive de +6.33%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.50%EV -9.80%E -4.28%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.04%EV +6.33%E +1.87%K +2.65%G +0.167%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.46%EV -8.76%E -2.81%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 09:55
Pinnacle🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.15%EV -2.71%E -1.10%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.09%EV -2.46%E -0.789%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.75%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-22 09:45
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -12.16%E -5.45%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -2.77%E -0.893%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -12.16%E -5.45%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -2.77%E -0.893%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 09:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -12.16%E -5.45%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -2.77%E -0.893%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 09:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -12.16%E -5.45%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -2.77%E -0.893%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 09:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -11.37%E -5.05%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -2.77%E -0.893%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 09:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.20%EV -3.89%E -1.59%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.36%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.43%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-22 09:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.20%EV -3.89%E -1.59%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.36%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.43%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-22 09:40
BetAnything🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.20%EV -3.89%E -1.59%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.36%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.43%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-22 09:40
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -13.34%E -6.06%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 09:30
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -13.34%E -6.06%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 09:30
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -13.34%E -6.06%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 09:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -13.34%E -6.06%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 09:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -13.34%E -6.06%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 09:30
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -13.34%E -6.06%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 09:29
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -13.34%E -6.06%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 09:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.74%EV -14.13%E -6.48%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 09:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.74%EV -14.13%E -6.48%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 09:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.74%EV -14.13%E -6.48%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 09:30
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -5.46%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 09:55
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -5.46%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 09:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 09:40
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -5.46%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 09:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.20%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.71%EV -8.17%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 09:40
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.46%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 09:39
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -7.43%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 09:55
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -5.46%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 09:38
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.02%EV -7.43%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.40%EV -8.41%E -2.88%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 09:40
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 09:55
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -7.43%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 09:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -10.19%E -4.47%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 09:39
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 09:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 09:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 09:55
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 09:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -11.37%E -5.05%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-22 09:40
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.67%E -3.36%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 09:34
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.67%E -3.36%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 09:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.67%E -3.36%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 09:50
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -5.46%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -10.61%E -3.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 09:34
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -7.43%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -10.61%E -3.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 09:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -10.61%E -3.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 09:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -10.61%E -3.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 09:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -11.37%E -5.05%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.18%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-22 09:40
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.18%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 09:34
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -15.31%E -5.67%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-22 09:34
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -15.31%E -5.67%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-22 09:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -15.31%E -5.67%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-22 09:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -9.40%E -4.09%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -15.31%E -5.67%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-22 09:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 40.02%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.98%3.45I 28.99%NM 29.00%-0.1%2026-08-22 09:55
Matchbook◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.56%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.68%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.76%0.3%2026-08-22 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-08-22 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%1.1%2026-08-22 09:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%1.1%2026-08-22 09:45
Smarkets◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.58%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.67%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.75%1.9%2026-08-22 09:55