语言:简体中文
Cerezo Osaka v Kashiwa Reysol
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Cerezo Osaka (主队)
预测 28.29%3.54公平赔率
EV -0.145%
优势 -0.041%
Kelly -0.057%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.53
博彩公司预测分布
26.22%28.25%28.22%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.053.243.203.5332.79%30.90%31.25%28.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
Kashiwa Reysol (客队)
预测 45.37%2.20公平赔率
EV -3.82%
优势 -1.80%
Kelly -3.41%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.12
博彩公司预测分布
44.09%45.44%45.42%47.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.932.052.052.1251.81%48.87%48.78%47.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 26.34%3.80公平赔率
EV -1.21%
优势 -0.323%
Kelly -0.440%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.75
博彩公司预测分布
25.24%26.31%26.36%27.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.483.503.7530.30%28.70%28.57%26.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Cerezo Osaka (主队)：28.29%；Kashiwa Reysol (客队)：45.37%；平局：26.34%。 对于“Cerezo Osaka (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.54。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.53，期望值为-0.145%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (50 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.92%EV -0.145%E -0.041%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.04%EV -8.36%E -4.14%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.04%EV -3.84%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.36%EV -0.994%E -0.284%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.04%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.36%EV -0.994%E -0.284%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.04%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.36%EV -0.994%E -0.284%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.04%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -0.994%E -0.284%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -12.44%E -6.45%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07%EV -2.41%E -0.698%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90%EV -4.27%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.03%EV -2.00%E -0.538%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.82%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 09:41 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.26%EV -5.24%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.08%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -6.48%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -5.24%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -6.48%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 09:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.24%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -6.09%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.71%EV -7.45%E -3.65%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.20%EV -6.22%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -6.65%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.53%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV -1.21%E -0.323%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 08:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.65%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-02 09:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.65%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.65%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.65%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.65%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.65%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.11%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.46%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.13%EV -8.32%E -2.39%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 09:33 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.94%EV -8.36%E -4.14%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.06%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.41%EV -12.44%E -6.45%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.59%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.48%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 08:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.22%EV -6.54%E -3.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -9.11%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.22%EV -6.54%E -3.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -9.11%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.22%EV -6.54%E -3.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -9.11%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 08:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -11.53%E -5.91%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.06%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.06%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.06%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.06%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -13.72%E -4.50%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.15%EV -10.17%E -5.14%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.96% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.75% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.51% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.19% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.2% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.19% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.2% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.19% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.2% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.62% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.24% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14% | 2.0% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |