Idioma:Español
Cerezo Osaka v Kashiwa Reysol
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cerezo Osaka (Local)
Predicción 28.29%3.54momio equitativo
EV -0.145%
Ventaja -0.041%
Kelly -0.057%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.22%28.25%28.22%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.053.243.203.5332.79%30.90%31.25%28.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Kashiwa Reysol (Visitante)
Predicción 45.37%2.20momio equitativo
EV -3.82%
Ventaja -1.80%
Kelly -3.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.09%45.44%45.42%47.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.932.052.052.1251.81%48.87%48.78%47.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.34%3.80momio equitativo
EV -1.21%
Ventaja -0.323%
Kelly -0.440%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.24%26.31%26.36%27.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.483.503.7530.30%28.70%28.57%26.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Cerezo Osaka (Local): 28.29%; Kashiwa Reysol (Visitante): 45.37%; Empate: 26.34%. Para Cerezo Osaka (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.54. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.53, con un valor esperado de -0.145%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.92%EV -0.145%E -0.041%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.04%EV -8.36%E -4.14%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.04%EV -3.84%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.36%EV -0.994%E -0.284%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.04%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.36%EV -0.994%E -0.284%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.04%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.36%EV -0.994%E -0.284%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.04%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -0.994%E -0.284%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -12.44%E -6.45%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07%EV -2.41%E -0.698%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90%EV -4.27%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.03%EV -2.00%E -0.538%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.82%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 09:41 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.26%EV -5.24%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.08%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -6.48%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -5.24%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -6.48%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 09:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.24%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -6.09%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.71%EV -7.45%E -3.65%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.20%EV -6.22%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -6.65%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.53%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV -1.21%E -0.323%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 08:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.65%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-02 09:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.65%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.65%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.65%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.65%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.65%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.11%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.46%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.13%EV -8.32%E -2.39%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 09:33 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.94%EV -8.36%E -4.14%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.06%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.41%EV -12.44%E -6.45%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.59%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.48%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 08:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.22%EV -6.54%E -3.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -9.11%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.22%EV -6.54%E -3.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -9.11%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.22%EV -6.54%E -3.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -9.11%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 08:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -11.53%E -5.91%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.06%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.06%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.06%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.06%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -13.72%E -4.50%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.15%EV -10.17%E -5.14%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.96% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.75% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.51% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.19% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.2% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.19% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.2% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.19% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.2% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.62% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.24% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14% | 2.0% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |