Langue:Français
Cerezo Osaka v Kashiwa Reysol
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Cerezo Osaka (Local)
Prévision 28.29%3.54cote équitable
EV -0.145%
Avantage -0.041%
Kelly -0.057%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.53
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.22%28.25%28.22%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.053.243.203.5332.79%30.90%31.25%28.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Kashiwa Reysol (Visiteur)
Prévision 45.37%2.20cote équitable
EV -3.82%
Avantage -1.80%
Kelly -3.41%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.12
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.09%45.44%45.42%47.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.932.052.052.1251.81%48.87%48.78%47.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 26.34%3.80cote équitable
EV -1.21%
Avantage -0.323%
Kelly -0.440%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.24%26.31%26.36%27.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.483.503.7530.30%28.70%28.57%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Cerezo Osaka (Local) : 28.29% ; Kashiwa Reysol (Visiteur) : 45.37% ; Match nul : 26.34%. Pour Cerezo Osaka (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.54. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.53, pour une espérance de -0.145% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.92%EV -0.145%E -0.041%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.04%EV -8.36%E -4.14%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.04%EV -3.84%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.36%EV -0.994%E -0.284%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.04%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.36%EV -0.994%E -0.284%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.04%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.36%EV -0.994%E -0.284%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.04%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -0.994%E -0.284%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -12.44%E -6.45%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07%EV -2.41%E -0.698%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90%EV -4.27%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.03%EV -2.00%E -0.538%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.82%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 09:41 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.26%EV -5.24%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.08%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -6.48%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -5.24%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -6.48%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 09:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.24%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -6.09%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.71%EV -7.45%E -3.65%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.20%EV -6.22%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -6.65%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.53%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV -1.21%E -0.323%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 08:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.65%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-02 09:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.65%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.65%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.65%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.65%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.65%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.11%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.46%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.13%EV -8.32%E -2.39%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 09:33 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.94%EV -8.36%E -4.14%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.06%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.41%EV -12.44%E -6.45%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.59%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.48%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 08:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.22%EV -6.54%E -3.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -9.11%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.22%EV -6.54%E -3.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -9.11%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.22%EV -6.54%E -3.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -9.11%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 08:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -11.53%E -5.91%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.06%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.06%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.06%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.06%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -13.72%E -4.50%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.15%EV -10.17%E -5.14%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.96% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.75% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.51% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.19% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.2% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.19% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.2% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.19% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.2% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.62% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.24% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14% | 2.0% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |