Язык:Русский
Cerezo Osaka v Kashiwa Reysol
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Cerezo Osaka (Хозяева)
Прогноз 28.29%3.54справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.145%
Преимущество -0.041%
Kelly -0.057%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.53
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.22%28.25%28.22%29.41%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.053.243.203.5332.79%30.90%31.25%28.33%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Kashiwa Reysol (Гости)
Прогноз 45.37%2.20справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.82%
Преимущество -1.80%
Kelly -3.41%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.12
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
44.09%45.44%45.42%47.55%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.932.052.052.1251.81%48.87%48.78%47.17%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 26.34%3.80справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.21%
Преимущество -0.323%
Kelly -0.440%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.75
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.24%26.31%26.36%27.17%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.303.483.503.7530.30%28.70%28.57%26.67%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Cerezo Osaka (Хозяева): 28.29%; Kashiwa Reysol (Гости): 45.37%; Ничья: 26.34%. Для исхода «Cerezo Osaka (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.54. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 3.53, математическое ожидание — -0.145%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (50 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.92%EV -0.145%E -0.041%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.04%EV -8.36%E -4.14%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.04%EV -3.84%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.36%EV -0.994%E -0.284%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.04%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.36%EV -0.994%E -0.284%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.04%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.36%EV -0.994%E -0.284%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.04%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -0.994%E -0.284%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -12.44%E -6.45%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07%EV -2.41%E -0.698%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90%EV -4.27%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.03%EV -2.00%E -0.538%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.82%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 09:41 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.26%EV -5.24%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.08%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -6.48%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -5.24%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -6.48%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 09:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.24%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -6.09%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.71%EV -7.45%E -3.65%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.20%EV -6.22%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -6.65%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.53%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV -1.21%E -0.323%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 08:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.65%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-02 09:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.65%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.65%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.65%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.65%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.65%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.11%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.46%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.13%EV -8.32%E -2.39%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 09:33 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.94%EV -8.36%E -4.14%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.06%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.41%EV -12.44%E -6.45%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.59%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.48%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 08:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.22%EV -6.54%E -3.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -9.11%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.22%EV -6.54%E -3.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -9.11%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.22%EV -6.54%E -3.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -9.11%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 08:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -11.53%E -5.91%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.06%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.06%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.06%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.06%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -13.72%E -4.50%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.15%EV -10.17%E -5.14%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.96% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.75% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.51% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.19% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.2% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.19% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.2% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.19% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.2% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.62% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.24% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14% | 2.0% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |