Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cerezo Osaka v Kashiwa Reysol

Início: 2026-09-02 10:00 UTC

Final: Cerezo Osaka 2–0 Kashiwa Reysol

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cerezo Osaka (Local)

Previsão 28.29%3.54odd justa
EV -0.145%
Vantagem -0.041%
Kelly -0.057%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.22%28.25%28.22%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.053.243.203.5332.79%30.90%31.25%28.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kashiwa Reysol (Visitante)

Previsão 45.37%2.20odd justa
EV -3.82%
Vantagem -1.80%
Kelly -3.41%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.09%45.44%45.42%47.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.932.052.052.1251.81%48.87%48.78%47.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.34%3.80odd justa
EV -1.21%
Vantagem -0.323%
Kelly -0.440%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.24%26.31%26.36%27.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.483.503.7530.30%28.70%28.57%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cerezo Osaka (Local): 28.29%; Kashiwa Reysol (Visitante): 45.37%; Empate: 26.34%. Para Cerezo Osaka (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.54. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.53, com valor esperado de -0.145%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 26.92%EV -0.145%E -0.041%K -0.057%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.04%EV -8.36%E -4.14%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.04%EV -3.84%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 09:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.36%EV -0.994%E -0.284%K -0.397%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.04%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 09:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.36%EV -0.994%E -0.284%K -0.397%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.04%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 09:50
BetAnything🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.36%EV -0.994%E -0.284%K -0.397%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.04%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 09:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -0.994%E -0.284%K -0.397%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -12.44%E -6.45%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 09:25
Pinnacle🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07%EV -2.41%E -0.698%K -0.983%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90%EV -4.27%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.03%EV -2.00%E -0.538%K -0.735%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-02 09:55
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.82%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 09:41
DraftKings🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.26%EV -5.24%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.08%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -6.48%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 09:55
Bovada🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -5.24%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -6.48%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 09:44
SportsBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.24%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 09:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -6.09%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.71%EV -7.45%E -3.65%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.20%EV -6.22%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 09:55
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -6.65%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.53%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV -1.21%E -0.323%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 08:45
BetMGM🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.65%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 09:39
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.65%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 09:25
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.65%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 09:20
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.65%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 09:25
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.65%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 09:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.65%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 09:20
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 09:35
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-02 09:55
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 09:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 09:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 09:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 09:10
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.11%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 09:35
Betclic (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.46%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.13%EV -8.32%E -2.39%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-02 09:33
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.94%EV -8.36%E -4.14%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 09:35
Sky Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.06%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-02 09:40
Unibet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.41%EV -12.44%E -6.45%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.59%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-02 09:35
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-02 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-02 09:10
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-02 09:10
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-02 09:10
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-02 09:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-02 09:10
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-02 09:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-02 09:10
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-02 09:10
Bet Right🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.48%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 08:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.22%EV -6.54%E -3.18%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -9.11%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-02 09:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.22%EV -6.54%E -3.18%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -9.11%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-02 09:10
PMU (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.22%EV -6.54%E -3.18%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -9.11%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-02 09:10
Winamax (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-02 09:35
Betr (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 08:54
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -11.53%E -5.91%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-02 09:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.06%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-02 09:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.06%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-02 09:40
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.06%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-02 09:40
Neds🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.06%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-02 09:40
Winamax (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -13.72%E -4.50%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.15%EV -10.17%E -5.14%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-02 09:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-09-02 09:55
Kalshi◎3.57I 28.01%NM 27.75%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.51%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%0.9%2026-09-02 09:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.19%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-09-02 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.19%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-09-02 09:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.19%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-09-02 09:55
Smarkets◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.62%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.24%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14%2.0%2026-09-02 09:55