Language:English
Avispa Fukuoka v Urawa Red Diamonds
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Avispa Fukuoka (Local)
Prediction 34.06%2.94fair odd
EV +0.809%
Edge +0.273%
Kelly +0.413%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 2.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.26%34.21%34.03%37.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.682.652.9640.00%37.29%37.74%33.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Urawa Red Diamonds (Visit)
Prediction 36.16%2.77fair odd
EV +3.05%
Edge +1.07%
Kelly +1.65%
Growth +0.050%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.24%35.99%36.31%37.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.582.602.8541.67%38.83%38.46%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.78%3.36fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -0.518%
Kelly -0.744%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.70%29.80%29.66%31.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.063.053.3034.48%32.69%32.79%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Avispa Fukuoka (Local): 34.06%; Urawa Red Diamonds (Visit): 36.16%; Draw: 29.78%. For Urawa Red Diamonds (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.77. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.05%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -13.15%E -5.16%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV +3.05%E +1.07%K +1.65%G +0.050% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.69%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -9.75%E -3.68%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -0.565%E -0.205%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.34%EV -3.20%E -0.984%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -9.75%E -3.68%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -2.37%E -0.879%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -9.16%E -3.00%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -9.75%E -3.68%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -2.37%E -0.879%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -9.16%E -3.00%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.23%EV -3.62%E -1.28%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.42%EV -3.82%E -1.44%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.35%EV -1.71%E -0.518%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -9.75%E -3.68%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -9.16%E -3.00%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -9.75%E -3.68%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -9.16%E -3.00%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.85%EV -10.43%E -3.97%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.59%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.85%EV -10.43%E -3.97%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.59%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.85%EV -10.43%E -3.97%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.59%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.85%EV -10.43%E -3.97%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.59%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.85%EV -10.43%E -3.97%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.59%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.85%EV -10.43%E -3.97%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.59%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.85%EV -10.43%E -3.97%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.59%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -13.15%E -5.16%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -7.67%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.54%EV -0.554%E -0.190%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.99%EV -4.54%E -1.72%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.46%EV -10.05%E -3.33%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV -11.45%E -4.40%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV -4.90%E -1.86%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV -11.45%E -4.40%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV -4.90%E -1.86%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV -11.45%E -4.40%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV -4.90%E -1.86%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.26%EV +0.809%E +0.273%K +0.413%G +0.003% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.44%EV -5.27%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.30%EV -9.16%E -3.00%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.26%EV +0.809%E +0.273%K +0.413%G +0.003% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.44%EV -5.27%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.30%EV -9.16%E -3.00%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.26%EV +0.809%E +0.273%K +0.413%G +0.003% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.44%EV -5.27%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.30%EV -9.16%E -3.00%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -11.45%E -4.40%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -5.27%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -7.67%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -6.34%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.99%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -6.18%E -1.96%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -5.99%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.69%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 09:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.34%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.99%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -7.67%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 09:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.34%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.85%EV -5.99%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.26%EV -8.26%E -2.68%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -14.86%E -5.94%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -5.99%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -7.67%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -6.34%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -7.80%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -4.69%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -7.80%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -6.18%E -1.96%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.66%EV -7.37%E -2.71%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.33%EV -8.88%E -3.52%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02%EV -9.16%E -3.00%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.66%EV -7.37%E -2.71%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.33%EV -8.88%E -3.52%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02%EV -9.16%E -3.00%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 34.41%EV -12.47%E -4.85%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 35.09%EV -8.88%E -3.52%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -13.62%E -4.70%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-02 09:53 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.34%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -4.69%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-02 09:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -10.43%E -3.97%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -10.77%E -4.11%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -7.67%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -6.34%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -7.67%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -9.75%E -3.68%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -6.18%E -1.96%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.73%EV -9.75%E -3.68%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -10.43%E -3.97%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-02 09:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -10.43%E -3.97%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -10.43%E -3.97%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -10.77%E -4.11%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -10.77%E -4.11%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -11.45%E -4.40%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -13.22%E -5.51%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -7.67%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.04% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.60% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.89% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.99% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.65% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.64% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.71% | 1.1% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.80% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.80% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |