Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Avispa Fukuoka v Urawa Red Diamonds

Início: 2026-09-02 10:03 UTC

Final: Avispa Fukuoka 2–3 Urawa Red Diamonds

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Avispa Fukuoka (Local)

Previsão 34.06%2.94odd justa
EV +0.809%
Vantagem +0.273%
Kelly +0.413%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.26%34.21%34.03%37.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.502.682.652.9640.00%37.29%37.74%33.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Urawa Red Diamonds (Visitante)

Previsão 36.16%2.77odd justa
EV +3.05%
Vantagem +1.07%
Kelly +1.65%
Crescimento +0.050%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.24%35.99%36.31%37.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.582.602.8541.67%38.83%38.46%35.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.78%3.36odd justa
EV -1.71%
Vantagem -0.518%
Kelly -0.744%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.70%29.80%29.66%31.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.063.053.3034.48%32.69%32.79%30.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Avispa Fukuoka (Local): 34.06%; Urawa Red Diamonds (Visitante): 36.16%; Empate: 29.78%. Para Urawa Red Diamonds (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.77. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.85, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.05%.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -13.15%E -5.16%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV +3.05%E +1.07%K +1.65%G +0.050%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.69%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 09:25
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -9.75%E -3.68%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -0.565%E -0.205%K -0.323%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.34%EV -3.20%E -0.984%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 09:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -9.75%E -3.68%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -2.37%E -0.879%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -9.16%E -3.00%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 09:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -9.75%E -3.68%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -2.37%E -0.879%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -9.16%E -3.00%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 09:20
Pinnacle🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 34.23%EV -3.62%E -1.28%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.42%EV -3.82%E -1.44%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.35%EV -1.71%E -0.518%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-02 09:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -9.75%E -3.68%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -9.16%E -3.00%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-02 09:20
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -9.75%E -3.68%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -9.16%E -3.00%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-02 09:20
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.85%EV -10.43%E -3.97%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.59%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 09:20
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.85%EV -10.43%E -3.97%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.59%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 09:20
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.85%EV -10.43%E -3.97%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.59%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 09:20
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.85%EV -10.43%E -3.97%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.59%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 09:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.85%EV -10.43%E -3.97%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.59%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 09:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.85%EV -10.43%E -3.97%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.59%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 09:20
betPARX🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.85%EV -10.43%E -3.97%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.59%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 09:20
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -13.15%E -5.16%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -7.67%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-02 09:20
1xBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.54%EV -0.554%E -0.190%K -0.288%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.99%EV -4.54%E -1.72%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.46%EV -10.05%E -3.33%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 09:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV -11.45%E -4.40%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV -4.90%E -1.86%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-02 09:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV -11.45%E -4.40%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV -4.90%E -1.86%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-02 09:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV -11.45%E -4.40%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV -4.90%E -1.86%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-02 09:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.26%EV +0.809%E +0.273%K +0.413%G +0.003%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.44%EV -5.27%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.30%EV -9.16%E -3.00%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 09:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.26%EV +0.809%E +0.273%K +0.413%G +0.003%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.44%EV -5.27%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.30%EV -9.16%E -3.00%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 09:55
BetAnything🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.26%EV +0.809%E +0.273%K +0.413%G +0.003%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.44%EV -5.27%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.30%EV -9.16%E -3.00%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 09:55
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -11.45%E -4.40%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -5.27%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -7.67%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 09:55
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -6.34%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.99%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -6.18%E -1.96%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 09:55
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -5.99%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.69%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 09:24
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.34%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.99%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -7.67%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 09:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.34%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.85%EV -5.99%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.26%EV -8.26%E -2.68%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-02 09:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -14.86%E -5.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -5.99%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -7.67%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-02 09:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -6.34%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -7.80%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -4.69%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 09:20
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -7.80%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -6.18%E -1.96%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 09:50
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.66%EV -7.37%E -2.71%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.33%EV -8.88%E -3.52%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02%EV -9.16%E -3.00%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-02 09:20
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.66%EV -7.37%E -2.71%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.33%EV -8.88%E -3.52%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02%EV -9.16%E -3.00%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-02 09:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 34.41%EV -12.47%E -4.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 35.09%EV -8.88%E -3.52%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -13.62%E -4.70%K -7.17%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-02 09:53
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.34%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -4.69%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 09:45
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-02 09:35
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-02 09:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-02 09:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-02 09:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -10.43%E -3.97%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-02 09:55
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -10.77%E -4.11%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-02 09:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -7.67%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 09:50
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -6.34%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -7.67%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-02 09:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -9.75%E -3.68%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -6.18%E -1.96%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-02 09:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.73%EV -9.75%E -3.68%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-02 09:35
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -10.43%E -3.97%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-02 09:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -10.43%E -3.97%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-02 09:45
Neds🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -10.43%E -3.97%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-02 09:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -10.77%E -4.11%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-02 09:45
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -10.77%E -4.11%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-02 09:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -11.45%E -4.40%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -13.22%E -5.51%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -7.67%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-02 09:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.04%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-09-02 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.60%0.9%2026-09-02 09:55
Smarkets◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.89%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.99%1.0%2026-09-02 09:55
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.65%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.64%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.71%1.1%2026-09-02 09:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.80%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-09-02 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.80%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-09-02 09:55