Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Avispa Fukuoka v Urawa Red Diamonds

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-02 10:03 UTC

Score final : Avispa Fukuoka 2–3 Urawa Red Diamonds

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Avispa Fukuoka (Local)

Prévision 34.06%2.94cote équitable
EV +0.809%
Avantage +0.273%
Kelly +0.413%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 2.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.26%34.21%34.03%37.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.682.652.9640.00%37.29%37.74%33.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Urawa Red Diamonds (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.16%2.77cote équitable
EV +3.05%
Avantage +1.07%
Kelly +1.65%
Croissance +0.050%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.24%35.99%36.31%37.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.582.602.8541.67%38.83%38.46%35.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.78%3.36cote équitable
EV -1.71%
Avantage -0.518%
Kelly -0.744%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.70%29.80%29.66%31.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.063.053.3034.48%32.69%32.79%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Avispa Fukuoka (Local) : 34.06% ; Urawa Red Diamonds (Visiteur) : 36.16% ; Match nul : 29.78%. Pour Urawa Red Diamonds (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.77. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.85, soit une espérance positive de +3.05%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -13.15%E -5.16%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV +3.05%E +1.07%K +1.65%G +0.050%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.69%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 09:25
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -9.75%E -3.68%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -0.565%E -0.205%K -0.323%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.34%EV -3.20%E -0.984%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 09:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -9.75%E -3.68%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -2.37%E -0.879%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -9.16%E -3.00%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 09:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -9.75%E -3.68%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -2.37%E -0.879%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -9.16%E -3.00%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 09:20
Pinnacle🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 34.23%EV -3.62%E -1.28%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.42%EV -3.82%E -1.44%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.35%EV -1.71%E -0.518%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-02 09:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -9.75%E -3.68%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -9.16%E -3.00%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-02 09:20
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -9.75%E -3.68%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -9.16%E -3.00%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-02 09:20
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.85%EV -10.43%E -3.97%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.59%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 09:20
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.85%EV -10.43%E -3.97%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.59%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 09:20
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.85%EV -10.43%E -3.97%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.59%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 09:20
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.85%EV -10.43%E -3.97%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.59%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 09:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.85%EV -10.43%E -3.97%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.59%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 09:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.85%EV -10.43%E -3.97%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.59%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 09:20
betPARX🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.85%EV -10.43%E -3.97%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.59%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 09:20
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -13.15%E -5.16%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -7.67%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-02 09:20
1xBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.54%EV -0.554%E -0.190%K -0.288%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.99%EV -4.54%E -1.72%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.46%EV -10.05%E -3.33%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 09:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV -11.45%E -4.40%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV -4.90%E -1.86%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-02 09:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV -11.45%E -4.40%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV -4.90%E -1.86%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-02 09:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV -11.45%E -4.40%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV -4.90%E -1.86%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-02 09:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.26%EV +0.809%E +0.273%K +0.413%G +0.003%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.44%EV -5.27%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.30%EV -9.16%E -3.00%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 09:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.26%EV +0.809%E +0.273%K +0.413%G +0.003%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.44%EV -5.27%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.30%EV -9.16%E -3.00%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 09:55
BetAnything🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.26%EV +0.809%E +0.273%K +0.413%G +0.003%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.44%EV -5.27%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.30%EV -9.16%E -3.00%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 09:55
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -11.45%E -4.40%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -5.27%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -7.67%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 09:55
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -6.34%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.99%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -6.18%E -1.96%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 09:55
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -5.99%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.69%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 09:24
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.34%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.99%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -7.67%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 09:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.34%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.85%EV -5.99%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.26%EV -8.26%E -2.68%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-02 09:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -14.86%E -5.94%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -5.99%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -7.67%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-02 09:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -6.34%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -7.80%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -4.69%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 09:20
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -7.80%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -6.18%E -1.96%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 09:50
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.66%EV -7.37%E -2.71%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.33%EV -8.88%E -3.52%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02%EV -9.16%E -3.00%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-02 09:20
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.66%EV -7.37%E -2.71%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.33%EV -8.88%E -3.52%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02%EV -9.16%E -3.00%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-02 09:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 34.41%EV -12.47%E -4.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 35.09%EV -8.88%E -3.52%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -13.62%E -4.70%K -7.17%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-02 09:53
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.34%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -4.69%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 09:45
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-02 09:35
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-02 09:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-02 09:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-02 09:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -10.43%E -3.97%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-02 09:55
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -10.77%E -4.11%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-02 09:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -7.67%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 09:50
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -6.34%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -7.67%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-02 09:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -9.75%E -3.68%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -6.18%E -1.96%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-02 09:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.73%EV -9.75%E -3.68%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-02 09:35
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -10.43%E -3.97%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-02 09:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -10.43%E -3.97%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-02 09:45
Neds🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -10.43%E -3.97%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-02 09:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -10.77%E -4.11%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-02 09:45
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -10.77%E -4.11%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-02 09:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -11.45%E -4.40%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -13.22%E -5.51%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -7.67%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-02 09:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.04%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-09-02 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.60%0.9%2026-09-02 09:55
Smarkets◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.89%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.99%1.0%2026-09-02 09:55
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.65%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.64%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.71%1.1%2026-09-02 09:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.80%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-09-02 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.80%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-09-02 09:55