Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.92
assuming max odds 4.66
assuming max odds 3.65
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Virtus Entella (Local): 50.18%; Carrarese (Visit): 22.19%; Draw: 27.63%. For Carrarese (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.51. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.66, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.42%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.29%EV -4.16%E -2.18%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.61%EV +3.42%E +0.733%K +0.934%G +0.032% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.10%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -13.19%E -7.63%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -0.134%E -0.030%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV +0.848%E +0.232%K +0.320%G +0.003% | 7.4% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -13.19%E -7.63%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -0.134%E -0.030%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV +0.848%E +0.232%K +0.320%G +0.003% | 7.4% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.95%EV -13.69%E -7.96%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -0.134%E -0.030%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV +0.848%E +0.232%K +0.320%G +0.003% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -14.20%E -8.30%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -0.134%E -0.030%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -0.533%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -14.20%E -8.30%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -0.134%E -0.030%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -0.533%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -14.20%E -8.30%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -0.134%E -0.030%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -0.533%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -14.20%E -8.30%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -0.134%E -0.030%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -0.533%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -14.20%E -8.30%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -0.134%E -0.030%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -0.533%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -14.20%E -8.30%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -0.134%E -0.030%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -0.533%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -14.20%E -8.30%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -0.134%E -0.030%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -0.533%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -8.17%E -4.47%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -0.134%E -0.030%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -12.97%E -4.12%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -14.70%E -8.65%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -0.134%E -0.030%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -0.533%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.96%EV -8.17%E -4.47%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -1.24%E -0.279%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -8.27%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 18:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -11.19%E -6.32%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -2.35%E -0.535%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.40%EV -6.17%E -3.30%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -2.35%E -0.535%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.61%EV -13.80%E -4.42%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.91%EV -15.70%E -9.35%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -2.35%E -0.535%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -1.91%E -0.539%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.91%EV -15.70%E -9.35%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -2.35%E -0.535%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -1.91%E -0.539%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.05%EV -16.20%E -9.70%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -2.35%E -0.535%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -1.91%E -0.539%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -4.16%E -2.18%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 21.78%EV -3.24%E -0.743%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.51%EV -7.99%E -2.40%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -7.17%E -3.88%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -3.91%E -0.902%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 18:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.32%EV -5.16%E -2.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -4.57%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 18:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.64%EV -4.16%E -2.18%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05%EV -4.57%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 18:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -6.17%E -3.30%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.57%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 18:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.64%EV -3.66%E -1.91%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -4.57%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -12.97%E -4.12%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.64%EV -3.66%E -1.91%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -4.57%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -12.97%E -4.12%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 18:23 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.01%EV -18.21%E -11.17%K -28.90%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.47%EV -4.57%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.12%EV -4.66%E -2.45%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -6.79%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -5.67%E -3.01%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.79%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 18:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66%EV -8.17%E -4.47%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.79%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 18:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -8.17%E -4.47%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.79%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-08 18:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -9.68%E -5.38%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.79%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -12.19%E -6.96%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -6.79%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.05%EV -7.17%E -3.88%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -7.90%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 18:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.05%EV -7.17%E -3.88%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -7.90%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 18:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.05%EV -6.17%E -3.30%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -9.01%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.17%E -3.30%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 18:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -7.17%E -3.88%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.17%E -4.47%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 18:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.17%E -3.88%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-08 18:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.17%E -3.88%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-08 18:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.17%E -3.88%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-08 18:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.17%E -3.88%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-08 18:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.43%EV -4.66%E -2.45%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -17.11%E -5.70%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-08 18:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -9.68%E -5.38%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-08 18:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -9.68%E -5.38%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-08 18:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -9.68%E -5.38%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-08 18:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -9.68%E -5.38%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -14.35%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-08 18:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -12.19%E -6.96%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.01%EV -13.19%E -7.63%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.63%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.36%EV -15.73%E -5.16%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-08 18:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.13%EV -10.68%E -6.00%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.42%EV -11.67%E -2.93%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-08 18:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.10%EV -8.68%E -4.77%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -12.34%E -3.12%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-08 18:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.55%EV -8.68%E -4.77%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -13.45%E -3.45%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-08 18:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 49.89%EV -12.69%E -7.29%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.55%EV -14.56%E -3.78%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.56%EV -12.97%E -4.12%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-08 18:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -7.17%E -3.88%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.88%EV -11.69%E -6.64%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-08 18:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -13.19%E -7.63%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -16.78%E -4.47%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -17.11%E -5.70%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-05-08 18:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.37% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.09% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54% | 0.9% | 2026-05-08 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 1.1% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.50% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47% | 1.1% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |