La scuola delle quote

Virtus Entella v Carrarese

Inizio: 2026-05-08 18:30 UTC

Finale: Virtus Entella 2–1 Carrarese

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

57 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Virtus Entella (Casa)

Previsione 50.18%1.99quota equa
EV -3.66%
Vantaggio -1.91%
Kelly -3.98%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.92

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.43%50.26%50.18%54.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.631.801.821.9261.35%55.57%54.95%52.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Carrarese (Trasferta)

Previsione 22.19%4.51quota equa
EV +3.42%
Vantaggio +0.733%
Kelly +0.934%
Crescita +0.032%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.66

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.42%22.11%22.14%23.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.214.204.6626.67%23.73%23.81%21.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.63%3.62quota equa
EV +0.848%
Vantaggio +0.232%
Kelly +0.320%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.42%27.62%27.67%30.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.373.353.6533.33%29.68%29.85%27.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 50.29%EV -4.16%E -2.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.61%EV +3.42%E +0.733%K +0.934%G +0.032%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.10%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 18:20
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -13.19%E -7.63%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -0.134%E -0.030%K -0.038%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV +0.848%E +0.232%K +0.320%G +0.003%7.4%2026-05-08 18:24
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -13.19%E -7.63%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -0.134%E -0.030%K -0.038%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV +0.848%E +0.232%K +0.320%G +0.003%7.4%2026-05-08 18:20
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 53.95%EV -13.69%E -7.96%K -19.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -0.134%E -0.030%K -0.038%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV +0.848%E +0.232%K +0.320%G +0.003%7.8%2026-05-08 18:19
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -14.20%E -8.30%K -19.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -0.134%E -0.030%K -0.038%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -0.533%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:20
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -14.20%E -8.30%K -19.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -0.134%E -0.030%K -0.038%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -0.533%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:20
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -14.20%E -8.30%K -19.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -0.134%E -0.030%K -0.038%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -0.533%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:20
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -14.20%E -8.30%K -19.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -0.134%E -0.030%K -0.038%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -0.533%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:20
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -14.20%E -8.30%K -19.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -0.134%E -0.030%K -0.038%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -0.533%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:24
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -14.20%E -8.30%K -19.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -0.134%E -0.030%K -0.038%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -0.533%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:20
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -14.20%E -8.30%K -19.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -0.134%E -0.030%K -0.038%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -0.533%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:19
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -8.17%E -4.47%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -0.134%E -0.030%K -0.038%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -12.97%E -4.12%K -6.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 18:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -14.70%E -8.65%K -21.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -0.134%E -0.030%K -0.038%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -0.533%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 18:20
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.96%EV -8.17%E -4.47%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -1.24%E -0.279%K -0.360%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -8.27%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 18:25
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -11.19%E -6.32%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -2.35%E -0.535%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 18:19
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 49.40%EV -6.17%E -3.30%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -2.35%E -0.535%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.61%EV -13.80%E -4.42%K -6.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 18:24
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 53.91%EV -15.70%E -9.35%K -23.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -2.35%E -0.535%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -1.91%E -0.539%K -0.751%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-08 18:20
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 53.91%EV -15.70%E -9.35%K -23.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -2.35%E -0.535%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -1.91%E -0.539%K -0.751%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-08 18:24
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 54.05%EV -16.20%E -9.70%K -24.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -2.35%E -0.535%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -1.91%E -0.539%K -0.751%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-08 18:24
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -4.16%E -2.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.78%EV -3.24%E -0.743%K -0.965%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.51%EV -7.99%E -2.40%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 18:19
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -7.17%E -3.88%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -3.91%E -0.902%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 18:14
Codere (IT)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.32%EV -5.16%E -2.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -4.57%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 18:15
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.64%EV -4.16%E -2.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05%EV -4.57%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 18:14
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -6.17%E -3.30%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.57%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 18:04
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 48.64%EV -3.66%E -1.91%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -4.57%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -12.97%E -4.12%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 18:24
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 48.64%EV -3.66%E -1.91%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -4.57%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -12.97%E -4.12%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 18:23
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 54.01%EV -18.21%E -11.17%K -28.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.47%EV -4.57%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-08 18:20
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.12%EV -4.66%E -2.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -6.79%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 18:19
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -5.67%E -3.01%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.79%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 18:14
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66%EV -8.17%E -4.47%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.79%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 18:05
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -8.17%E -4.47%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.79%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 18:25
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -9.68%E -5.38%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.79%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 18:19
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -12.19%E -6.96%K -16.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -6.79%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-08 18:20
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.05%EV -7.17%E -3.88%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -7.90%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 18:14
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.05%EV -7.17%E -3.88%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -7.90%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 18:14
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.05%EV -6.17%E -3.30%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -9.01%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 18:20
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.17%E -3.30%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 18:14
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -7.17%E -3.88%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 18:20
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.17%E -4.47%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 18:14
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.17%E -3.88%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 18:14
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.17%E -3.88%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 18:14
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.17%E -3.88%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 18:14
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.17%E -3.88%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 18:14
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 47.43%EV -4.66%E -2.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -17.11%E -5.70%K -8.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-08 18:25
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -9.68%E -5.38%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-08 18:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -9.68%E -5.38%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-08 18:04
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -9.68%E -5.38%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-08 18:04
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -9.68%E -5.38%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -14.35%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-08 18:25
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -12.19%E -6.96%K -16.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-08 18:20
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.01%EV -13.19%E -7.63%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.63%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.36%EV -15.73%E -5.16%K -7.67%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-08 18:15
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.13%EV -10.68%E -6.00%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.42%EV -11.67%E -2.93%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-08 18:15
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.10%EV -8.68%E -4.77%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -12.34%E -3.12%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 18:14
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.55%EV -8.68%E -4.77%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -13.45%E -3.45%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-08 18:14
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 49.89%EV -12.69%E -7.29%K -17.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.55%EV -14.56%E -3.78%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.56%EV -12.97%E -4.12%K -6.03%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-08 18:14
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -7.17%E -3.88%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 18:24
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 49.88%EV -11.69%E -6.64%K -15.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-08 18:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -13.19%E -7.63%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -16.78%E -4.47%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -17.11%E -5.70%K -8.56%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-08 18:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.37%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.09%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.9%2026-05-08 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-05-08 18:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-05-08 18:25
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-05-08 18:24
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.50%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47%1.1%2026-05-08 18:24