L’École des cotes

Virtus Entella v Carrarese

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-08 18:30 UTC

Score final : Virtus Entella 2–1 Carrarese

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Virtus Entella (Local)

Prévision 50.18%1.99cote équitable
EV -3.66%
Avantage -1.91%
Kelly -3.98%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.43%50.26%50.18%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.631.801.821.9261.35%55.57%54.95%52.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Carrarese (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.19%4.51cote équitable
EV +3.42%
Avantage +0.733%
Kelly +0.934%
Croissance +0.032%

avec la cote maximale 4.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.42%22.11%22.14%23.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.214.204.6626.67%23.73%23.81%21.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.63%3.62cote équitable
EV +0.848%
Avantage +0.232%
Kelly +0.320%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.42%27.62%27.67%30.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.373.353.6533.33%29.68%29.85%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 50.29%EV -4.16%E -2.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.61%EV +3.42%E +0.733%K +0.934%G +0.032%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.10%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 18:20
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -13.19%E -7.63%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -0.134%E -0.030%K -0.038%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV +0.848%E +0.232%K +0.320%G +0.003%7.4%2026-05-08 18:24
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -13.19%E -7.63%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -0.134%E -0.030%K -0.038%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV +0.848%E +0.232%K +0.320%G +0.003%7.4%2026-05-08 18:20
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 53.95%EV -13.69%E -7.96%K -19.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -0.134%E -0.030%K -0.038%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV +0.848%E +0.232%K +0.320%G +0.003%7.8%2026-05-08 18:19
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -14.20%E -8.30%K -19.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -0.134%E -0.030%K -0.038%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -0.533%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:20
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -14.20%E -8.30%K -19.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -0.134%E -0.030%K -0.038%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -0.533%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:20
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -14.20%E -8.30%K -19.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -0.134%E -0.030%K -0.038%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -0.533%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:20
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -14.20%E -8.30%K -19.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -0.134%E -0.030%K -0.038%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -0.533%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:20
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -14.20%E -8.30%K -19.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -0.134%E -0.030%K -0.038%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -0.533%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:24
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -14.20%E -8.30%K -19.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -0.134%E -0.030%K -0.038%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -0.533%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:20
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -14.20%E -8.30%K -19.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -0.134%E -0.030%K -0.038%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -0.533%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:19
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -8.17%E -4.47%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -0.134%E -0.030%K -0.038%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -12.97%E -4.12%K -6.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 18:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -14.70%E -8.65%K -21.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -0.134%E -0.030%K -0.038%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -0.533%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 18:20
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.96%EV -8.17%E -4.47%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -1.24%E -0.279%K -0.360%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -8.27%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 18:25
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -11.19%E -6.32%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -2.35%E -0.535%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 18:19
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 49.40%EV -6.17%E -3.30%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -2.35%E -0.535%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.61%EV -13.80%E -4.42%K -6.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 18:24
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 53.91%EV -15.70%E -9.35%K -23.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -2.35%E -0.535%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -1.91%E -0.539%K -0.751%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-08 18:20
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 53.91%EV -15.70%E -9.35%K -23.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -2.35%E -0.535%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -1.91%E -0.539%K -0.751%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-08 18:24
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 54.05%EV -16.20%E -9.70%K -24.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -2.35%E -0.535%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -1.91%E -0.539%K -0.751%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-08 18:24
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -4.16%E -2.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.78%EV -3.24%E -0.743%K -0.965%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.51%EV -7.99%E -2.40%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 18:19
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -7.17%E -3.88%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -3.91%E -0.902%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 18:14
Codere (IT)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.32%EV -5.16%E -2.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -4.57%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 18:15
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.64%EV -4.16%E -2.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05%EV -4.57%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 18:14
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -6.17%E -3.30%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.57%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 18:04
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 48.64%EV -3.66%E -1.91%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -4.57%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -12.97%E -4.12%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 18:24
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 48.64%EV -3.66%E -1.91%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -4.57%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -12.97%E -4.12%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 18:23
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 54.01%EV -18.21%E -11.17%K -28.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.47%EV -4.57%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-08 18:20
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.12%EV -4.66%E -2.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -6.79%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 18:19
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -5.67%E -3.01%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.79%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 18:14
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66%EV -8.17%E -4.47%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.79%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 18:05
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -8.17%E -4.47%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.79%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 18:25
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -9.68%E -5.38%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.79%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 18:19
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -12.19%E -6.96%K -16.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -6.79%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-08 18:20
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.05%EV -7.17%E -3.88%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -7.90%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 18:14
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.05%EV -7.17%E -3.88%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -7.90%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 18:14
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.05%EV -6.17%E -3.30%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -9.01%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 18:20
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.17%E -3.30%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 18:14
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -7.17%E -3.88%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 18:20
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.17%E -4.47%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 18:14
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.17%E -3.88%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 18:14
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.17%E -3.88%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 18:14
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.17%E -3.88%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 18:14
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.17%E -3.88%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 18:14
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 47.43%EV -4.66%E -2.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -17.11%E -5.70%K -8.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-08 18:25
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -9.68%E -5.38%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-08 18:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -9.68%E -5.38%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-08 18:04
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -9.68%E -5.38%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-08 18:04
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -9.68%E -5.38%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -14.35%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-08 18:25
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -12.19%E -6.96%K -16.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-08 18:20
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.01%EV -13.19%E -7.63%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.63%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.36%EV -15.73%E -5.16%K -7.67%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-08 18:15
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.13%EV -10.68%E -6.00%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.42%EV -11.67%E -2.93%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-08 18:15
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.10%EV -8.68%E -4.77%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -12.34%E -3.12%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 18:14
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.55%EV -8.68%E -4.77%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -13.45%E -3.45%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-08 18:14
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 49.89%EV -12.69%E -7.29%K -17.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.55%EV -14.56%E -3.78%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.56%EV -12.97%E -4.12%K -6.03%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-08 18:14
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -7.17%E -3.88%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 18:24
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 49.88%EV -11.69%E -6.64%K -15.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-08 18:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -13.19%E -7.63%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -16.78%E -4.47%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -17.11%E -5.70%K -8.56%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-08 18:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.37%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.09%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.9%2026-05-08 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-05-08 18:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-05-08 18:25
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-05-08 18:24
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.50%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47%1.1%2026-05-08 18:24