Language:English
Vicenza v US Catanzaro 1929
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Vicenza (Local)
Prediction 41.18%2.43fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.490%
Kelly -0.841%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.05%41.16%41.06%42.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.252.252.4047.62%44.41%44.44%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
US Catanzaro 1929 (Visit)
Prediction 29.13%3.43fair odd
EV +0.509%
Edge +0.147%
Kelly +0.208%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.89%29.19%29.23%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.083.103.4535.71%32.46%32.26%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.69%3.37fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -0.612%
Kelly -0.879%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.40%29.65%29.71%31.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.063.053.3035.09%32.64%32.79%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vicenza (Local): 41.18%; US Catanzaro 1929 (Visit): 29.13%; Draw: 29.69%. For US Catanzaro 1929 (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.43. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.509%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.84%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.89%EV +0.509%E +0.147%K +0.208%G +0.001% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -5.58%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-21 18:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 18:13 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.47%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-21 18:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.84%EV -8.18%E -3.67%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -4.44%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.71%EV -6.77%E -2.16%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-21 18:23 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.32%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-21 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.32%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-21 18:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -2.02%E -0.612%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 18:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -6.12%E -2.68%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.47%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -6.12%E -2.68%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.47%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-21 18:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -13.90%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-21 18:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -13.90%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-21 18:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.11%EV -8.59%E -3.87%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -9.44%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-21 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.11%EV -8.59%E -3.87%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -9.44%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-21 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -2.00%E -0.841%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.47%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 18:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -2.00%E -0.841%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.47%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-21 18:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-21 18:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-21 18:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-21 18:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-21 18:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-21 18:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-21 18:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-21 18:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -6.47%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-21 18:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-21 18:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -11.47%E -5.34%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-21 18:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -11.47%E -5.34%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-21 18:18 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.47%E -5.34%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-21 18:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.90%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-21 18:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -1.18%E -0.490%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-21 17:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-21 18:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.45%EV -13.53%E -6.44%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.54%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.01%EV -13.90%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-08-21 18:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -11.47%E -5.34%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-21 18:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -14.06%E -4.77%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -9.44%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -14.06%E -4.77%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -9.44%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -14.06%E -4.77%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -9.44%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -14.06%E -4.77%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -9.44%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-21 18:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -14.06%E -4.77%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -9.44%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -14.06%E -4.77%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -9.44%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -14.06%E -4.77%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -9.44%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.48%EV -6.12%E -2.68%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -14.06%E -4.77%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-21 18:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.39%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -15.51%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.04%EV -12.41%E -4.21%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -15.51%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-21 18:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -15.51%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-21 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -15.51%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-21 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.52%EV -8.18%E -3.67%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.60%EV -16.10%E -5.59%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -12.41%E -4.21%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-21 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.52%EV -8.18%E -3.67%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.60%EV -16.10%E -5.59%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -12.41%E -4.21%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-21 18:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 39.54%EV -11.06%E -5.12%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.50%EV -18.43%E -6.58%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.96%EV -15.38%E -5.40%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 41.02% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.19% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.79% | -0.1% | 2026-08-21 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.21% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.69% | 0.3% | 2026-08-21 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.21% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.69% | 0.3% | 2026-08-21 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.21% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.69% | 0.3% | 2026-08-21 18:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.06% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.79% | 1.5% | 2026-08-21 18:25 |