The School of Odds

Vicenza v US Catanzaro 1929

2026-08-22 15:00 UTC — Serie B - Italy

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Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Vicenza (Local)

Prediction 35.28%2.83fair odd
EV -4.74%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -2.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.03%35.28%35.28%35.87%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.402.552.552.7042%39%39%37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

US Catanzaro 1929 (Visit)

Prediction 34.63%2.89fair odd
EV -5.80%
Edge -2.13%
Kelly -3.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.63%34.63%34.06%35.91%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.502.642.652.7240%38%38%37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 30.09%3.32fair odd
EV -0.719%
Edge -0.218%
Kelly -0.312%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.84%30.09%30.65%30.79%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.802.993.003.3036%33%33%30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.74%E -1.76%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -0.719%E -0.218%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 10:05
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.25%EV -7.56%E -2.89%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.96%EV -5.80%E -2.13%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -9.74%E -3.25%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-24 10:05
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.25%EV -7.56%E -2.89%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.96%EV -5.80%E -2.13%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -9.74%E -3.25%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-24 10:10
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -8.27%E -3.18%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.49%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -9.74%E -3.25%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-24 10:09
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -10.03%E -3.93%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -9.74%E -3.25%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-24 10:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.47%EV -10.03%E -3.93%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.39%EV -8.91%E -3.39%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -9.74%E -3.25%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-24 10:05
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -11.80%E -4.72%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -9.26%E -3.53%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.74%E -3.25%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-24 10:09
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 35.03%EV -13.56%E -5.54%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.33%EV -13.41%E -5.37%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.65%EV -15.76%E -5.63%K -8.76%G +0.000%16.5%2026-07-24 10:05
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.74%EV -15.33%E -6.39%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.63%EV -11.68%E -4.58%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.63%EV -15.76%E -5.63%K -8.76%G +0.000%16.6%2026-07-24 10:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.