Idioma:Español
Vicenza v US Catanzaro 1929
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Vicenza (Local)
Predicción 41.18%2.43momio equitativo
EV -1.18%
Ventaja -0.490%
Kelly -0.841%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.05%41.16%41.06%42.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.252.252.4047.62%44.41%44.44%41.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
US Catanzaro 1929 (Visitante)
Predicción 29.13%3.43momio equitativo
EV +0.509%
Ventaja +0.147%
Kelly +0.208%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.89%29.19%29.23%30.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.803.083.103.4535.71%32.46%32.26%28.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 29.69%3.37momio equitativo
EV -2.02%
Ventaja -0.612%
Kelly -0.879%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.40%29.65%29.71%31.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.853.063.053.3035.09%32.64%32.79%30.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Vicenza (Local): 41.18%; US Catanzaro 1929 (Visitante): 29.13%; Empate: 29.69%. Para US Catanzaro 1929 (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.43. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.45, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.509%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.84%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.89%EV +0.509%E +0.147%K +0.208%G +0.001% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -5.58%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-21 18:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 18:13 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.47%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-21 18:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.84%EV -8.18%E -3.67%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -4.44%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.71%EV -6.77%E -2.16%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-21 18:23 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.32%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-21 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.32%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-21 18:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -2.02%E -0.612%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 18:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -6.12%E -2.68%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.47%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -6.12%E -2.68%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.47%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-21 18:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -13.90%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-21 18:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -13.90%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-21 18:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.11%EV -8.59%E -3.87%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -9.44%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-21 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.11%EV -8.59%E -3.87%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -9.44%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-21 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -2.00%E -0.841%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.47%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 18:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -2.00%E -0.841%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.47%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-21 18:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-21 18:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-21 18:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-21 18:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-21 18:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-21 18:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-21 18:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-21 18:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -6.47%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-21 18:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-21 18:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -11.47%E -5.34%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-21 18:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -11.47%E -5.34%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-21 18:18 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.47%E -5.34%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-21 18:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.90%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-21 18:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -1.18%E -0.490%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-21 17:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-21 18:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.45%EV -13.53%E -6.44%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.54%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.01%EV -13.90%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-08-21 18:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -11.47%E -5.34%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-21 18:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -14.06%E -4.77%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -9.44%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -14.06%E -4.77%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -9.44%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -14.06%E -4.77%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -9.44%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -14.06%E -4.77%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -9.44%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-21 18:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -14.06%E -4.77%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -9.44%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -14.06%E -4.77%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -9.44%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -14.06%E -4.77%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -9.44%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.48%EV -6.12%E -2.68%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -14.06%E -4.77%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-21 18:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.39%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -15.51%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.04%EV -12.41%E -4.21%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -15.51%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-21 18:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -15.51%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-21 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -15.51%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-21 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.52%EV -8.18%E -3.67%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.60%EV -16.10%E -5.59%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -12.41%E -4.21%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-21 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.52%EV -8.18%E -3.67%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.60%EV -16.10%E -5.59%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -12.41%E -4.21%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-21 18:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 39.54%EV -11.06%E -5.12%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.50%EV -18.43%E -6.58%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.96%EV -15.38%E -5.40%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 41.02% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.19% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.79% | -0.1% | 2026-08-21 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.21% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.69% | 0.3% | 2026-08-21 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.21% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.69% | 0.3% | 2026-08-21 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.21% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.69% | 0.3% | 2026-08-21 18:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.06% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.79% | 1.5% | 2026-08-21 18:25 |