Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Vicenza v US Catanzaro 1929

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-21 18:30 UTC

Score final : Vicenza 3–2 US Catanzaro 1929

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Vicenza (Local)

Prévision 41.18%2.43cote équitable
EV -1.18%
Avantage -0.490%
Kelly -0.841%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.05%41.16%41.06%42.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.252.252.4047.62%44.41%44.44%41.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

US Catanzaro 1929 (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.13%3.43cote équitable
EV +0.509%
Avantage +0.147%
Kelly +0.208%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.89%29.19%29.23%30.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.083.103.4535.71%32.46%32.26%28.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.69%3.37cote équitable
EV -2.02%
Avantage -0.612%
Kelly -0.879%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.40%29.65%29.71%31.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.853.063.053.3035.09%32.64%32.79%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Vicenza (Local) : 41.18% ; US Catanzaro 1929 (Visiteur) : 29.13% ; Match nul : 29.69%. Pour US Catanzaro 1929 (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.43. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.45, soit une espérance positive de +0.509%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.84%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.89%EV +0.509%E +0.147%K +0.208%G +0.001%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -5.58%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-21 18:25
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 18:13
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.47%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 18:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.84%EV -8.18%E -3.67%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -4.44%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.71%EV -6.77%E -2.16%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-21 18:23
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.32%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 18:20
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.32%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-21 18:15
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -2.02%E -0.612%K -0.879%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 18:14
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -6.12%E -2.68%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.47%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-21 18:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -6.12%E -2.68%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.47%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-21 18:04
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 18:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -13.90%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-21 18:15
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -13.90%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-21 18:10
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.11%EV -8.59%E -3.87%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -9.44%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-21 18:20
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.11%EV -8.59%E -3.87%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -9.44%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-21 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -2.00%E -0.841%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.47%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 18:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -2.00%E -0.841%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.47%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 18:04
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 18:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-21 18:15
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 18:15
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 18:15
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-21 18:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-21 18:24
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-21 18:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-21 18:24
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -6.47%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-21 18:15
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-21 18:15
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -11.47%E -5.34%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-21 18:15
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -11.47%E -5.34%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-21 18:18
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.47%E -5.34%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-21 18:20
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.90%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-21 18:10
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -1.18%E -0.490%K -0.841%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 17:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-21 18:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.45%EV -13.53%E -6.44%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.54%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.01%EV -13.90%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-21 18:15
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -11.47%E -5.34%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-21 18:05
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -14.06%E -4.77%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -9.44%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-21 18:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -14.06%E -4.77%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -9.44%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-21 18:04
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -14.06%E -4.77%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -9.44%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-21 18:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -14.06%E -4.77%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -9.44%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-21 18:05
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -14.06%E -4.77%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -9.44%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-21 18:04
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -14.06%E -4.77%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -9.44%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-21 18:04
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -14.06%E -4.77%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -9.44%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-21 18:04
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.48%EV -6.12%E -2.68%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -14.06%E -4.77%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-21 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.39%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -15.51%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.04%EV -12.41%E -4.21%K -6.37%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-21 18:04
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -15.51%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-21 18:10
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -15.51%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-21 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -15.51%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-21 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.52%EV -8.18%E -3.67%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.60%EV -16.10%E -5.59%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -12.41%E -4.21%K -6.37%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-21 18:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.52%EV -8.18%E -3.67%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.60%EV -16.10%E -5.59%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -12.41%E -4.21%K -6.37%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-21 18:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 39.54%EV -11.06%E -5.12%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.50%EV -18.43%E -6.58%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.96%EV -15.38%E -5.40%K -8.31%G +0.000%17.1%2026-08-21 18:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 41.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.19%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.79%-0.1%2026-08-21 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.21%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.69%0.3%2026-08-21 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.21%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.69%0.3%2026-08-21 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.21%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.69%0.3%2026-08-21 18:15
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 41.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.79%1.5%2026-08-21 18:25