Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Vicenza v US Catanzaro 1929

Início: 2026-08-21 18:30 UTC

Final: Vicenza 3–2 US Catanzaro 1929

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Vicenza (Local)

Previsão 41.18%2.43odd justa
EV -1.18%
Vantagem -0.490%
Kelly -0.841%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.05%41.16%41.06%42.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.252.252.4047.62%44.41%44.44%41.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

US Catanzaro 1929 (Visitante)

Previsão 29.13%3.43odd justa
EV +0.509%
Vantagem +0.147%
Kelly +0.208%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.89%29.19%29.23%30.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.803.083.103.4535.71%32.46%32.26%28.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.69%3.37odd justa
EV -2.02%
Vantagem -0.612%
Kelly -0.879%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.40%29.65%29.71%31.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.853.063.053.3035.09%32.64%32.79%30.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Vicenza (Local): 41.18%; US Catanzaro 1929 (Visitante): 29.13%; Empate: 29.69%. Para US Catanzaro 1929 (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.43. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.45, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.509%.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.84%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.89%EV +0.509%E +0.147%K +0.208%G +0.001%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -5.58%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-21 18:25
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 18:13
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.47%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 18:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.84%EV -8.18%E -3.67%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -4.44%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.71%EV -6.77%E -2.16%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-21 18:23
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.32%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 18:20
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.32%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-21 18:15
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -2.02%E -0.612%K -0.879%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 18:14
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -6.12%E -2.68%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.47%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-21 18:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -6.12%E -2.68%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.47%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-21 18:04
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 18:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -13.90%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-21 18:15
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -13.90%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-21 18:10
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.11%EV -8.59%E -3.87%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -9.44%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-21 18:20
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.11%EV -8.59%E -3.87%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -9.44%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-21 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -2.00%E -0.841%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.47%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 18:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -2.00%E -0.841%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.47%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 18:04
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 18:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-21 18:15
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 18:15
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 18:15
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-21 18:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-21 18:24
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-21 18:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-21 18:24
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -6.47%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-21 18:15
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-21 18:15
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -11.47%E -5.34%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-21 18:15
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -11.47%E -5.34%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-21 18:18
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.47%E -5.34%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-21 18:20
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.90%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-21 18:10
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -1.18%E -0.490%K -0.841%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 17:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-21 18:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.45%EV -13.53%E -6.44%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.54%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.01%EV -13.90%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-21 18:15
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -11.47%E -5.34%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-21 18:05
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -14.06%E -4.77%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -9.44%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-21 18:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -14.06%E -4.77%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -9.44%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-21 18:04
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -14.06%E -4.77%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -9.44%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-21 18:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -14.06%E -4.77%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -9.44%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-21 18:05
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -14.06%E -4.77%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -9.44%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-21 18:04
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -14.06%E -4.77%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -9.44%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-21 18:04
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -14.06%E -4.77%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -9.44%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-21 18:04
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.48%EV -6.12%E -2.68%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -14.06%E -4.77%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-21 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.39%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -15.51%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.04%EV -12.41%E -4.21%K -6.37%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-21 18:04
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -15.51%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-21 18:10
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -15.51%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-21 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -15.51%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-21 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.52%EV -8.18%E -3.67%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.60%EV -16.10%E -5.59%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -12.41%E -4.21%K -6.37%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-21 18:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.52%EV -8.18%E -3.67%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.60%EV -16.10%E -5.59%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -12.41%E -4.21%K -6.37%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-21 18:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 39.54%EV -11.06%E -5.12%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.50%EV -18.43%E -6.58%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.96%EV -15.38%E -5.40%K -8.31%G +0.000%17.1%2026-08-21 18:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 41.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.19%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.79%-0.1%2026-08-21 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.21%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.69%0.3%2026-08-21 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.21%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.69%0.3%2026-08-21 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.21%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.69%0.3%2026-08-21 18:15
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 41.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.79%1.5%2026-08-21 18:25