Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.27
assuming max odds 12.20
assuming max odds 6.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Venezia (Local): 75.33%; Pescara (Visit): 9.01%; Draw: 15.67%. For Pescara (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.10. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.87%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.61%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 12.20I 8.20%NM 7.79%EV +9.87%E +0.809%K +0.881%G +0.087% | 6.09I 16.42%NM 15.60%EV -4.59%E -0.754%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.84%E -4.67%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV +8.07%E +0.672%K +0.733%G +0.059% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -6.00%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.03%EV -8.85%E -7.32%K -42.16%G +0.000% | 11.75I 8.51%NM 7.93%EV +5.81%E +0.495%K +0.541%G +0.031% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.03%EV -2.87%E -0.463%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.82%EV -10.36%E -8.71%K -54.52%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.95%EV +3.56%E +0.310%K +0.339%G +0.012% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -6.00%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -5.84%E -4.67%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -0.940%E -0.085%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -6.00%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.56%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -0.940%E -0.085%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -2.08%E -0.334%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.94%EV -7.35%E -5.97%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -0.940%E -0.085%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -6.00%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.88%EV -7.35%E -5.97%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -0.940%E -0.085%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -13.83%E -2.52%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -9.61%E -8.01%K -48.03%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV -0.940%E -0.085%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.02%EV -5.09%E -4.04%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 10.80I 9.26%NM 8.87%EV -2.74%E -0.254%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.11%EV -0.675%E -0.106%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -5.84%E -4.67%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -5.44%E -0.518%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -6.00%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.38%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -5.44%E -0.518%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -9.13%E -1.57%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.09%EV -9.61%E -8.01%K -48.03%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -5.44%E -0.518%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -6.00%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.42%EV -10.36%E -8.71%K -54.52%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.55%EV -5.44%E -0.518%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV -12.27%E -2.19%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.59%EV -5.09%E -4.04%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.52%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.88%EV +0.265%E +0.041%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -6.00%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -7.35%E -5.97%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -6.00%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 13:47 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -5.84%E -4.67%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -13.83%E -2.52%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -9.61%E -8.01%K -48.03%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -6.00%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -13.83%E -2.52%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.04%EV -11.11%E -9.42%K -61.74%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.10%EV -13.83%E -2.52%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.53%EV -9.61%E -8.01%K -48.03%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.82%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -21.67%E -4.33%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.96%EV -7.35%E -5.97%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.41%EV -11.75%E -1.20%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.63%EV -7.57%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.96%EV -7.35%E -5.97%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.41%EV -11.75%E -1.20%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.63%EV -7.57%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.12%EV -7.35%E -5.97%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.48%EV -12.20%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV -6.00%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.12%EV -7.35%E -5.97%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.48%EV -12.20%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV -6.00%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.24%EV -4.33%E -3.41%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.06%EV -14.45%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +1.83%E +0.282%K +0.333%G +0.006% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.24%EV -4.33%E -3.41%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.06%EV -14.45%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +1.83%E +0.282%K +0.333%G +0.006% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.12%EV -7.35%E -5.97%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -14.45%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.28%EV -12.27%E -2.19%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -14.45%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -12.27%E -2.19%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -14.45%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -12.27%E -2.19%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 74.64%EV -11.87%E -10.14%K -69.80%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.19%EV -14.45%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.17%EV -15.40%E -2.85%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -18.95%E -2.11%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -13.83%E -2.52%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -18.95%E -2.11%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -13.83%E -2.52%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -18.95%E -2.11%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -13.83%E -2.52%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -9.61%E -8.01%K -48.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -18.95%E -2.11%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.83%E -2.52%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -9.61%E -8.01%K -48.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -18.95%E -2.11%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.83%E -2.52%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 75.08%EV -15.63%E -13.96%K -130.27%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.34%EV -18.95%E -2.11%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 15.57%EV -15.40%E -2.85%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 73.73%EV -10.36%E -8.71%K -54.52%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.03%EV -21.20%E -2.42%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.25%EV -15.40%E -2.85%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 73.46%EV -10.36%E -8.71%K -54.52%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.05%EV -21.65%E -2.49%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.49%EV -16.97%E -3.20%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-02-21 13:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 1.1% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 1.1% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 1.1% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.31% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.59% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.10% | 1.3% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.99% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.56% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.45% | 1.8% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |