Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Venezia v Pescara

Início: 2026-02-21 14:02 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Venezia (Local)

Previsão 75.33%1.33odd justa
EV -4.33%
Vantagem -3.41%
Kelly -16.05%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
73.46%75.38%75.21%77.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.121.221.231.2789.29%81.72%81.30%78.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pescara (Visitante)

Previsão 9.01%11.10odd justa
EV +9.87%
Vantagem +0.809%
Kelly +0.881%
Crescimento +0.087%

pressupondo odds máximas de 12.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
7.79%9.01%9.10%10.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
8.7010.0510.0012.2011.49%9.95%10.00%8.20%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 15.67%6.38odd justa
EV +1.83%
Vantagem +0.282%
Kelly +0.333%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.70%15.61%15.69%17.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.005.795.756.5020.00%17.28%17.39%15.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Venezia (Local): 75.33%; Pescara (Visitante): 9.01%; Empate: 15.67%. Para Pescara (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 11.10. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 12.20, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +9.87%.

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.61%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000%12.20I 8.20%NM 7.79%EV +9.87%E +0.809%K +0.881%G +0.087%6.09I 16.42%NM 15.60%EV -4.59%E -0.754%K -0.902%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 13:59
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.84%E -4.67%K -23.36%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV +8.07%E +0.672%K +0.733%G +0.059%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -6.00%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 13:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.03%EV -8.85%E -7.32%K -42.16%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 7.93%EV +5.81%E +0.495%K +0.541%G +0.031%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.03%EV -2.87%E -0.463%K -0.552%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 13:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.82%EV -10.36%E -8.71%K -54.52%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.95%EV +3.56%E +0.310%K +0.339%G +0.012%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -6.00%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 14:00
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -5.84%E -4.67%K -23.36%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -0.940%E -0.085%K -0.094%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -6.00%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 14:00
theScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.56%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -0.940%E -0.085%K -0.094%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -2.08%E -0.334%K -0.397%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.94%EV -7.35%E -5.97%K -31.94%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -0.940%E -0.085%K -0.094%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -6.00%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:00
Bet Right🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.88%EV -7.35%E -5.97%K -31.94%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -0.940%E -0.085%K -0.094%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -13.83%E -2.52%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 13:59
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -9.61%E -8.01%K -48.03%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV -0.940%E -0.085%K -0.094%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 13:59
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.02%EV -5.09%E -4.04%K -19.56%G +0.000%10.80I 9.26%NM 8.87%EV -2.74%E -0.254%K -0.280%G +0.000%6.34I 15.77%NM 15.11%EV -0.675%E -0.106%K -0.126%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 13:59
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -5.84%E -4.67%K -23.36%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -5.44%E -0.518%K -0.573%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -6.00%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 14:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.38%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -5.44%E -0.518%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -9.13%E -1.57%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:00
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.09%EV -9.61%E -8.01%K -48.03%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -5.44%E -0.518%K -0.573%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -6.00%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 75.42%EV -10.36%E -8.71%K -54.52%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.55%EV -5.44%E -0.518%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV -12.27%E -2.19%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-21 14:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.59%EV -5.09%E -4.04%K -19.56%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.52%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.88%EV +0.265%E +0.041%K +0.049%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 14:00
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -6.00%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:00
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -7.35%E -5.97%K -31.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -6.00%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 13:47
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:00
Grosvenor🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:00
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:00
Casumo🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:00
TABtouch🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 13:59
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:00
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -5.84%E -4.67%K -23.36%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -13.83%E -2.52%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 13:59
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 13:59
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 14:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 13:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 13:59
FanDuel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -9.61%E -8.01%K -48.03%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -6.00%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 13:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -13.83%E -2.52%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 13:59
Paddy Power🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.04%EV -11.11%E -9.42%K -61.74%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.10%EV -13.83%E -2.52%K -3.07%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-21 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.53%EV -9.61%E -8.01%K -48.03%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.82%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -21.67%E -4.33%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.3%2026-02-21 14:00
NordicBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.96%EV -7.35%E -5.97%K -31.94%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.41%EV -11.75%E -1.20%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.63%EV -7.57%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 14:00
Betsson🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.96%EV -7.35%E -5.97%K -31.94%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.41%EV -11.75%E -1.20%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.63%EV -7.57%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 13:59
Bovada🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.12%EV -7.35%E -5.97%K -31.94%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.48%EV -12.20%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV -6.00%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 13:59
BetUS🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.12%EV -7.35%E -5.97%K -31.94%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.48%EV -12.20%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV -6.00%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 13:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.24%EV -4.33%E -3.41%K -16.05%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.06%EV -14.45%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +1.83%E +0.282%K +0.333%G +0.006%4.7%2026-02-21 13:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.24%EV -4.33%E -3.41%K -16.05%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.06%EV -14.45%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +1.83%E +0.282%K +0.333%G +0.006%4.7%2026-02-21 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.12%EV -7.35%E -5.97%K -31.94%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -14.45%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.28%EV -12.27%E -2.19%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -14.45%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -12.27%E -2.19%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -14.45%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -12.27%E -2.19%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 14:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 74.64%EV -11.87%E -10.14%K -69.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.19%EV -14.45%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.17%EV -15.40%E -2.85%K -3.50%G +0.000%14.5%2026-02-21 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -18.95%E -2.11%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -13.83%E -2.52%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-21 14:00
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -18.95%E -2.11%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -13.83%E -2.52%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-21 13:59
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -18.95%E -2.11%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -13.83%E -2.52%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-21 14:00
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -9.61%E -8.01%K -48.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -18.95%E -2.11%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.83%E -2.52%K -3.07%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-21 14:00
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -9.61%E -8.01%K -48.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -18.95%E -2.11%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.83%E -2.52%K -3.07%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-21 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 75.08%EV -15.63%E -13.96%K -130.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.34%EV -18.95%E -2.11%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.57%EV -15.40%E -2.85%K -3.50%G +0.000%18.9%2026-02-21 13:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 73.73%EV -10.36%E -8.71%K -54.52%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.03%EV -21.20%E -2.42%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.25%EV -15.40%E -2.85%K -3.50%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-21 13:59
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 73.46%EV -10.36%E -8.71%K -54.52%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.05%EV -21.65%E -2.49%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.49%EV -16.97%E -3.20%K -3.95%G +0.000%14.4%2026-02-21 13:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%1.1%2026-02-21 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%1.1%2026-02-21 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%1.1%2026-02-21 14:00
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 78.31%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.59%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.10%1.3%2026-02-21 14:00
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 77.99%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.56%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.45%1.8%2026-02-21 14:00