L’École des cotes

Venezia v Pescara

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 14:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Venezia (Local)

Prévision 75.33%1.33cote équitable
EV -4.33%
Avantage -3.41%
Kelly -16.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.46%75.38%75.21%77.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.121.221.231.2789.29%81.72%81.30%78.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Pescara (Visiteur)

Prévision 9.01%11.10cote équitable
EV +9.87%
Avantage +0.809%
Kelly +0.881%
Croissance +0.087%

avec la cote maximale 12.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.79%9.01%9.10%10.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
8.7010.0510.0012.2011.49%9.95%10.00%8.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 15.67%6.38cote équitable
EV +1.83%
Avantage +0.282%
Kelly +0.333%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.70%15.61%15.69%17.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.795.756.5020.00%17.28%17.39%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.61%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000%12.20I 8.20%NM 7.79%EV +9.87%E +0.809%K +0.881%G +0.087%6.09I 16.42%NM 15.60%EV -4.59%E -0.754%K -0.902%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 13:59
Coolbet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.84%E -4.67%K -23.36%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV +8.07%E +0.672%K +0.733%G +0.059%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -6.00%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 13:59
Marathon Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.03%EV -8.85%E -7.32%K -42.16%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 7.93%EV +5.81%E +0.495%K +0.541%G +0.031%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.03%EV -2.87%E -0.463%K -0.552%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 13:59
Winamax (DE)1.19I 84.03%NM 76.82%EV -10.36%E -8.71%K -54.52%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.95%EV +3.56%E +0.310%K +0.339%G +0.012%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -6.00%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 14:00
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -5.84%E -4.67%K -23.36%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -0.940%E -0.085%K -0.094%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -6.00%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 14:00
theScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.56%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -0.940%E -0.085%K -0.094%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -2.08%E -0.334%K -0.397%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:00
Unibet (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.94%EV -7.35%E -5.97%K -31.94%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -0.940%E -0.085%K -0.094%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -6.00%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:00
Bet Right1.23I 81.30%NM 74.88%EV -7.35%E -5.97%K -31.94%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -0.940%E -0.085%K -0.094%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -13.83%E -2.52%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 13:59
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -9.61%E -8.01%K -48.03%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV -0.940%E -0.085%K -0.094%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 13:59
Pinnacle1.26I 79.37%NM 76.02%EV -5.09%E -4.04%K -19.56%G +0.000%10.80I 9.26%NM 8.87%EV -2.74%E -0.254%K -0.280%G +0.000%6.34I 15.77%NM 15.11%EV -0.675%E -0.106%K -0.126%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 13:59
BetMGM1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -5.84%E -4.67%K -23.36%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -5.44%E -0.518%K -0.573%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -6.00%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 14:00
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.38%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -5.44%E -0.518%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -9.13%E -1.57%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:00
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 76.09%EV -9.61%E -8.01%K -48.03%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -5.44%E -0.518%K -0.573%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -6.00%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 14:00
Winamax (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 75.42%EV -10.36%E -8.71%K -54.52%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.55%EV -5.44%E -0.518%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV -12.27%E -2.19%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-21 14:00
Codere (IT)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.59%EV -5.09%E -4.04%K -19.56%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.52%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.88%EV +0.265%E +0.041%K +0.049%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 14:00
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -6.00%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:00
BetRivers1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -7.35%E -5.97%K -31.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -6.00%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 13:47
Unibet1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:00
Grosvenor1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:00
Unibet (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:00
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:00
Casumo1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:00
Unibet (NL)1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:00
TABtouch1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:00
PointsBet (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 13:59
betPARX1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:00
Svenska Spel1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:00
ATG (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:00
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -5.84%E -4.67%K -23.36%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -13.83%E -2.52%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 13:59
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 13:59
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 14:00
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 13:59
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 13:59
FanDuel1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -9.61%E -8.01%K -48.03%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -6.00%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 13:59
Betr (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -13.83%E -2.52%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 13:59
Paddy Power1.18I 84.75%NM 75.04%EV -11.11%E -9.42%K -61.74%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.10%EV -13.83%E -2.52%K -3.07%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-21 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 73.53%EV -9.61%E -8.01%K -48.03%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.82%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -21.67%E -4.33%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.3%2026-02-21 14:00
NordicBet1.23I 81.30%NM 74.96%EV -7.35%E -5.97%K -31.94%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.41%EV -11.75%E -1.20%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.63%EV -7.57%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 14:00
Betsson1.23I 81.30%NM 74.96%EV -7.35%E -5.97%K -31.94%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.41%EV -11.75%E -1.20%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.63%EV -7.57%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 13:59
Bovada1.23I 81.30%NM 75.12%EV -7.35%E -5.97%K -31.94%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.48%EV -12.20%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV -6.00%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 13:59
BetUS1.23I 81.30%NM 75.12%EV -7.35%E -5.97%K -31.94%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.48%EV -12.20%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV -6.00%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 13:59
BetOnline.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.24%EV -4.33%E -3.41%K -16.05%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.06%EV -14.45%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +1.83%E +0.282%K +0.333%G +0.006%4.7%2026-02-21 13:59
LowVig.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.24%EV -4.33%E -3.41%K -16.05%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.06%EV -14.45%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +1.83%E +0.282%K +0.333%G +0.006%4.7%2026-02-21 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.12%EV -7.35%E -5.97%K -31.94%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -14.45%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.28%EV -12.27%E -2.19%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 14:00
LiveScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -14.45%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -12.27%E -2.19%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 14:00
Virgin Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -14.45%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -12.27%E -2.19%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 14:00
NetBet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 74.64%EV -11.87%E -10.14%K -69.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.19%EV -14.45%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.17%EV -15.40%E -2.85%K -3.50%G +0.000%14.5%2026-02-21 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -18.95%E -2.11%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -13.83%E -2.52%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-21 14:00
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -18.95%E -2.11%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -13.83%E -2.52%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-21 13:59
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -18.95%E -2.11%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -13.83%E -2.52%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-21 14:00
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -9.61%E -8.01%K -48.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -18.95%E -2.11%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.83%E -2.52%K -3.07%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-21 14:00
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -9.61%E -8.01%K -48.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -18.95%E -2.11%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.83%E -2.52%K -3.07%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-21 14:00
PMU (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 75.08%EV -15.63%E -13.96%K -130.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.34%EV -18.95%E -2.11%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.57%EV -15.40%E -2.85%K -3.50%G +0.000%18.9%2026-02-21 13:59
Betclic (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 73.73%EV -10.36%E -8.71%K -54.52%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.03%EV -21.20%E -2.42%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.25%EV -15.40%E -2.85%K -3.50%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-21 13:59
Parions Sport (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 73.46%EV -10.36%E -8.71%K -54.52%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.05%EV -21.65%E -2.49%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.49%EV -16.97%E -3.20%K -3.95%G +0.000%14.4%2026-02-21 13:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%1.1%2026-02-21 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%1.1%2026-02-21 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%1.1%2026-02-21 14:00
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 78.31%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.59%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.10%1.3%2026-02-21 14:00
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 77.99%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.56%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.45%1.8%2026-02-21 14:00