Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Venezia v Pescara

Inicio: 2026-02-21 14:02 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Venezia (Local)

Predicción 75.33%1.33momio equitativo
EV -4.33%
Ventaja -3.41%
Kelly -16.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.27

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.46%75.38%75.21%77.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.121.221.231.2789.29%81.72%81.30%78.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pescara (Visitante)

Predicción 9.01%11.10momio equitativo
EV +9.87%
Ventaja +0.809%
Kelly +0.881%
Crecimiento +0.087%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 12.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.79%9.01%9.10%10.06%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
8.7010.0510.0012.2011.49%9.95%10.00%8.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 15.67%6.38momio equitativo
EV +1.83%
Ventaja +0.282%
Kelly +0.333%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.70%15.61%15.69%17.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.005.795.756.5020.00%17.28%17.39%15.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Venezia (Local): 75.33%; Pescara (Visitante): 9.01%; Empate: 15.67%. Para Pescara (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 11.10. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 12.20, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +9.87%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.61%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000%12.20I 8.20%NM 7.79%EV +9.87%E +0.809%K +0.881%G +0.087%6.09I 16.42%NM 15.60%EV -4.59%E -0.754%K -0.902%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 13:59
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.84%E -4.67%K -23.36%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV +8.07%E +0.672%K +0.733%G +0.059%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -6.00%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 13:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.03%EV -8.85%E -7.32%K -42.16%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 7.93%EV +5.81%E +0.495%K +0.541%G +0.031%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.03%EV -2.87%E -0.463%K -0.552%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 13:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.82%EV -10.36%E -8.71%K -54.52%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.95%EV +3.56%E +0.310%K +0.339%G +0.012%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -6.00%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 14:00
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -5.84%E -4.67%K -23.36%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -0.940%E -0.085%K -0.094%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -6.00%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 14:00
theScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.56%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -0.940%E -0.085%K -0.094%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -2.08%E -0.334%K -0.397%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.94%EV -7.35%E -5.97%K -31.94%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -0.940%E -0.085%K -0.094%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -6.00%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:00
Bet Right🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.88%EV -7.35%E -5.97%K -31.94%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -0.940%E -0.085%K -0.094%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -13.83%E -2.52%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 13:59
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -9.61%E -8.01%K -48.03%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV -0.940%E -0.085%K -0.094%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 13:59
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.02%EV -5.09%E -4.04%K -19.56%G +0.000%10.80I 9.26%NM 8.87%EV -2.74%E -0.254%K -0.280%G +0.000%6.34I 15.77%NM 15.11%EV -0.675%E -0.106%K -0.126%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 13:59
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -5.84%E -4.67%K -23.36%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -5.44%E -0.518%K -0.573%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -6.00%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 14:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.38%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -5.44%E -0.518%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -9.13%E -1.57%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:00
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.09%EV -9.61%E -8.01%K -48.03%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -5.44%E -0.518%K -0.573%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -6.00%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 75.42%EV -10.36%E -8.71%K -54.52%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.55%EV -5.44%E -0.518%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV -12.27%E -2.19%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-21 14:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.59%EV -5.09%E -4.04%K -19.56%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.52%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.88%EV +0.265%E +0.041%K +0.049%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 14:00
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -6.00%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:00
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -7.35%E -5.97%K -31.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -6.00%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 13:47
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:00
Grosvenor🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:00
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:00
Casumo🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:00
TABtouch🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 13:59
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.59%E -5.32%K -27.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:00
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -5.84%E -4.67%K -23.36%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -13.83%E -2.52%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 13:59
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 13:59
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 14:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 13:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -9.92%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 13:59
FanDuel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -9.61%E -8.01%K -48.03%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -6.00%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 13:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -13.83%E -2.52%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 13:59
Paddy Power🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.04%EV -11.11%E -9.42%K -61.74%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.10%EV -13.83%E -2.52%K -3.07%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-21 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.53%EV -9.61%E -8.01%K -48.03%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.82%EV -9.95%E -0.995%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -21.67%E -4.33%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.3%2026-02-21 14:00
NordicBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.96%EV -7.35%E -5.97%K -31.94%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.41%EV -11.75%E -1.20%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.63%EV -7.57%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 14:00
Betsson🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.96%EV -7.35%E -5.97%K -31.94%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.41%EV -11.75%E -1.20%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.63%EV -7.57%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 13:59
Bovada🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.12%EV -7.35%E -5.97%K -31.94%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.48%EV -12.20%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV -6.00%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 13:59
BetUS🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.12%EV -7.35%E -5.97%K -31.94%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.48%EV -12.20%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV -6.00%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 13:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.24%EV -4.33%E -3.41%K -16.05%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.06%EV -14.45%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +1.83%E +0.282%K +0.333%G +0.006%4.7%2026-02-21 13:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.24%EV -4.33%E -3.41%K -16.05%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.06%EV -14.45%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +1.83%E +0.282%K +0.333%G +0.006%4.7%2026-02-21 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.12%EV -7.35%E -5.97%K -31.94%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -14.45%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.28%EV -12.27%E -2.19%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -14.45%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -12.27%E -2.19%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -14.45%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -12.27%E -2.19%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 14:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 74.64%EV -11.87%E -10.14%K -69.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.19%EV -14.45%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.17%EV -15.40%E -2.85%K -3.50%G +0.000%14.5%2026-02-21 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -18.95%E -2.11%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -13.83%E -2.52%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-21 14:00
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -18.95%E -2.11%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -13.83%E -2.52%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-21 13:59
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -8.10%E -6.64%K -36.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -18.95%E -2.11%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -13.83%E -2.52%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-21 14:00
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -9.61%E -8.01%K -48.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -18.95%E -2.11%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.83%E -2.52%K -3.07%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-21 14:00
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -9.61%E -8.01%K -48.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -18.95%E -2.11%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.83%E -2.52%K -3.07%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-21 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 75.08%EV -15.63%E -13.96%K -130.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.34%EV -18.95%E -2.11%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.57%EV -15.40%E -2.85%K -3.50%G +0.000%18.9%2026-02-21 13:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 73.73%EV -10.36%E -8.71%K -54.52%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.03%EV -21.20%E -2.42%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.25%EV -15.40%E -2.85%K -3.50%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-21 13:59
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 73.46%EV -10.36%E -8.71%K -54.52%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.05%EV -21.65%E -2.49%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.49%EV -16.97%E -3.20%K -3.95%G +0.000%14.4%2026-02-21 13:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%1.1%2026-02-21 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%1.1%2026-02-21 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%1.1%2026-02-21 14:00
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 78.31%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.59%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.10%1.3%2026-02-21 14:00
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 77.99%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.56%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.45%1.8%2026-02-21 14:00