StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

US Catanzaro 1929 v Palermo

Matchstart: 2026-05-17 18:00 UTC

Slutresultat: US Catanzaro 1929 3–0 Palermo

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

52 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

US Catanzaro 1929 (Hemma)

Prognos 38.57%2.59rättvist odds
EV -2.41%
Fördel -0.951%
Kelly -1.57%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.53

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
37.20%38.65%38.55%39.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.202.362.372.5345.45%42.32%42.28%39.53%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Palermo (Borta)

Prognos 30.88%3.24rättvist odds
EV -2.71%
Fördel -0.862%
Kelly -1.26%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.15

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.68%30.84%30.82%31.96%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.703.003.003.1537.04%33.34%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 30.54%3.27rättvist odds
EV -2.27%
Fördel -0.709%
Kelly -1.03%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.41%30.52%30.64%31.83%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.752.993.003.2036.36%33.44%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: US Catanzaro 1929 (Hemma): 38.57%; Palermo (Borta): 30.88%; Oavgjort: 30.54%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.27. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.20, med väntevärdet -2.27%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (52 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.41%E -0.951%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.76%EV -2.71%E -0.862%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.95%EV -4.41%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.56%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.71%EV -3.02%E -0.963%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.71%EV -4.10%E -1.31%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-17 17:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.37%EV -5.11%E -2.08%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -2.71%E -0.862%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.67%EV -8.99%E -3.02%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 17:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.37%EV -5.11%E -2.08%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -2.71%E -0.862%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.67%EV -8.99%E -3.02%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 17:35
1xBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 17:50
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -2.27%E -0.709%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 17:40
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -6.85%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 17:41
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -6.85%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 17:50
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 17:41
Bovada🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -6.26%E -2.58%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -9.90%E -3.36%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 17:54
BetUS🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -6.65%E -2.75%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.90%E -3.36%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 17:35
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -2.27%E -0.709%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 17:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -8.89%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 17:40
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -8.89%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 17:40
Betsson🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 17:50
NordicBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 17:50
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -11.05%E -3.84%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 17:40
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -6.85%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 17:40
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.43%E -3.94%K -6.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 17:35
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.43%E -3.94%K -6.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 17:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.43%E -3.94%K -6.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 17:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.43%E -3.94%K -6.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 17:35
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.93%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.72%EV -12.35%E -4.30%K -6.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 17:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -11.98%E -4.20%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 17:40
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -8.19%E -3.44%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -12.04%E -4.18%K -6.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 17:39
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -8.19%E -3.44%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -14.48%E -5.17%K -8.05%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 17:55
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -9.35%E -3.98%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 17:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.75%EV -9.35%E -3.98%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -6.85%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 17:50
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.75%EV -10.12%E -4.34%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -6.85%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 17:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.75%EV -10.12%E -4.34%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -6.85%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 17:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.75%EV -10.12%E -4.34%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -6.85%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 17:25
Casumo🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -10.51%E -4.53%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 17:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -10.51%E -4.53%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 17:25
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -10.51%E -4.53%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 17:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -10.51%E -4.53%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 17:25
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -10.51%E -4.53%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 17:25
TABtouch🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -10.51%E -4.53%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 17:25
betPARX🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -10.51%E -4.53%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67%EV -11.28%E -4.90%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-17 17:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.28%E -4.90%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -9.90%E -3.36%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 17:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.28%E -4.90%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -9.90%E -3.36%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.28%E -4.90%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 17:35
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.28%E -4.90%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 17:35
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.28%E -4.90%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 17:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.87%EV -11.28%E -4.90%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.62%EV -9.82%E -3.36%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.51%EV -10.51%E -3.59%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 17:50
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -11.28%E -4.90%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -13.52%E -4.83%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -11.43%E -3.94%K -6.02%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-17 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.20%EV -11.28%E -4.90%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.69%EV -16.61%E -6.15%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.11%EV -16.01%E -5.82%K -9.15%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-17 17:55
LeoVegas🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.48%EV -12.05%E -5.29%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -9.90%E -3.36%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 17:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 38.36%EV -12.44%E -5.48%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.55%EV -11.98%E -4.20%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.10%EV -14.48%E -5.17%K -8.05%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-17 17:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.97%EV -13.21%E -5.87%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.31%EV -13.52%E -4.83%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -9.90%E -3.36%K -5.08%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-17 17:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.52%EV -13.98%E -6.27%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -8.89%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.60%EV -12.04%E -4.18%K -6.40%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-17 17:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.73%EV -15.14%E -6.88%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.14%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.14%EV -11.43%E -3.94%K -6.02%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-17 17:49
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.27%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35%1.3%2026-05-17 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.27%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35%1.3%2026-05-17 17:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.27%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35%1.3%2026-05-17 17:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.27%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35%1.3%2026-05-17 17:41
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.29%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%1.6%2026-05-17 17:50