L’École des cotesFrançais
US Catanzaro 1929 v Palermo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
US Catanzaro 1929 (Local)
Prévision 38.57%2.59cote équitable
EV -2.41%
Avantage -0.951%
Kelly -1.57%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.53
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.20%38.65%38.55%39.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.362.372.5345.45%42.32%42.28%39.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Palermo (Visiteur)
Prévision 30.88%3.24cote équitable
EV -2.71%
Avantage -0.862%
Kelly -1.26%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.68%30.84%30.82%31.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.003.003.1537.04%33.34%33.33%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 30.54%3.27cote équitable
EV -2.27%
Avantage -0.709%
Kelly -1.03%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.41%30.52%30.64%31.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.993.003.2036.36%33.44%33.33%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.41%E -0.951%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.76%EV -2.71%E -0.862%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.95%EV -4.41%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-17 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.56%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.71%EV -3.02%E -0.963%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.71%EV -4.10%E -1.31%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-17 17:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.37%EV -5.11%E -2.08%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -2.71%E -0.862%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.67%EV -8.99%E -3.02%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 17:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.37%EV -5.11%E -2.08%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -2.71%E -0.862%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.67%EV -8.99%E -3.02%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 17:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 17:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -2.27%E -0.709%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -6.85%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 17:41 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -6.85%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 17:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 17:41 |
| Bovada | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -6.26%E -2.58%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -9.90%E -3.36%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 17:54 |
| BetUS | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -6.65%E -2.75%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.90%E -3.36%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-17 17:35 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -2.27%E -0.709%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 17:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -8.89%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| theScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -8.89%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| Betsson | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 17:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 17:50 |
| betfred_uk | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -11.05%E -3.84%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| Bet Right | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -6.85%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| 888sport | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.43%E -3.94%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-17 17:35 |
| William Hill | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.43%E -3.94%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-17 17:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.43%E -3.94%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-17 17:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.43%E -3.94%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-17 17:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.93%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.72%EV -12.35%E -4.30%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-17 17:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -11.98%E -4.20%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -8.19%E -3.44%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -12.04%E -4.18%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 17:39 |
| Sky Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -8.19%E -3.44%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -14.48%E -5.17%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-17 17:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -9.35%E -3.98%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-17 17:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.75%EV -9.35%E -3.98%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -6.85%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-17 17:50 |
| BetRivers | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.75%EV -10.12%E -4.34%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -6.85%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.75%EV -10.12%E -4.34%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -6.85%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.75%EV -10.12%E -4.34%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -6.85%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| Casumo | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -10.51%E -4.53%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -10.51%E -4.53%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| Unibet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -10.51%E -4.53%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -10.51%E -4.53%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| Grosvenor | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -10.51%E -4.53%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -10.51%E -4.53%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| betPARX | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -10.51%E -4.53%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67%EV -11.28%E -4.90%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.28%E -4.90%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -9.90%E -3.36%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.28%E -4.90%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -9.90%E -3.36%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.28%E -4.90%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-17 17:35 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.28%E -4.90%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-17 17:35 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.28%E -4.90%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-17 17:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.87%EV -11.28%E -4.90%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.62%EV -9.82%E -3.36%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 30.51%EV -10.51%E -3.59%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-17 17:50 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -11.28%E -4.90%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -13.52%E -4.83%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -11.43%E -3.94%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-17 17:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.20%EV -11.28%E -4.90%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.69%EV -16.61%E -6.15%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.11%EV -16.01%E -5.82%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-05-17 17:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.48%EV -12.05%E -5.29%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -9.90%E -3.36%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.27I 44.05%NM 38.36%EV -12.44%E -5.48%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.55%EV -11.98%E -4.20%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.10%EV -14.48%E -5.17%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.97%EV -13.21%E -5.87%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.31%EV -13.52%E -4.83%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -9.90%E -3.36%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-17 17:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.52%EV -13.98%E -6.27%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -8.89%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.60%EV -12.04%E -4.18%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.73%EV -15.14%E -6.88%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.14%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.14%EV -11.43%E -3.94%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-17 17:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.27% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35% | 1.3% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.27% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35% | 1.3% | 2026-05-17 17:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.27% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35% | 1.3% | 2026-05-17 17:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.27% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35% | 1.3% | 2026-05-17 17:41 |
| Smarkets | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.29% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25% | 1.6% | 2026-05-17 17:50 |